{"id":20067854,"date":"2021-03-01T14:13:25","date_gmt":"2021-03-01T08:43:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thethirdpole.net\/?p=67854"},"modified":"2021-05-20T13:30:55","modified_gmt":"2021-05-20T08:00:55","slug":"countries-come-up-short-on-carbon-cutting-commitments","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/countries-come-up-short-on-carbon-cutting-commitments\/","title":{"rendered":"Countries come up short on carbon-cutting commitments"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The world is nowhere near what is needed to combat climate change effectively, the United Nations has <a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/process-and-meetings\/the-paris-agreement\/nationally-determined-contributions-ndcs\/nationally-determined-contributions-ndcs\/ndc-synthesis-report\">reported<\/a> on the basis of new pledges made by the European Union (EU) and 47 other countries to control greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The new pledges do not include the world\u2019s top two GHG polluters, China and the US. Nor does it include India, the fourth largest polluter after the EU.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe science is clear. To limit global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius, we must cut global emissions by 45% by 2030 from 2010 levels.&nbsp;Today\u2019s interim report from the UNFCCC (UN Framework Convention on Climate Change) is a red alert for our planet,\u201d said UN secretary-general Ant\u00f3nio Guterres. \u201cIt shows governments are nowhere close to the level of ambition needed to limit climate change to 1.5 degrees and meet the goals of the Paris Agreement.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe major emitters must step up with much more ambitious&nbsp;emissions reductions targets for 2030 in their Nationally Determined Contributions well before the November UN Climate Conference in Glasgow,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The pledges \u2013 called Nationally Determined Contributions or NDCs \u2013 were made before the 2015 UN climate summit in Paris and have been updated now by the EU and the 47 countries that together accounted for 28.8% of the global GHG emissions in 2017.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-3.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-3-768x426.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-3.jpg 950w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 950px\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-3.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"230 KB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"527\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"950\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The updated pledges show total GHG emission levels resulting from implementation of the updated NDCs will be only 0.3% lower than the original NDCs by 2025 and 2.8% lower in 2030.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This, when the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/sr15\/\">IPCC<\/a>) has said carbon dioxide emissions need to decline by about 45% from the 2010 level by 2030 to reach the Paris Agreement\u2019s aspirational goal of keeping average global temperature rise within 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial level.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The world is already 1.2 degrees warmer than in those days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Carbon dioxide accounts for the overwhelming majority of GHGs that are accumulating in the atmosphere and causing climate change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-moving-goalposts\">Moving goalposts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Developed countries are now talking about \u201cnet-zero\u201d carbon emissions by 2050, which India and some other countries see as an attempt to postpone action. India\u2019s Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Environment Minister Prakash Javadekar have been repeatedly stressing the need for rich nations to control their GHG emissions right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;\u201cLong-term commitments must be matched by immediate actions to launch the decade of transformation that people and planet so desperately need,\u201d Guterres said at the release of this latest UN report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThis report shows that current levels of climate ambition are very far from putting us on a pathway that will meet our <a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/english_paris_agreement.pdf\">Paris Agreement<\/a> goals,\u201d said Patricia Espinosa, executive secretary of UNFCCC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>She clarified that the current report is a \u201csnapshot, not a full picture\u201d of the NDCs, as the Covid-19 pandemic had posed significant challenges for many nations in updating their pledges by the deadline of December 31, 2020. A second report will be released before the next UN climate summit in November scheduled to be held in Glasgow in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-1.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-1-768x562.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-1-1024x749.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-1.jpg 1166w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 1166px\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-1.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"305 KB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"853\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"1166\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Espinosa pointed out that all countries now had an \u201cunprecedented opportunity\u201d for green recovery from the economic impacts of Covid-19. \u201cThis is a rare moment that cannot be lost. As we rebuild, we cannot revert to the old normal. The NDCs must reflect this reality and major emitters, especially G20 nations, must lead the way.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThis report should serve as an urgent call to action, and I am asking all countries, particularly major emitters, to submit ambitious 2030 emission reduction targets,\u201d said Alok Sharma, president of the Glasgow summit. \u201cWe must recognise that the window for action to safeguard our planet is closing fast.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-importance-of-adaptation\">Importance of adaptation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While rich nations remain focussed on mitigation of GHG emissions, the new pledges showed again that most developing countries recognise adaptation to climate change impacts as their immediate priority.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Many governments described widespread climate change impacts such as more frequent and more severe floods, droughts and storms, and sought global help. They also pointed out that peoples\u2019 vulnerability to climate change impacts had increased due to the Covid-19 pandemic.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-2.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-2-768x556.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-2-1024x741.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-2.jpg 1200w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 1200px\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NDC-story-chart-2.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"478 KB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"868\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"1200\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Developing countries urgently want better climate information systems and forecasting tools.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They also reiterated the need for financial support, technology transfer and capacity building help from other nations to deal with the climate crisis that is already here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-developing-nations-worried\">Developing nations worried<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS) said, \u201cThis report confirms the shocking lack of urgency, and genuine action\u2026 Country commitments are simply not good enough.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt is deeply concerning to see that the world is still far from the path we need to avoid the worst impacts of climate change,\u201d said Sonam P. Wangdi of Bhutan, chair of the Least Developed Countries Group in UN climate negotiations. \u201cMore countries need to submit new or updated plans this year, and major emitters must lead the way with this. These plans must contain increased ambition in their 2025 or 2030 targets.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cFailure to act now on climate change will lead to more catastrophic impacts, with far greater costs,\u201d Wangdi said, \u201call of which will be felt most acutely by Least Developed Countries. The climate crisis is here, and it demands a bold global response now.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-new-pledges-fall-woefully-short\">New pledges fall woefully short<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Helen Mountford, vice president, climate and economics at the World Resources Institute, said, \u201cIt is imperative that countries which have not yet submitted their plans \u2013 which represent over 75% of global emissions \u2013 deliver much greater ambition this year. Meanwhile, countries that already put forward weak offers in 2020 should revise their commitments upward\u2026 Over half of G20 countries now have commitments to net-zero emissions targets, but few have set 2030 interim targets that align with achieving those commitments.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mountford praised the EU and the UK for improving their NDCs significantly, but was critical of Australia and Russia, \u201cwhich did not strengthen their efforts at all.\u201d She also pointed out that the new plans of Brazil and Mexico \u201chave even weaker targets than what they put forward five years ago.\u201d Other observers pointed out that Japan, South Korea and New Zealand had not improved their NDCs either.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tasneem Essop, executive director of Climate Action Network, said, \u201cThe US and China \u2013 yet to submit their NDCs \u2013 must do so as soon as possible. It is imperative that the US delivers its fair share \u2013 both on emissions reduction and on finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-role-of-the-uk\">Role of the UK<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Sustained diplomacy by the French government throughout 2015 was a major reason that countries reached an agreement in the Paris summit at the end of that year. It is now the turn of the British government, which is hosting this November\u2019s summit.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most observers feel a concerted diplomatic effort is a must in 2021 if GHG emission controls are to reach anywhere near what is required to prevent runaway climate change.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The new pledges by countries to reduce greenhouse gas emissions fall far short of the action required to stop runaway global warming 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