{"id":20080155,"date":"2021-10-25T12:30:00","date_gmt":"2021-10-25T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thethirdpole.net\/?p=80155"},"modified":"2021-11-02T15:28:00","modified_gmt":"2021-11-02T09:58:00","slug":"bangladesh-pitches-for-climate-sensitive-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/bangladesh-pitches-for-climate-sensitive-growth\/","title":{"rendered":"Bangladesh pitches for climate-sensitive growth"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Ahead of the UN climate talks, Bangladesh\u2019s Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina reiterated her commitment to \u201cleading the path to a solution\u201d. This is \u201cnot only because we wish to avert the worst of climate change,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/67b17114-5503-4db6-a49a-7b8b21355344\">she wrote<\/a> in the Financial Times, \u201cit also makes economic sense.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Considered one of the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/climate-change-impacts-in-bangladesh-show-how-geography-wealth-and-culture-affect-vulnerability-128207\">worst victims<\/a> of climate change due to its geography and socioeconomic status, Bangladesh has started cutting greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in accordance with its climate pledges. But as it strives to graduate to middle-income status by the end of the decade, the country is grappling with the need to square its carbon-heavy growth path with the need to <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/hub\/energy-transition-2\/\">transition<\/a> away from fossil fuels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-what-s-in-the-climate-pledge\">What\u2019s in the climate pledge?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In August 2021, Bangladesh <a href=\"https:\/\/www4.unfccc.int\/sites\/ndcstaging\/PublishedDocuments\/Bangladesh%20First\/NDC_submission_20210826revised.pdf\">updated<\/a> its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC). The NDC sets a 22% cut of all heat-trapping emissions by 2030 compared with 2012. This is to be achieved through a wide range of mitigation measures in the energy, land use and waste sectors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The pledge outlines a series of mitigation strategies for the power sector in particular, such as increasing the share of renewable sources in the energy mix, which is currently negligible; reducing coal; and installing prepaid meters. It also looks to reduce traffic congestion, promoting non-motorised vehicles, shifting from road to rail and more. Crucially, it wants to invest in natural gas, a controversial strategy to offset more polluting fuels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cTaking the business and economic activities in 2012 as yardsticks,\u201d explained Mirza Shawkat Ali, the director in charge of the climate change department at the environment ministry, \u201cwe have calculated that [without interventions] Bangladesh would gradually generate nearly 410 million tons of GHGs in 2030.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cOut of this projected total, we have proposed to cut 27.56 million tons, or 6.73% of emissions in 2030,\u201d Ali said.<strong>\u00a0<\/strong>\u201cWe have also proposed a further 61.9 million tonnes, or 15.21%, of emission cuts, provided we get financial and technological support,\u201d he added. \u201cBangladesh contributes less than 0.5% to the global emissions budget. As a Least Developed Country we have offered our highest.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-fossil-fuelled-growth\">Fossil-fuelled growth<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Bangladesh\u2019s NDC, the energy sector accounts for about 55% of the country\u2019s emissions, followed by agriculture, forest and land use, waste and industrial processes. By 2030, the UN expects the energy sector to make up more than 76% of Bangladesh\u2019s carbon emissions.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/7605452\/embed\" title=\"Interactive or visual content\" class=\"flourish-embed-iframe\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" style=\"width:100%;height:600px;\" sandbox=\"allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation\"><\/iframe><div style=\"width:100%!;margin-top:4px!important;text-align:right!important;\"><a class=\"flourish-credit\" href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/7605452\/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_campaign=visualisation\/7605452\" target=\"_top\" style=\"text-decoration:none!important\" rel=\"noopener\"> <\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2009, the government estimated Bangladesh\u2019s per capita income to be USD 690 per year, while electricity coverage stood at 45%. This is the moment in the country\u2019s history when fossil fuels took centre stage, with heavy investments in coal, oil and gas.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The strategy paid off. In 2015, Bangladesh became a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.worldbank.org\/en\/country\/bangladesh\/overview\">lower-middle-income country<\/a> and poverty declined from 44% in 1991 to 15% in 2016, based on the international poverty line of USD 1.90 a day. Boosting electricity generation helped Bangladesh achieve over 7% economic growth in 2019, and the country\u2019s GDP rose by 5.47% between July 2020 and June 2021, when the rest of the world\u2019s economy collapsed during the Covid-19 pandemic. In 2020, per capita income rose to USD 2,227.\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/oldweb.lged.gov.bd\/UploadedDocument\/UnitPublication\/1\/1049\/vision%202021-2041.pdf\">Bangladesh\u2019s official plan<\/a> for 2041 seeks to eliminate extreme poverty by 2030 and acquire high-income country status around 2041. The government has set a target to increase installed electricity generation capacity to 40 GW by 2030 and 60 GW by 2041, of which 40% would <a href=\"https:\/\/unb.com.bd\/category\/Bangladesh\/10-coal-fired-power-projects-scrapped-as-part-of-master-plan-revision-nasrul-hamid\/74546\">come from renewable sources<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-bridge-fuel-bet-in-bangladesh-s-ndc\">The bridge fuel bet in Bangladesh\u2019s NDC<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While Bangladesh achieved remarkable success in key development indicators such as energy access, connecting nearly 100% of its population to the grid, up from 20% in 2000, its economy remains reliant on fossil fuels, notably on natural gas. According to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/countries\/bangladesh\">International Energy Agency<\/a>, gas makes up over 60% of the total energy supply, complemented by oil, biofuels and waste, and coal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"20036136\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p>The fuel, which is less polluting than oil and coal, is also known as a \u2018<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S030626191501243X\">bridge fuel\u2019<\/a>, a way of reducing a country\u2019s emissions while allowing its economy to develop. As part of its NDC, Bangladesh is trying to replace as much coal and oil as possible with gas, to progressively reduce its emissions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cSince the energy sector is the highest contributor, the government mainly focuses on reducing emissions from this sector,\u201d said Mohammad Hossain, director-general of the regulatory agency under the Ministry of Power, Energy and Mineral Resources (MPEMR) tasked with planning and regulating Bangladesh\u2019s power sector. \u201cWe have already cancelled 10 coal power projects which would have produced 8,4GW of carbon-intensive electricity by 2030.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, critics argue that natural gas expansion is inconsistent with the Paris Agreement\u2019s goals. The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change warns that global gas consumption <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iisd.org\/publications\/natural-gas-finance-clean-alternatives-global-south\">will have to decline<\/a> by 55% by 2050 for a chance to keep global warming within 1.5 degrees Celsius.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-decarbonising-energy-infrastructure\">Decarbonising energy infrastructure<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Waseqa Ayesha Khan, the chair of the parliamentary watchdog on the MPEMR, a group of 10 MPs tasked with ensuring the ministry\u2019s transparency and accountability, told <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/\">The Third Pole<\/a> that if the government wants to significantly reduce emissions, it needs to start by addressing wastage of gas and electricity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIn Bangladesh we supply natural gas to households for cooking and other domestic purposes,\u201d she explained, adding that since users are charged a monthly flat fee regardless of how much they consume, this leads to a lot of fuel being wasted. \u201cTo stop wastage of gas and electricity, we have suggested that the government install prepaid meters for all domestic and industrial users.\u201d The mass rollout of prepaid meters, she said, would reduce gas consumption in the two sectors by at least 50%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M. Tamim, a former junior energy minister, said he welcomed the idea of supporting development through adding more solar, which should help offset a certain amount of fossil fuels in the long run. \u201cBut implementing big solar power projects requires vast swathes of land, and we are a land-hungry country,\u201d he said. To aid Bangladesh\u2019s energy transition, he added, rich nations should share their advanced solar technologies to increase the panels\u2019 efficiency and reduce the amount of space needed for each unit of energy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-getting-ready-for-the-energy-transition\">Getting ready for the energy transition<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The country\u2019s obsolete power network is another roadblock to Bangladesh\u2019s energy transition. \u201cOur distribution network is decades old, and would not accommodate more than 10% of renewable energy,\u201d Tamim said. Bangladesh\u2019s electricity distribution network is not equipped to automatically regulate power flows, which means that an electricity overload due to additional renewable energy at certain times of the day would burn transformers and power lines. Currently, Tamim explained, power officials resort to creating outages to control the power load, while a more advanced grid system could independently regulate the flow of electricity, making room for more renewable power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Upgrading the grid to deal with climate change, Tamim said, would cost at least USD 20 billion.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bangladesh enters this year\u2019s COP26 negotiations with a clear pitch for sustainable growth, making the case for a certain amount of fossil fuels in the energy mix to sustain the country\u2019s economy in the coming decades, and getting it ready for a deeper energy transition. But Bangladeshi experts agree that this will only be possible if the right financial resources are unlocked and directed towards better infrastructure and <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/hub\/climate-adaptation\/\">adaptation<\/a> in the country. The USD 100 billion per year promised so far to developing countries, wrote <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/67b17114-5503-4db6-a49a-7b8b21355344\">prime minister Hasina<\/a>, \u201cis tiny compared with what developing nations will need in order to build a zero-carbon future\u201d. If \u201cwestern leaders listen, engage and act decisively on what science demands of them,\u201d she added, \u201cthere is still time to make COP26 the success it desperately needs to be.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>South Asian nation bets on gas as a bridge fuel in its updated Nationally Determined Contribution, to enable leap from low- to high-income country by mid-century<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20000114,"featured_media":20080162,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[761],"tags":[17827,585,20000237],"hashtags":[],"country":[20000116],"class_list":["post-20080155","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate","tag-climate-adaptation","tag-renewables","tag-sustainable-development","country-bangladesh"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO 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