{"id":20080193,"date":"2021-10-26T12:30:00","date_gmt":"2021-10-26T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thethirdpole.net\/?p=80193"},"modified":"2022-01-27T20:45:31","modified_gmt":"2022-01-27T15:15:31","slug":"china-coal-exit-will-not-end-pakistan-reliance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/china-coal-exit-will-not-end-pakistan-reliance\/","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s coal exit will not end Pakistan\u2019s reliance on dirty fuel"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap\">Just a few weeks ahead of <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/cop26-explained\/\">COP26<\/a>, China, the world\u2019s biggest public financier of coal, <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/china-to-stop-building-new-coal-power-projects-overseas\/\">announced<\/a> that it will end investments in overseas coal projects. It raised hope in countries that want to make low-carbon energy plans and panic among those who feel they cannot do without coal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The announcement could mean the cancellation of <a href=\"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/repercussions-of-chinas-coal-pledge-on-asian-economies\/\">over 40 gigawatts (GW)<\/a> of pipeline projects in 20 countries, even though China has <a href=\"https:\/\/green-bri.org\/china-belt-and-road-initiative-bri-investment-report-h1-2021\/\">not invested<\/a> in any new coal projects since the beginning of 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pakistan is one of the <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/tag\/belt-and-road\/\">Belt and Road Initiative<\/a> countries where coal formed a major part of energy projects under the <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/regional-cooperation\/pakistan-gwadar-port-long-way-from-trade-hub-vision\/\">China-Pakistan Economic Corridor<\/a> (CPEC).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"20079467\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p>Of the <a href=\"http:\/\/cpec.gov.pk\/energy\">18 \u2018priority<\/a>\u2019 energy projects (11.87 GW) financed by China at around USD 19.55 million, nine (8.22 GW) were coal-fired.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of these, four \u2013 the Huaneng Shandong Ruyi-Sahiwal Coal Power Plant, the Port Qasim Coal-fired Power Plant, the HubCo Coal-fired Power Plant and Sindh-Engro Thar Coal Power Plant \u2013 are complete and have been supplying electricity to the national grid since 2017. Together, their energy output is 4.62 GW.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Michael Kugelman, deputy director for the Asia programme at US-based think-tank the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wilsoncenter.org\/\">Wilson Center<\/a>, said China\u2019s exit from coal is a \u201cblessing in disguise\u201d with opportunities for&nbsp;\u201cbilateral&nbsp;clean energy cooperation\u201d a clear win for the environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even Muhammad Badar-ul-Munir, the chief executive of the 100 MW Quaid-e-Azam Solar Power Pvt Ltd (QASPL) plant, said the end of China\u2019s attachment to overseas coal projects is a \u201cgreat piece of news\u201d, as it may force the government of Pakistan to focus on the much-ignored area of solar power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Back in 2014, QASPL made headlines. As part of the China-backed 1,000 MW Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park in Punjab province, the company set up the first 100 MW of electricity in just under a year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Two years later, Chinese company Zonergy added another 300 MW of solar energy to the national grid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cFor the last five years, work on this first energy project under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has been at a standstill, despite the infrastructure in place for the remaining 900 MW,\u201d Badar-ul-Munir told <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/\">The Third Pole<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He added that now is a good time for the state to pursue new investment: currently solar energy in Pakistan is sold at USD 0.037 per kilowatt-hour (kWh), compared with the USD 0.14\/kWh tariff that the government is stuck with buying from solar projects set up in 2014-2016 under a 25-year agreement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-policies-behind-the-talk\">The policies behind the talk<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe believe green is the way to go,\u201d Asad Umar, Pakistan\u2019s federal minister for planning, development and special initiatives, told <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/\">The Third Pole<\/a>. \u201cWe have always been very critical of the imported coal plants that we inherited from the previous government,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cEven before the recent announcement by China, greening the future development pathway was practically in motion. We had shelved <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/scrapping-imported-coal-projects-pakistan-fails-to-let-go-of-local-lignite\/\">two negotiated imported 2,400 MW coal projects<\/a> under CPEC,\u201d Malik Amin Aslam, the federal minister for climate change, added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"20011258\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p>But the clean energy source Badar-ul-Munir has in mind is different from the one the government has its sights set on: hydropower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Umar, who also heads several CPEC committees, said the \u201cbig dams that are being set up will have massive hydel energy capacity\u201d and that his government favours them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet this in no way means the government is completely washing its hands of dirty fuel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The coal projects in the pipeline under CPEC \u201cwill continue\u201d, according to Umar. However, all \u201cfuture thermal projects will be using the indigenous coal from Tharparkar only\u201d, he said, adding this was reflected in the recently approved 10-year energy roadmap.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/7606039\/embed\" title=\"Interactive or visual content\" class=\"flourish-embed-iframe\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" style=\"width:100%;height:800px;\" sandbox=\"allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation\"><\/iframe><div style=\"width:100%!;margin-top:4px!important;text-align:right!important;\"><a class=\"flourish-credit\" href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/7606039\/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_campaign=visualisation\/7606039\" target=\"_top\" style=\"text-decoration:none!important\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/nepra.org.pk\/Admission%20Notices\/2021\/06%20June\/IGCEP%202021.pdf\">Indicative Generation Capacity Expansion Plan 2021-30<\/a> (IGCEP-2021), approved by the country\u2019s electricity <a href=\"https:\/\/nepra.org.pk\/About.php\">regulator<\/a> last month, is a document that forecasts and calculates future electricity demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe renewable energy share in the total mix in 2030 will be 60%, a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dawn.com\/news\/1595373\">pledge<\/a> made earlier by Prime Minister Imran Khan at the Climate Ambition Summit 2020,\u201d said Umar. But Haneea Isaad, an energy researcher with US think-tank the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA), found that the renewable energy in the overall energy mix is skewed towards hydropower, with 46% allocated to the latter by 2030 and just 16% to solar and wind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/7636741\/embed\" title=\"Interactive or visual content\" class=\"flourish-embed-iframe\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" style=\"width:100%;height:550px;\" sandbox=\"allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation\"><\/iframe><div style=\"width:100%!;margin-top:4px!important;text-align:right!important;\"><a class=\"flourish-credit\" href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/7636741\/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_campaign=visualisation\/7636741\" target=\"_top\" style=\"text-decoration:none!important\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s a blatant violation of the targets set in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aedb.org\/images\/ARE_Policy_2019_AEDB.pdf\">Alternative and Renewable Energy Policy, 2019<\/a>, which states that renewable energy, excluding hydropower, is to have a 30% share [including solar, wind, bagasse, geothermal and biomass] in the generation mix by 2030,\u201d said Isaad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over-reliance on a single source of power, Isaad said, could threaten the reliability of power availability in the country. \u201cFuel diversity is extremely important for energy security in times of climate crises that are upon us,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-push-to-go-further-on-clean-energy\">Push to go further on clean energy<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>If developing countries are to move away from coal, developed countries need to come forward, said Aslam. \u201cOur major energy plans are [based] on renewables and we need the world to step up and assist countries like Pakistan that are committed to a clean energy transition,\u201d he told <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/\">The Third Pole<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The good news is that the world\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/climatetrade.com\/which-countries-are-the-worlds-biggest-carbon-polluters\/\">top two polluters<\/a> have come forward to show support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>China has promised to support developing countries in \u201cgreen and low-carbon energy\u201d and US President Joe Biden has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/environment\/us-seeks-double-climate-change-aid-developing-nations-biden-2021-09-21\/\">pledged<\/a> to double climate financing for developing countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, Pakistan hopes for \u201ccooperation with the Chinese [for] expertise\u201d in exploring gasification and liquefaction options to move away from coal combustion, said Aslam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-accordion block--accordion\"><span class=\"block--accordion__title\">What is coal gasification?<\/span><div class=\"block--accordion__content\"><div class=\"block--accordion__content__inner\"><p>The chemical transformation of coal into synthetic natural gas. It can reduce the need for imported liquefied natural gas, so is attractive from an economic and energy-security perspective. It can also help to address local pollution problems.<\/p><p>However, coal gasification <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/business-26921145\">produces more<\/a> carbon dioxide than traditional coal plants.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Muhammad Mustafa Amjad, a representative of the Pakistan Renewable Energy Coalition, a group dedicated to a cleaner energy transition in Pakistan, is not convinced coal gasification is a good idea. \u201cThe options are not only economically prohibitive but would also lead to higher emissions than burning coal directly,\u201d he told <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/\">The Third Pole<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Instead, he said: \u201cPakistan can ask for technology transfer, increased financing for renewable energy and other nature-based solutions as well as investments in grid upgradation so that more renewables can be incorporated into the energy mix.\u201d This, Amjad said, should be echoed in Pakistan\u2019s revised Nationally Determined Contributions (renewed plans to cut carbon emissions) and be reiterated at COP26.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-a-reality-check\">A reality check<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With China\u2019s coal exit, however, Thar coal may get a new impetus. Of the eight coal plants in Pakistan\u2019s pipeline today (see table above), six are in Tharparkar, in Sindh province. Of these, five are at various stages of completion with the sixth, Oracle, only on paper. The Jamshoro, Lucky Electric and Siddiqsons plants in Thar do not fall under CPEC. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pakistan\u2019s first open-pit lignite mine <a href=\"https:\/\/www.secmc.com.pk\/\">Sindh Engro Coal Mining Company<\/a> (SECMC) and its sister company Engro Powergen Thar Private Limited (EPTL), which together set up two 330 MW power plants in the Tharparkar desert, managed to make it to the finish line just before China stopped pushing overseas coal projects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-pull-quote block--pull-quote\"><div class=\"block--pull-quote__wrapper\"><blockquote class=\"block--pull-quote__quote\">The under-construction coal plants have state guarantees for up to 30 years behind their power purchase agreements which cannot be renegotiated<\/blockquote><cite class=\"block--pull-quote__cite\">Malik Amin Aslam, Pakistan\u2019s minister for climate change<\/cite><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Not only did the two companies (part of CPEC) win the race, the SECMC especially will continue to play an important role in Pakistan\u2019s future energy plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Syed Abul Fazal Rizvi, the former head of the SECMC, the first to mine coal in Thar, said he does not think Pakistan will be rid of coal any time soon. He predicted that with China out of the picture, some of the plants using imported fuel may have to make their plants compatible to be able to <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/opinion-is-pakistan-really-phasing-out-coal\/\">make the switch to locally available lignite<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"20062793\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p>Lignite has more sulphur and ash content and produces less energy when burnt than hard coal. This means that burning lignite in coal power plants creates <a href=\"https:\/\/www.env-health.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/HEAL-Lignite-Briefing-en_web.pdf\">more air pollution<\/a> emissions per megawatt of energy generated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With a current annual mining capacity of 3.8 million tonnes, the SECMC provides coal to not just the EPTL, but will be catering to the coal power plants that Pakistan had set out to build, or are in the pipeline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe under-construction coal plants have state guarantees for up to 30 years behind their power purchase agreements which cannot be renegotiated,\u201d explained Aslam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cDecommissioning them would entail heavy financial costs, which the government cannot afford,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/SECMC-lignite-mine-Thar-Pakistan.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/SECMC-lignite-mine-Thar-Pakistan-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/SECMC-lignite-mine-Thar-Pakistan-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/SECMC-lignite-mine-Thar-Pakistan.jpg 2432w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 2432px\" alt=\"Open-pit lignite mine in Thar, Pakistan, Sindh Engro Coal Mining Company (SECMC)\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">An open-pit lignite mine in the Thar desert (Image: Sindh Engro Coal Mining Company)<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/SECMC-lignite-mine-Thar-Pakistan.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"2 MB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1824\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2432\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The proponents of fossil fuel continue to argue that Pakistan needs a consistent power source in the absence of cheap battery storage. And there are other underlying reasons why Pakistan will still use polluting fossil fuels, said Rizvi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThar coal is indigenous, abundant and has a low forex requirement. The 8,000 MW of coal and 5,000 MW liquefied natural gas (LNG)-based power plants with long-term agreements to purchase power from fossil fuel-based power plants will continue to run to provide the much-needed base load for the country,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cCoal prices are at an all-time high and imported coal at Karachi port today is selling for USD 218 per tonne. Compare it to the indigenous Thar coal which is being sold at approximately USD 61 per tonne!\u201d said Rizvi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"20068519\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, SECMC is the only mining company in Tharparkar\u2019s Block 2, spread over 100 square kilometres, with the exploitable reserves of up to 1.56 billion tonnes \u2013 \u201cgood for 5,000 MWs for the next 50 years\u201d according to Rizvi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He conceded that lignite has half the heating value of imported coal, so power plants using the latter would need almost double the quantity of Thar coal. \u201cEven then it would be cheaper to run the plants using local coal,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The rise in the price of imported coal, according to Rizvi, was due to \u201ca big drop in global mining during the pandemic, environmental restrictions, soaring prices of LNG and RFO [residual fuel oil is a type of low-grade fuel oil],&nbsp;coupled with high sea freight in the post-pandemic economic revival.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given the incredible price surge of gas and coal supplies, Isaad said the time was right for Pakistan to \u201cinvest in adequate renewable energy and a storage-based back-up\u201d. But she also admitted: \u201cPakistan\u2019s energy transition or a move away from fossil fuel-based power will not happen overnight; it will have to be a carefully planned and a well thought-out phase out.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pakistan will continue to develop under-construction coal plants and even turn to highly polluting local sources of the fossil fuel<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20000286,"featured_media":20080194,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[757],"tags":[520,547,585],"hashtags":[],"country":[20000112],"class_list":["post-20080193","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy","tag-coal","tag-fossil-fuels","tag-renewables","country-pakistan"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v26.0) - 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