{"id":20094449,"date":"2022-07-12T12:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-07-12T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thethirdpole.net\/?p=94449"},"modified":"2023-08-18T11:28:44","modified_gmt":"2023-08-18T05:58:44","slug":"heatwave-in-kashmir-spells-difficult-future-for-pastoralists","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/heatwave-in-kashmir-spells-difficult-future-for-pastoralists\/","title":{"rendered":"Heatwave in Kashmir spells difficult future for pastoralists"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap\">This year, the annual migration of Gujjars and Bakarwals to green pastures in Kashmir has not been routine. Usually, the two pastoralist communities spend November to April in Jammu, and May to October in Kashmir, but <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/northern-india-caught-in-vicious-cycle-of-heatwaves-and-forest-fires\/\">soaring heat<\/a> forced them to leave Jammu early this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Arriving at the Banihal Pass in Kashmir late in March, Fula Begum \u2013 a member of the Bakarwal community \u2013 and her family have been struggling to find decent grazing for their sheep. \u201cNatural resources are our sole source of income, but it seems they\u2019re shrinking now. Our flock has to settle for less each day; there is no ample grass available and this is alarming for all of us,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image block--article-image--article\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1638-scaled.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1638-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1638-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1638-scaled.jpg 2560w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 2560px\" alt=\"people on a paved road in hilly area\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">Fula Begum with her family, against a backdrop of what she calls \u201cdried up and burnt\u201d pastures (Image: Kaleem Geelani)<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1638-scaled.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"535 KB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1707\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2560\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-accordion block--accordion\"><span class=\"block--accordion__title\">Who are the Gujjars and Bakarwals?<\/span><div class=\"block--accordion__content\"><div class=\"block--accordion__content__inner\">\n<p>The Gujjar and Bakarwal communities are nomadic pastoralists in India, Pakistan and Afghanistan, who mainly herd goats and sheep. Under the Indian constitution, they are classified as \u201cScheduled Tribes\u201d, indigenous communities who are often socio-economically disadvantaged. According to the census, the <a href=\"https:\/\/tribalaffairs.jk.gov.in\/\">tribal population<\/a> was 1.3 million in 2011, about 12% of Jammu and Kashmir\u2019s total population.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Every summer, pastoralists migrate from Jammu\u2019s forest plains to the alpine meadows of Kashmir. The migration is driven by the need for pasture for their livestock, as Jammu becomes drier in the summer. The nomads traverse mountainous slopes and roads for as long as a month, only stopping briefly along the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-worst-heatwave-in-memory\">The worst heatwave in memory<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This year, the Gujjars and Bakarwals were affected by the unusual heatwave which set new records in March and April. According to Faizan Arif Keng, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hindustantimes.com\/cities\/chandigarh-news\/meet-kashmir-s-weather-spotter-who-is-helping-thousands-with-his-accurate-predictions-101647891996147.html\">an independent weather forecaster<\/a>, these temperatures were over 10 degrees Celsius above normal for several days in March across Jammu and Kashmir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the <a href=\"https:\/\/mausam.imd.gov.in\/\">India Meteorological Department<\/a>, the city of Srinagar, in the high mountains, experienced the warmest March in 131 years this year, with Jammu, just off the plains, recording the second-warmest March temperatures since 1982. Keng told The Third Pole that this trend of rising temperatures inching close to, or breaking, records was true of weather stations across the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/10598652\/embed\" title=\"Interactive or visual content\" class=\"flourish-embed-iframe\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" style=\"width:100%;height:600px;\" sandbox=\"allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation\"><\/iframe><div style=\"width:100%!;margin-top:4px!important;text-align:right!important;\"><a class=\"flourish-credit\" href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/10598652\/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_campaign=visualisation\/10598652\" target=\"_top\" style=\"text-decoration:none!important\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>In April, Pahalgam and Banihal recorded their highest temperatures in a decade, with Batote recording the highest in over two decades. \u201cThere is a clear indication of a larger climatological shift, as weather conditions moved towards extreme points over the past few years,\u201d Keng added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The heatwave destroyed grazing and reduced the availability of water, forcing the pastoralists to migrate early. But, arriving in Kashmir, they found that the heat had affected grazing and water there as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image block--article-image--article\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1700-scaled.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1700-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1700-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1700-scaled.jpg 2560w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 2560px\" alt=\"rocky stream with low water level\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">An unusually dry stream in Omoh Nad, Verinag, in the Kashmir Valley which pastoralists say should have a much higher water level until late August (Image: Kaleem Geelani)<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1700-scaled.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"1 MB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1707\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2560\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThere was a time when we would enjoy grazing our cattle and sheep in vast lands, but those fantasies are gone. Now the same lands depict the look of a desert, making our livestock suffer for want of food,\u201d Altaf Koshi, a pastoralist in his early 50s, told The Third Pole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-little-feed-limited-water\">Little feed, limited water<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Pastoralists are uniquely vulnerable to changes in climate. Because of their nomadic way of life, they mostly don\u2019t own land and remain dependent on forest resources for their livelihood. For 62-year-old Mohd Shafi Bokda, the heatwave has affected his family\u2019s traditional way of life adversely, forcing them to find new ways to ensure the survival of their livestock.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image block--article-image--article\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1654-scaled.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1654-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1654-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1654-scaled.jpg 2560w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 2560px\" alt=\"cattle in rocky stream looked over by man sitting on large rock\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">A pastoralist watches over his cattle as they drink from a stream in Omoh Nad, Verinag, which has shrunk drastically (Image: Kaleem Geelani)<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1654-scaled.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"1 MB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1707\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2560\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cTo feed my flock of 100 sheep, at times we\u2019re left with no other option but to buy straw from local paddy farmers. In the past, I kept over 200 sheep, but I have never come across this much food shortage,\u201d Bokda told The Third Pole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unable to meet growing expenses, Bokda is now considering selling half of his livestock. \u201cIt is better to stay with less than to see all of them dying of starvation tomorrow. Till now, I\u2019ve shelled out about 10 thousand Indian rupees [about USD 130] on grass procurement, and I don\u2019t think I can do it any more.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image block--article-image--article\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1673-scaled.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1673-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1673-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1673-scaled.jpg 2560w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 2560px\" alt=\"children sitting in grassy, hilly area surrounded by shrubs\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">Children posing for a picture amidst greenery which pastoralists say isn\u2019t enough to feed their livestock (Image: Kaleem Geelani)<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1673-scaled.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"1,014 KB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1707\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2560\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image block--article-image--article\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1676-scaled.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1676-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1676-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1676-scaled.jpg 2560w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 2560px\" alt=\"person standing in hilly pasture with dry vegetation\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">Pastures in the upper reaches of Omoh Nad, Verinag, have limited vegetation this year (Image: Kaleem Geelani)<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1676-scaled.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"1 MB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1707\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2560\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Many others face similar problems caused by soaring temperatures. Choudhary Haroon Khatana, a Gujjar and Bakarwal leader, told The Third Pole that sparse grazing has far-reaching consequences for the pastoral community. \u201cNot only are families selling most of their livestock this season, but countless numbers of sheep and cattle are falling prey to deadly diseases, which, for us, is the direct consequence of malnourishment fuelled by the limited availability of food.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-rains-offer-limited-respite\">Rains offer limited respite<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Although occasional rain over the past few weeks has brought some respite, experts believe the heatwave depleted snow reserves at higher elevations, triggering unusually high river flows early in the season and diminishing water resources for this summer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cCurrently, most of the landscapes below 4,300 metres [above sea level] are devoid of snow. We speculate [that] depleted flows during summer might affect irrigated agriculture, if atmospheric circulation patterns prevalent over the Kashmir region do not bring in moisture,\u201d Irfan Rashid, a leading geoinformatics researcher at the University of Kashmir, told The Third Pole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the past two years, annual rainfall has declined in Kashmir. In 2020 and 2021, according to data from the India Meteorological Department, there was a rainfall deficit of 22% and 29%, respectively. This year, between March and May, there has been a 70% rainfall deficit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image block--article-image--article\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1612-scaled.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1612-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1612-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1612-scaled.jpg 2560w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 2560px\" alt=\"women on street carrying vessels on their heads\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">Shahnaza (left) and her friends and family carry water home after fetching it from a nearby stream (Image: Kaleem Geelani)<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_1612-scaled.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"552 KB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1707\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2560\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Pastoralists get their water from the streams that flow down from glaciers, so a possible water shortage is very concerning. \u201cThis is our sole source of water. If it continues to decline further, we\u2019ll be left without any water,\u201d 19-year-old Shahnaza told The Third Pole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Experts, however, say one heatwave is not the problem. Rather, steadily rising temperatures in the mountains are affecting pasture productivity and the water balance in alpine landscapes. \u201cIt will not have an impact on a short-term basis, but the [trend is worrying], given that climate projections for the region point towards relatively warmer temperatures in the future,\u201d the University of Kashmir\u2019s Rashid added.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This year\u2019s heatwave has left the pastoralist community of Jammu and Kashmir with inadequate fodder and water, and many fear an uncertain future in a warming world<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3907,"featured_media":20094540,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[761],"tags":[543,50040317,555,607],"hashtags":[],"country":[20000111],"class_list":["post-20094449","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate","tag-extreme-weather","tag-farming","tag-indigenous-peoples","tag-water-scarcity","country-india"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v26.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Heatwave in Kashmir spells difficult future for pastoralists | Dialogue Earth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This year\u2019s unusual heatwave has left the pastoralist community of Jammu and Kashmir with inadequate fodder and water, and many fear an uncertain future\" \/>\n<meta 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