{"id":28430,"date":"2009-12-19T16:45:26","date_gmt":"2009-12-19T16:45:26","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-05-14T18:39:40","modified_gmt":"2020-05-14T18:39:40","slug":"3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/","title":{"rendered":"The death of the legally binding treaty?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n<meta content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\" http-equiv=\"Content-Type\"><br \/>\n<meta content=\"Word.Document\" name=\"ProgId\"><br \/>\n<meta content=\"Microsoft Word 11\" name=\"Generator\"><br \/>\n<meta content=\"Microsoft Word 11\" name=\"Originator\">\n<link href=\"file:\/\/\/C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CNikkay09%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtml1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml\" rel=\"File-List\" \/><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>\n \n  Normal\n  0\n  \n  \n  false\n  false\n  false\n  \n   \n   \n   \n   \n   \n  \n  MicrosoftInternetExplorer4\n \n<\/xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><![endif]--><!--[if !mso]>\n\n\n<style>\nst1\\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) }\n<\/style>\n\n\n<![endif]--><\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n<!--\n \/* Style Definitions *\/\n p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal\n\t{mso-style-parent:\"\";\n\tmargin:0cm;\n\tmargin-bottom:.0001pt;\n\tfont-size:12.0pt;\"Times New Roman\";\n\tmso-fareast-\"Times New Roman\";}\n@page Section1\n\t{size:612.0pt 792.0pt;\n\tmargin:72.0pt 90.0pt 72.0pt 90.0pt;}\ndiv.Section1\n\t{page:Section1;}\n-->\n<\/style>\n<p><!--[if gte mso 10]>\n\n\n<style>\n \/* Style Definitions *\/\n table.MsoNormalTable\n\t{mso-style-name:\"Table Normal\";\n\tmso-style-parent:\"\";\n\tfont-size:10.0pt;\"Times New Roman\";}\n<\/style>\n\n\n<![endif]-->         <\/meta><br \/>\n<\/meta><br \/>\n<\/meta><br \/>\n<\/meta><br \/>\n<span>The full implications of the deal that was struck on Friday will emerge over time as the many details still to be agreed are negotiated, but the first reactions have been of alarm and disappointment.&nbsp;Some of the initial disappointment was caused by President Obama&rsquo;s description of the result as a separate deal between the United  States, Brazil, India, South Africa and China.&nbsp;The alarm derives from the fear that this spells the end of the treaty led approach to combating climate change. &nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>It is, it is now clear, a wider agreement and has been introduced, though not without resistance, to the COP plenary deliberations.&nbsp;There are still though, some radical implications for the global climate regime. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>On the positive side, a deal has been done that both China and the US have agreed to. On the negative side, the price of that agreement is likely to be the more ambitious mitigation effort. &nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>A key casualty of the last minute negotiations was the mandate given to a working group under the long term cooperative action track to propose a new architecture for 2013 that would take the form of a legally binding treaty. For the EU, which is already committed to legally binding caps, this was a central ambition. But when India proposed to remove it from the mandate, Chancellor Merkel of Germany failed to defend it and it was dropped from the mandate.&nbsp;Some EU officials now fear that the way is open for the abolition of the treaty-based, top down, binding caps that have been fundamental to the multilateral UN approach.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>It remains open to countries to run domestic cap and trade schemes, but it is hard to see cap and trade flourishing globally, the certainty on the carbon price that business has been asking for in order to plan and invest is unlikely in the near term and the need for more ambitious mitigation will not be served by this deal. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Why did this happen? According to diplomatic insiders, China played a key wrecking role.&nbsp;If Copenhagen was about getting the US into the deal, by 2020 China and India were likely to be under pressure to take on legally binding targets. Rather than see that happen, China preferred to destroy the architecture.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>A top down regime with ambitious targets is a stimulus to effort.&nbsp;The best that can be hoped for now is a much less challenging bottom up approach of incremental efficiency and aggregated emissions savings. The one thing that is undisputed as the delegates vacate the Bella Centre, is that this is not enough to keep global average temperature rise below 2 degrees centigrade. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>For an analysis of lessons to be learned, see Simon Zadek&#8217;s latest post <a href=\"https:\/\/ https:\/\/zadek.wordpress.com\/\">here<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The full implications of the deal that was struck on Friday will emerge over time as the many details still to be agreed are negotiated, but the first reactions have been of alarm and disappointment.&nbsp;Some of the initial disappointment was caused by President Obama&rsquo;s description of the result as a separate deal between the United [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":59,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[761],"tags":[],"hashtags":[],"country":[],"class_list":["post-28430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-climate"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v26.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The death of the legally binding treaty? | Dialogue Earth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 The full implications of the deal that was struck on Friday will emerge over time as the many\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The death of the legally binding treaty?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 The full implications of the deal that was struck on Friday will emerge over time as the many\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Dialogue Earth\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2009-12-19T16:45:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-05-14T18:39:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Dialogue-Earth-logo_Thumbnail.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"675\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Isabel Hilton\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Isabel Hilton\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/b550a8437ea36dc345e28d22bf79b18f\"},\"headline\":\"The death of the legally binding treaty?\",\"datePublished\":\"2009-12-19T16:45:26+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-05-14T18:39:40+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/\"},\"wordCount\":473,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Climate\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/\",\"name\":\"The death of the legally binding treaty? | Dialogue Earth\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2009-12-19T16:45:26+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-05-14T18:39:40+00:00\",\"description\":\"Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 The full implications of the deal that was struck on Friday will emerge over time as the many\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"The death of the legally binding treaty?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/\",\"name\":\"Dialogue Earth\",\"description\":\"Global climate and environment news\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#organization\",\"name\":\"\u5bf9\u8bdd\u5730\u7403\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Dialogue-Earth-Symbol-Logo_Black-Text.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Dialogue-Earth-Symbol-Logo_Black-Text.png\",\"width\":256,\"height\":256,\"caption\":\"\u5bf9\u8bdd\u5730\u7403\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DialogueEarth_\",\"\",\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/DialogueEarth.English\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/dialogue.earth\/\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/dialogueearth\/\"],\"publishingPrinciples\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/about\/\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/b550a8437ea36dc345e28d22bf79b18f\",\"name\":\"Isabel Hilton\",\"description\":\"Isabel Hilton is the founder of China Dialogue. She was the CEO for 15 years before stepping down in 2021 to take up the role of Senior Advisor.\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/author\/isabelhilton\/\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/author\/isabelhilton\/\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"The death of the legally binding treaty? | Dialogue Earth","description":"Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 The full implications of the deal that was struck on Friday will emerge over time as the many","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"The death of the legally binding treaty?","og_description":"Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 The full implications of the deal that was struck on Friday will emerge over time as the many","og_url":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/","og_site_name":"Dialogue Earth","article_published_time":"2009-12-19T16:45:26+00:00","article_modified_time":"2020-05-14T18:39:40+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":675,"url":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Dialogue-Earth-logo_Thumbnail.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"Isabel Hilton","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/"},"author":{"name":"Isabel Hilton","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/b550a8437ea36dc345e28d22bf79b18f"},"headline":"The death of the legally binding treaty?","datePublished":"2009-12-19T16:45:26+00:00","dateModified":"2020-05-14T18:39:40+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/"},"wordCount":473,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#organization"},"articleSection":["Climate"],"inLanguage":"en"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/","url":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/","name":"The death of the legally binding treaty? | Dialogue Earth","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#website"},"datePublished":"2009-12-19T16:45:26+00:00","dateModified":"2020-05-14T18:39:40+00:00","description":"Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 The full implications of the deal that was struck on Friday will emerge over time as the many","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/3430-the-death-of-the-legally-binding-treaty\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"The death of the legally binding treaty?"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/","name":"Dialogue Earth","description":"Global climate and environment news","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#organization","name":"\u5bf9\u8bdd\u5730\u7403","url":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Dialogue-Earth-Symbol-Logo_Black-Text.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Dialogue-Earth-Symbol-Logo_Black-Text.png","width":256,"height":256,"caption":"\u5bf9\u8bdd\u5730\u7403"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/twitter.com\/DialogueEarth_","","https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/DialogueEarth.English","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/dialogue.earth\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/dialogueearth\/"],"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/about\/"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/b550a8437ea36dc345e28d22bf79b18f","name":"Isabel Hilton","description":"Isabel Hilton is the founder of China Dialogue. She was the CEO for 15 years before stepping down in 2021 to take up the role of Senior Advisor.","url":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/author\/isabelhilton\/","sameAs":["https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/author\/isabelhilton\/"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28430","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/59"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28430"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28430\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28430"},{"taxonomy":"hashtags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/hashtags?post=28430"},{"taxonomy":"country","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/country?post=28430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}