{"id":31618,"date":"2013-12-18T12:30:00","date_gmt":"2013-12-18T12:30:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-11-12T12:03:18","modified_gmt":"2020-11-12T12:03:18","slug":"6618-china-is-unlikely-to-be-the-saviour-of-us-coal-producers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/6618-china-is-unlikely-to-be-the-saviour-of-us-coal-producers\/","title":{"rendered":"China is unlikely to be the saviour of US coal producers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-24174eca-53e3-46fd-ea4f-a2310773afdb\"> <\/span>US coal companies have struggled since the shale gas boom cut into coal\u2019s traditional share of the domestic electric power sector. Plans to build new coal-fired power plants have also been scrapped because of stricter environmental standards. One encouraging sign was Peabody Energy&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2013-12-18\/china-s-shenhua-to-form-singapore-coal-unit-with-peabody.html\">announcement<\/a> in late December last year that it would work with China\u2019s Shenhua Group to boost its coal exports. Yet while this might offer a short term solution, in the long run China\u2019s demand for coal is likely to weaken.<\/p>\n<p>Peabody Energy operates mines in the US states of Montana, Wyoming and Illinois, as well as in Australia. It and Shenhua will form a Singapore-based joint venture, Sino-Pacific Coal Trading Corp., which is expected to supply coal from Peabody\u2019s production to Shenhua\u2019s electricity-generating units in 2014. Christopher J. Hagedorn, the company\u2019s energy president, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/peabody-energy-nyse-btu-and-chinas-shenhua-group-create-joint-venture-to-supply-shenhua-with-coal-from-peabodys-global-platform-2013-12-18?reflink=MW_news_stmp\">hailed<\/a> the agreement as a \u201csignificant milestone\u201d in Peabody\u2019s Asia growth strategy.<\/p>\n<p>Hagedorn said China and India\u2019s appetite for coal would account for more than 80% of annual world <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/business\/11107-china-s-coal-consumption-on-the-rise\/\">coal demand<\/a>, which he said would grow by 1.2 billion tonnes in the next five years. China\u2019s short-term demand could be a boon for Peabody and its peers. In China domestic producers often <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.cn\/jrzg\/2013-11\/28\/content_2536851.htm\">allocate<\/a> more than 30% of their revenue to pay <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlr.gov.cn\/xwdt\/jrxw\/201309\/t20130929_1276845.htm\">109 types of taxes<\/a>, which means the price tag of imported coal is often much lower. One tonne of US coal <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.sina.com.cn\/roll\/20120523\/025012123869.shtml\">currently costs around 600 Yuan, while the price of Chinese coal <\/a>is around 780 yuan.<\/p>\n<p>Yet a number of studies suggest that Chinese demand will soon wane. Citibank has <a href=\"https:\/\/wallstreetcn.com\/node\/55909\">forecasted<\/a> that China\u2019s economic growth would slow to 5.5% in 2020 from the current 7.4%, on the assumption that the country will not need as much energy to power its economic engine. A University of Oxford study also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2013\/dec\/16\/coals-grim-forecast-chinas-falling-demand\">said<\/a> Chinese demand would fall as the country\u2019s leadership pursues a range of new measures including environmental regulation, carbon pricing and investment in cleaner sources of energy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chinese demand could boost US coal companies, but only in the short term<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1580,"featured_media":56963,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_has_post_settings":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[757],"tags":[],"hashtags":[],"country":[],"class_list":["post-31618","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v26.0) - 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