{"id":34011,"date":"2016-06-22T10:36:00","date_gmt":"2016-06-22T10:36:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-10-09T14:15:57","modified_gmt":"2020-10-09T14:15:57","slug":"9011-how-china-plans-to-curb-new-coal-fired-power","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/9011-how-china-plans-to-curb-new-coal-fired-power\/","title":{"rendered":"How China plans to curb new coal-fired power"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>China&rsquo;s central government has ranked its provinces according to the financial risks posed by investments in coal-fired power,&nbsp;an effort to curb chronic overcapacity in the sector.<\/p>\n<p>The traffic light warning system&nbsp;comes a year after the central government&nbsp;devolved powers on&nbsp;environmental impact assessments related to&nbsp;coal projects.<\/p>\n<p>In the past year, coal mining companies and coal-power generators have been&nbsp;amassing&nbsp;debt, increasing the extent&nbsp;to which&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.chinadialogue.net\/article\/show\/single\/en\/8426-How-the-resources-industry-is-on-the-hook-for-US-2-trillion-of-stranded-assets\">stranded coal assets<\/a> creating financial instability.<\/p>\n<p>But rather than curbing coal-fired power expansion, many provinces appear to be encouraging it, with potentially chaotic consequences for China&#39;s targets on renewable energy.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In response, the National Energy Administration (NEA), a government body presiding over energy policy,&nbsp;and the National Development and Reform Commission (NRDC), an&nbsp;administrative body with control of economic regulations, have published a joint&nbsp;index aimed at highlighting the distribution of risk across the country.&nbsp;This follows a government announcement made in April calling a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.chinadialogue.net\/article\/show\/single\/en\/8794-China-pulls-emergency-stop-on-coal-power-construction\">halt to excessive investment<\/a> in coal-fired power.<\/p>\n<p>The index is composed of three categories, red, amber and green, based on the following criteria: abundance&nbsp;of installed capacity, constraints on local resources (such as water) and economic returns.<\/p>\n<p>Fourteen provinces have been given red alerts that highlight the poorest economic returns; and 17 classed as green, where the risk is least severe (see map below).<\/p>\n<p>Provinces given red warnings <a href=\"https:\/\/www.chinadialogue.net\/article\/show\/single\/en\/8546-Roundtable-What-are-the-benefits-of-China-s-ban-on-new-coal-mines-\">must slow down approvals<\/a> of new coal-fired power projects immediately, while utilities&nbsp;are obliged to exercise&nbsp;caution&nbsp;when approving new projects, and ensure that new projects come online over a longer period of time. &nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>An amber warning signals that&nbsp;provincial governments and businesses should approach new projects with caution.&nbsp;China also has a target to peak carbon emissions by 2030 or before, a goal that would become more complicated if the country&#39;s regions allow lots of new coal-fired power stations to be built despite overcapacity.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The index is based on the predicted &ldquo;reserve rate&rdquo;&nbsp;three years from now. The reserve rate is the generating capacity available in the event of a generation plant&nbsp;going down or other&nbsp;supply disruptions.&nbsp;Under the new alert system, a glut of reserve is classed as red; while a balanced supply and demand, or undersupply and low reserve capacity, is classed as green.<\/p>\n<p>Economic viability is used as one of the index criteria, and is&nbsp;based on the predicted return on investment of new coal-fired power capacity three years in the future. This&nbsp;calculation is&nbsp;compared&nbsp;with the&nbsp;rate of return from&nbsp;interest rates in&nbsp;medium to long-term government bonds.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Where returns are expected to be lower than&nbsp;government bonds, the risk is&nbsp;classed as red; a similar level of return to government bonds is classed as amber; while a higher return than bonds guarantees&nbsp;a&nbsp;rating as green in the traffic light rating system.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div>\n<div id=\"_com_1\" uage=\"JavaScript\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"392\" scrolling=\"no\" src=\"https:\/\/magic.piktochart.com\/embed\/14511194-provinces-with-surplus-installed-capacity\" style=\"overflow-y:hidden;\" width=\"560\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"392\" scrolling=\"no\" src=\"https:\/\/magic.piktochart.com\/embed\/14511285-provinces-with-environmental-constraints\" style=\"overflow-y:hidden;\" width=\"560\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China has introduced a new colour-coded&nbsp;alert system to flag up financially risky coal investments, reports&nbsp;<strong>Feng Hao<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2265,"featured_media":58779,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[757],"tags":[520,13444],"hashtags":[],"country":[],"class_list":["post-34011","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy","tag-coal","tag-electric-vehicles"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v26.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How China plans to curb new coal-fired power | Dialogue Earth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"China has introduced a new colour-coded&nbsp;alert system 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