{"id":34397,"date":"2016-11-16T18:40:00","date_gmt":"2016-11-16T18:40:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-09-28T16:53:05","modified_gmt":"2020-09-28T16:53:05","slug":"9397-brics-face-us-51billion-annual-shortfall-for-clean-energy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/business\/9397-brics-face-us-51billion-annual-shortfall-for-clean-energy\/","title":{"rendered":"BRICS face US$51billion annual shortfall for clean energy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p dir=\"ltr\"><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-aa826402-4e3c-832f-e00b-3f4f6ed8a84b\">Financing clean energy infrastructure was high on the agenda at the BRICS Leaders\u2019 Summit in Goa last month. But recent research has found that the BRICS countries \u2013 Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa \u2013 face a US$51 billion (344 billion yuan) annual funding shortfall to meet projected demand for new clean energy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/ieefa.org\/51-billion-gap-51-billion-opportunity-brics-nations-renewable-energy-development\/\">study<\/a>, by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA), looks at the national renewable energy targets of BRICS countries and also the national estimates for the total required investment to meet them. BRICS countries have a collective renewable energy target of approximately 1250 gigawatts between 2020 and 2030, at a total estimated cost of US$975 billion (6.6 trillion yuan).<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-aa826402-4e3c-832f-e00b-3f4f6ed8a84b\">The majority of the required investment (US$622 billion) will be in China, although major investments will also be needed in India (US$157bn) and Brazil (US$120bn).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"overflow-y: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/magic.piktochart.com\/embed\/17186215-new-piktochart\" width=\"560\" height=\"280\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><br \/>\n<span id=\"docs-internal-guid-aa826402-4e3c-832f-e00b-3f4f6ed8a84b\">\u200b<br \/>\n<strong>BRICS lead in renewables investment<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Despite the US$51 billion shortfall, four of the five BRICS countries rank in the global top ten for renewables investment. In 2015, about 40% of global investment in clean energy was in China, India, Brazil or South Africa. Led by China, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ren21.net\/status-of-renewables\/global-status-report\/\">investment in clean energy<\/a> in emerging and developing countries was ahead of developed countries for the first time.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"overflow-y: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/magic.piktochart.com\/embed\/17184474-new-piktochart\" width=\"560\" height=\"280\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><strong>Also see:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/business\/10036-following-the-green-brics-road\/\">Following the green BRICS road<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-aa826402-4e3c-832f-e00b-3f4f6ed8a84b\"><strong>Annual investment<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>To meet the energy investment targets, BRICS countries need to cumulatively spend approximately US$177 billion (1.2 trillion yuan) annually. But at the moment, they\u2019re a long way off. China accounts for the majority of low carbon investment with US$102.9 billion annually. Excluding China, the other four BRICS countries need to invest US$52 billion annually, but in 2015 they invested only US$23 billion \u2013 less than half what they said they would.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"overflow-y: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/magic.piktochart.com\/embed\/17185211-new-piktochart\" width=\"560\" height=\"280\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-aa826402-4e3c-832f-e00b-3f4f6ed8a84b\"><strong>Investment barriers <\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>China is investing significantly more than other BRICS countries but policy challenges and high levels of renewables curtailment \u2013 when available energy is not dispatched to the grid \u2013 demonstrate the challenge of scaling-up green energy investment.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCurtailment, which is a symptom of an ineffective policy framework, is taking a major toll on renewable energy investments,\u201d said Li Shuo, senior climate policy adviser at Greenpeace East Asia. He added: \u201cHeavy curtailment and decreasing utilisation hours for wind is becoming evident in dampening investor enthusiasm.\u201d So despite a significant increase in China of wind capacity in the first three quarters of 2016 to 140 gigawatts, total investment in the technology dropped by 29%.<\/p>\n<p>On the plus side, as wind and solar power prices fall quickly, China could meet its 2020 renewable energy targets more cheaply than expected.<\/p>\n<p>In Russia, Western sanctions and low oil and gas prices have created tough economic conditions that have stymied investor interest in clean energy. The state\u2019s dependence on the oil and gas sectors for tax revenues means that there is limited political will to develop clean energy. Russia\u2019s goal of 4.5% renewable electricity (excluding hydropower) by 2020 has already been moved back to 2024. With limited political commitment and an unattractive investment environment, it will be extremely challenging for Russia to fill the US$10 billion annual investment gap identified by IEEFA.<\/p>\n<p>Brazil\u2019s economy is also struggling but despite a decrease in projected power demand, the Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES) has signalled that it will continue to fund renewable energy projects such as wind and solar PV, stop investment in coal and limit loans for natural gas and hydro, according to Roberto Kishinami, power portfolio coordinator at the Institute for Climate and Society (ICS).<\/p>\n<p>Kishinami expects renewables to continue to gain a larger share of Brazil\u2019s energy supply. \u201cDriven by the decrease at unit investment cost and increased finance support from BNDES, there is an expected growth in the share of wind power plants (currently 6.5% of installed capacity), followed by PV and large biomass power plants,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Blended finance<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Although a number of BRICS countries are facing challenging economic circumstances, the extent to which this translates to additional risk for investors will depend on the availability of public finance for clean energy investment. IEEFA note the importance of blended finance mechanisms to help fill the gap in renewable energy investment.<\/p>\n<p>According to the World Economic Forum, the current <a href=\"https:\/\/www3.weforum.org\/docs\/WEF_Blended_Finance_A_Primer_Development_Finance_Philanthropic_Funders.pdf\">global capital market is US$218 trillion<\/a>. In 2015, approximately <a href=\"https:\/\/fs-unep-centre.org\/sites\/default\/files\/publications\/globaltrendsinrenewableenergyinvestment2016lowres_0.pdf\">US$156 billion was invested<\/a> in renewable energy infrastructure in developing countries. Blended finance mechanisms could help direct private investments towards filling the renewable energy investment gap in BRICS countries.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-aa826402-4e3c-832f-e00b-3f4f6ed8a84b\">Public funds in other parts of the world such as the Danish Climate Investment Fund are already using blended finance to catalyse private capital for renewable energy projects. However, the increased investment risk, combined with less developed debt and equity markets, means that BRICS countries are struggling to attract private investors, according to IEEFA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Without adequate public finance that can act as a catalyst for private funds by providing credit guarantees and equity or debt financing at subsidised rates, these investments will remain untapped.<\/p>\n<p>IEEFA argues that additional public finance of nearly US$10 billion from national and multilateral sources such as the New Development Bank (NDB) \u2013 a multilateral development bank established by the BRICS countries \u2013 is needed so that under blended finance mechanisms, public funds can catalyse around four times that amount (US$41bn) in private investment to make up for the current US$51Bn shortfall.<\/p>\n<p>Author of the IEEFA report, Jai Sharda said: \u201cThe NDB plans to increase its loan book by about US$1.2bn annually over the next three years, which is only 11.7% of the incremental capital required from public institutions. As such, there is a clear need to increase the rate at which it deploys additional capital.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Given that the NDB is unlikely to scale-up sufficiently over the next decade, other multilateral banks such as the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank may need to step in.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"overflow-y: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/magic.piktochart.com\/embed\/17187876-new-piktochart\" width=\"560\" height=\"280\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-aa826402-4e3c-832f-e00b-3f4f6ed8a84b\"><strong>Ways forward<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Investment in low-carbon infrastructure by developing economies is essential to achieving global net zero emissions but the NDB must do more to finance green projects, according to Peng Peng, director of policy research at the Chinese Renewable Energy Industries Association.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe NDB should support the development of renewable energy in BRICS countries, which are representatives of the developing world, to reduce long-term energy costs and dependence on fossil fuels. NDB should have its own programmes supporting clean energy and should support BRICS programs to achieve long-term low-cost financing in the international financial market,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n<p>The NDB is investing, but mostly in small-scale projects. This year it has issued loans totalling US$911 million so far to clean energy projects.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"overflow-y: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/magic.piktochart.com\/embed\/17183348-brics-ndb-funded-projects\" width=\"560\" height=\"280\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-aa826402-4e3c-832f-e00b-3f4f6ed8a84b\">One of the main challenges in scaling-up the NDB\u2019s loanbook from the small-scale projects it\u2019s funded so far is the need to establish a solid environmental framework for investment and ensure that investments are properly targeted.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Kevin Gallagher, professor of Global Development Policy at Boston University cautioned that: \u201cThe initial group of projects financed by the NDB show that it can move to fill [the investment] gap, but may be &#8216;diluting&#8217; its portfolio by looking at relatively less green projects.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>He added: \u201cAnother challenge will be whether the NDB can mitigate the social and environmental risks associated with large energy projects &#8211; regardless of their emissions level, large energy projects can cause other social and environmental risks that can adversely impact bank performance and the overall effectiveness of projects themselves.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BRICS countries need to increase investment in low carbon energy to meet climate targets, says think-tank<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2365,"featured_media":59177,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[758,757],"tags":[512,585],"hashtags":[],"country":[],"class_list":["post-34397","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","category-energy","tag-brics","tag-renewables"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO 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