{"id":36154,"date":"2019-03-26T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2019-03-26T11:00:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2024-06-12T12:19:46","modified_gmt":"2024-06-12T11:19:46","slug":"11154-public-criticism-pressures-vietnam-to-back-down-on-new-economic-zones","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/business\/11154-public-criticism-pressures-vietnam-to-back-down-on-new-economic-zones\/","title":{"rendered":"Public criticism pressures Vietnam to back down on new economic zones"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In June 2018, public demonstrations swept through major towns in six provinces, catching the Vietnamese government off guard and pressuring it to postpone a law on Special Economic Zones (SEZs).<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/chinadialogue-production.s3.amazonaws.com\/uploads\/content_image\/content_image\/5092\/Three_SEZs_in_Vietnam__marked.jpg\" style=\"float: right; width: 300px; height: 482px; margin: 3px 5px;\">The Vietnamese government argues that if the law is passed by the National Assembly it could spark new investment and economic reform. Nguyen Van Phuc, former head of the National Assembly\u2019s Economic Committee, <a href=\"https:\/\/english.vietnamnet.vn\/fms\/business\/200799\/saezs-to-spur-vietnam-s-economic-development.html\">told the business community<\/a> last May: \u201cInvestors highly appreciate this law as it mirrors Vietnam\u2019s radical change in the mindset of investment attraction.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But the Vietnamese public fears that Chinese companies would be the main beneficiary of the new set of investor incentives, including for the first time the offer of 99-year leases.<\/p>\n<p>The law aims to establish three SEZs \u00ad\u2013 also the first of their kind in Vietnam \u2013 including the strategic locations Van Don, North Van Phong and Phu Quoc. Several Vietnamese intellectuals have warned that these locations could pose national security threats to the nation if they fall into the wrong hands.<\/p>\n<p>China is Vietnam\u2019s top trading partner although it represents only 5.8% of total foreign investment, ranking seventh and far behind Korea and Japan.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Gambling on SEZs<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Vietnamese government sees new SEZs&nbsp;as an important driver of economic growth and development, despite questionable results from existing ones.<\/p>\n<p>Government advisor V\u00f5 Tr\u00ed Th\u00e0nh a senior economist at the Central Institute for Economic Management (CIEM) <a href=\"https:\/\/vietnamnews.vn\/economy\/449247\/viet-nam-bets-on-success-of-sezs.html#QmgRkzRiGYZS4xKO.97\">said<\/a>: \u201cThe purpose of developing SEZs is to create a leading edge for the country\u2019s growth in the face of a scarcity of resources, and political and social complexities.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Vietnam has already established 18 coastal SEZs with up to 325 state-supported industrial parks throughout the country. However the <a href=\"https:\/\/thediplomat.com\/2017\/02\/is-vietnam-in-for-another-devastating-drought\/\">majority of the agricultural land<\/a> taken for this industrialisation remains unused.<\/p>\n<p>Vietnamese academic Nguyen Minh Quang at Can Tho University, and co-founder of the <a href=\"https:\/\/mekongenvironmentforum.org\/\">Mekong Environment Forum<\/a>, has noted that the majority of these projects are riddled with poor performance and mismanagement, accompanied by severe environmental degradation and land waste.<\/p>\n<p>The Ministry of Finance estimates Vietnam will need <a href=\"https:\/\/english.vietnamnet.vn\/fms\/business\/199302\/3-sezs-to-cost-vietnam-whopping--70-billion.html\">US$70 billion<\/a> to develop the three new SEZs. In the case of of Phu Quoc Island,&nbsp;foreign investors would be expected to furnish 41% of the capital, with Vietnam providing the rest.<br \/>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><iframe class=\"highcharts-iframe\" src=\"https:\/\/cloud.highcharts.com\/embed\/J9iVG2UiI\/\" style=\"border: 0; width: 100%; height: 480px\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Huynh The Du, an expert on public policy from the Fulbright Economics Teaching Program (FETP), has highlighted the cost burden on the national economy. Speaking to Vietnamese daily <em>Tuoi Tre Du<\/em> he commented: \u201cIt is necessary to examine whether the benefits brought by the SEZs are higher than the costs.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>By <a href=\"https:\/\/english.vietnamnet.vn\/fms\/business\/185062\/vn-s-hopes-three-sezs-to-attract-billions-of-usd-in-investment.html\">current estimates<\/a>, Vietnam would be lucky to raise $10 billion in income.<\/p>\n<p>In his article published in <em>Vietnam News<\/em>, government advisor Vo Tri Thanh seemed to accept the high-risk factor with his exhortation that \u201cVietnam must dare to play and bet on the success of SEZs\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>In spite of the unimpressive track record of such projects, government ministers have talked up the projects as \u201cmini-Singapore hubs based on green, high-tech, and knowledge-based\u201d businesses and industries.<\/p>\n<p>However, leading economist V\u0169 Quang Vi\u1ec7t, a former UN staff economist and former advisor to reformist prime minister Vo Van Kiet is not convinced.&nbsp;He <a href=\"https:\/\/www.catholicethics.com\/forum-submissions\/protests-against-special-economic-zones-in-vietnam\">warns<\/a> that the \u201cspecial zones would hardly attract any form of clean hi-tech industries\u2026for the draft law mainly focuses on property and casino markets\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Writing in the <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.straitstimes.com\/asia\/se-asia\/vietnam-bets-on-success-of-sezs-viet-nam-news\">Straits Times<\/a><\/em>, V\u00f5 Tr\u00ed Th\u00e0nh, senior economic advisor at CIEM,&nbsp;concedes that \u201cthe lack of transparency and preventive measures in dealing with troubles prior to the project implementation has caused some social disorder, such as land fever in the areas of special economic zones\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>It is unclear&nbsp;how the&nbsp;government&nbsp;will implement its policy statements about stopping land-grabbing from poor farmers and real estate speculation.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pollution scandals<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The backlash against proposed SEZs may also reflect legitimate concerns about the environmental record of Chinese investment in Vietnam.<\/p>\n<p>In 2009, the first major protest was against a Chinese corporation (a subsidiary of Chinalco) exploiting a bauxite mine in the Central Highlands of Vietnam. Bauxite extraction through open-cast mines produces a toxic red sludge that can cause serious pollution if it washes into streams and rivers.<\/p>\n<p>Ho Chi Minh\u2019s right-hand man and war hero&nbsp;General Vo Nguyen Giap endorsed the protests and called on the prime minister to cancel the Chinese deal.<\/p>\n<p>A Chinese-owned electric generator factory was at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asianews.it\/news-en\/Angry-protests-break-out-against-China-over-potential-land-grabs-in-Vietnam-44131.html\">centre of a demonstration<\/a> in Phan Ri Cura, B\u00ecnh Thu\u1eadn province last May. According to local people the company had stripped local hills of all vegetation and left scores of children with dangerously high levels of lead in their blood.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Put on hold<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The plethora of complaints and problems generated by Vietnam\u2019s SEZ experience cannot easily be fixed. Many Vietnamese economists argue the country needs to attract more responsible hi-tech investment, rather than casinos and resorts particularly favoured by Chinese investors.<\/p>\n<p>But this did not deter Vietnam\u2019s prime minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc from appealing for more Chinese investment at the International Import Expo of China (CIIE 2018) in Shanghai.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, Vietnam is most likely to gain more Chinese investment as a by-product of the US-China trade war. Dr Paul Chamber, a lecturer at the College of ASEAN Community Studies, Naresuan University,&nbsp;told <em>chinadialogue<\/em>: \u201cChina increasingly needs Vietnam in order to avoid US sanctions and is eager to take advantage of Vietnam\u2019s lower wages in the manufacturing sector and its most-favoured-nation trading status.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>If the government is to retain political legitimacy in the face of public anxiety and fear over rapidly increasing Chinese investment, they have to develop a new paradigm for dealing with an old headache \u2013 the longstanding dilemma of balancing antagonism over unresolved water conflicts with the necessity of peaceful cooperation and coexistence with the regional superpower sitting on their norther border.<\/p>\n<p>The Vietnamese public are also deeply worried that with Chinese capital and investment fast expanding in the region, China\u2019s soft power can also imperil their hard-won struggle for independence.<\/p>\n<p>The approval and ratification of the SEZ law had been delayed until May 2019 but now appears more likely to be put on the back-burner. Pham Chi Lan, an economic advisor to several former prime ministers, commented: \u201cI don\u2019t think the government will bring it back to the National Assembly this year, it is just too controversial.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The special zones law has been delayed until May 2019 and could be cancelled altogether, writes Tom Fawthrop<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2703,"featured_media":60377,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[758,760],"tags":[516,566,50042156],"hashtags":[],"country":[],"class_list":["post-36154","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","category-pollution","tag-civil-society","tag-mining","tag-overseas-investment"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v26.0) - 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