{"id":36960,"date":"2020-04-15T10:34:00","date_gmt":"2020-04-15T10:34:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-06-20T16:57:53","modified_gmt":"2020-06-20T16:57:53","slug":"11960-the-climate-cost-of-china-s-digital-infrastructure-rush","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/11960-the-climate-cost-of-china-s-digital-infrastructure-rush\/","title":{"rendered":"The climate cost of China\u2019s digital infrastructure rush"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A slowing economy and the coronavirus pandemic has prompted China\u2019s leadership to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.cn\/xinwen\/2020-03\/04\/content_5486931.htm\">call<\/a> for faster construction of \u201cneo-infrastructure\u201d such as data centres and 5G networks, to stabilise investment and provide high-quality growth.<\/p>\n<p>The concept of \u201cneo-infrastructure\u201d arose in a Central Economic Work Conference in late 2018, to refer to digitalisation and smart technology, as opposed to traditional infrastructure like roads and railways. The coronavirus pandemic has pushed the idea to new prominence.<\/p>\n<p>But the energy and climate impacts need to be considered. Construction of data centres and 5G networks should be low-carbon and based on market demand, not blind enthusiasm. The government should continue overseeing data centre expansion and energy efficiency improvements, and steer the sector towards greater use of renewable energy. This will aid the economic recovery in the near term and provide sustainable growth for the long term.<\/p>\n<h2>Neo-infrastructure expansion<\/h2>\n<p>Last June, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology began issuing 5G licences. Commercial use followed in October and investment expanded rapidly. The ministry\u2019s own <a href=\"https:\/\/www.miit.gov.cn\/n1146295\/n7281315\/c7696440\/content.html\">statistics<\/a> for 2019 show 130,000 5G base stations installed by the end of that year, with user numbers increasing by one million a month.<\/p>\n<p>The year will be\u00a0crucial for the 5G roll-out. <a href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s\/OL0bZeKWqGNShSuaixjtwg\">Nineteen provinces<\/a> list \u201cpromoting construction of 5G networks\u201d as a key priority, and <a href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s\/cY0u0tkCPyGpgDBaKgUM2Q\">over 200<\/a> provincial-level policy documents on 5G have been published. The three major mobile operators \u2013 China Mobile, China Telecom and China Unicom \u2013 along with state-owned telecommunication tower firm China Tower, will invest 197.3 billion yuan ($28 billion) in 5G networks. Around 550,000 base stations, covering <a href=\"https:\/\/www.xinhuanet.com\/fortune\/2020-03\/26\/c_1125768416.htm\">all prefecture-level cities<\/a>, are expected to be operational\u00a0by the end of the year.<\/p>\n<p>Data centre investment\u00a0is also ramping up. In 2019, China had\u00a0about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thepaper.cn\/newsDetail_forward_6472851\">74,000 data centres<\/a>, 23% of the global total. The last three years have seen investment in data centre software and hardware increase by an average of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thepaper.cn\/newsDetail_forward_6472851\">15%<\/a> a year \u2013 almost twice the global average rate of growth.<\/p>\n<p>One hundred major data centre projects, both those serving specific corporations and internet users more generally,\u00a0are in the planning pipeline this year, according to lists published by reform and development authorities at the provincial level. Consultants IDCquan estimate that China\u2019s internet data centre (IDC) market, including server hosting, content delivery network services and public cloud services, will be worth <a href=\"https:\/\/www.idcquan.com\/Special\/2020baogao\/\">320.1 billion yuan<\/a> ($45 billion) by 2022 \u2013 a 15-fold rise on 2012.<\/p>\n<p><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 600px;\" src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/1943552\/embed\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 100%!; margin-top: 4px!important; text-align: right!important;\"><\/div>\n<h2>Energy issues<\/h2>\n<p>As 5G networks and data centres expand, so does the energy they consume to run and cool the\u00a0equipment 24 hours a day. These two needs each account for about 40% of a data centre\u2019s total energy use, <a href=\"https:\/\/technology.informa.com\/571512\/data-center-cooling-report-2016\">according<\/a> to the 2016 China Data Center Cooling Report.<\/p>\n<p>China\u2019s data centres consumed 161 billion kilowatt hours of electricity in 2018, according to a report <a href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/%E7%82%B9%E4%BA%AE%E7%BB%BF%E8%89%B2%E4%BA%91%E7%AB%AF%EF%BC%9A%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD%E6%95%B0%E6%8D%AE%E4%B8%AD%E5%BF%83%E8%83%BD%E8%80%97%E4%B8%8E%E5%8F%AF%E5%86%8D%E7%94%9F%E8%83%BD%E6%BA%90%E4%BD%BF%E7%94%A8%E6%BD%9C%E5%8A%9B%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6.pdf\">published<\/a> last year by Greenpeace and North China Electric Power University. That is 2% of the country\u2019s total usage and more than the city of Shanghai. Data centre power consumption is projected to grow 66% by 2023, to 267 billion kilowatt hours.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>By 2023 China&#8217;s data centres alone will produce 163 million tonnes of carbon emissions \u2013 equivalent to\u00a0a medium-sized country.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Assuming China\u2019s energy mix remains the same, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/%E7%82%B9%E4%BA%AE%E7%BB%BF%E8%89%B2%E4%BA%91%E7%AB%AF%EF%BC%9A%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD%E6%95%B0%E6%8D%AE%E4%B8%AD%E5%BF%83%E8%83%BD%E8%80%97%E4%B8%8E%E5%8F%AF%E5%86%8D%E7%94%9F%E8%83%BD%E6%BA%90%E4%BD%BF%E7%94%A8%E6%BD%9C%E5%8A%9B%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6.pdf\">report<\/a> estimated that by 2023 its data centres will produce 163 million tonnes of carbon emissions \u2013 equivalent to those of a medium-sized country.<\/p>\n<p>5G networks are also facing energy challenges. According to a Huawei white paper on telecommunications sector energy targets, 5G energy consumption per unit of data is a tenth that of 4G. But 5G requires two to three times as many base stations and carries more data. So energy consumption per base station is between <a href=\"https:\/\/carrier.huawei.com\/~\/media\/CNBGV2\/download\/products\/network-energy\/5G-Telecom-Energy-Target-Network-White-Paper-cn.pdf\">3 and 3.5 times<\/a> that of 4G, and overall network power consumption will double, to over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.huawei.com\/cn\/industry-insights\/outlook\/mobile-broadband\/wireless-for-sustainability\/cases\/power-a-green-5g-era-with-huawei-5g-power\">100 billion kilowatt hours<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Research from Canada\u2019s McMaster University <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S095965261733233X\">predicts<\/a> that by 2040\u00a0information and communications technology (ICT)\u00a0will account for 14% of global emissions, up from 1.6% in 2007, with data centres accounting for 45% of this, telecoms networks for 24% and end user equipment for 31%.<\/p>\n<p><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 600px;\" src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/1944025\/embed\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 100%!; margin-top: 4px!important; text-align: right!important;\"><\/div>\n<h2>Steering towards the green<\/h2>\n<p>If China\u2019s neo-infrastructure is to be green and low-carbon, better energy efficiency and a shift to renewable power are crucial.<\/p>\n<p>In a document on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.miit.gov.cn\/n1146295\/n1652858\/n1652930\/n3757020\/c5597642\/content.html\">energy saving and emissions reduction in the IT and telecoms sectors<\/a> for the 13<sup>th<\/sup> Five Year Plan period, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said that \u201cby 2020, energy consumption in the telecoms sector will be on a par with advanced international levels, with a 10% fall in overall energy consumption per service unit on 2015 levels\u201d. It\u00a0required large data centres (containing over 3,000 server racks) and very large centres (of over 10,000 racks) to achieve\u00a0power usage effectiveness (PUE) values of less than 1.4 and draw much more energy from new and renewable energy sources.\u00a0PUE is an important measure of data centre efficiency. The closer the value is to 1, the less power is needed for processes such as cooling, and the more efficient the data centre is.<\/p>\n<p>Interviews carried out in 2019 found that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sohu.com\/a\/331061317_255783\">85%<\/a> of 200 large and medium-sized firms had data centres with PUE values of between 1.5 and 2.0 \u2013 leaving much room for improvement.<\/p>\n<div class=\"factbox\">\n<header>\n<h2>China\u2019s digital infrastructure, in numbers<\/h2>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"content\">\n<ul>\n<li><strong>74,000<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0The number of data centres in China in 2019 \u2013\u00a023% of the global total.<\/li>\n<li><strong>$28 billion<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0Predicted investment in 5G networks in 2020 by China Mobile, China Telecom, China Unicom and China Tower.<\/li>\n<li><strong>161 billion kilowatt hours<\/strong>\u00a0 The electricity consumed by China\u2019s data centres in 2018 \u2013 more than the city of Shanghai.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-4a2817fd-7fff-4adb-3fff-08b7435742a1\">The provincial-level city regions, with their high concentrations of data centres, have been first to act, guided in part by the central government\u2019s <\/span><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-4a2817fd-7fff-4adb-3fff-08b7435742a1\">13<\/span>th Five Year Plan\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.cn\/zhengce\/2017-12\/18\/content_5248190.htm\">targets<\/a> for energy consumption and intensity.<\/p>\n<p>Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen have applied strict PUE rules when approving new data centres, pushing the sector towards greener operations.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-4a2817fd-7fff-4adb-3fff-08b7435742a1\">In 2018, Beijing brought in a citywide\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.cn\/xinwen\/2018-09\/27\/content_5325673.htm\">ban<\/a> on the construction or expansion of internet and information processing and storage data centres, with the exception of cloud computing data centres with a PUE of 1.4 or less. It also implemented a complete ban on data centre construction or expansion in the city centre.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-4a2817fd-7fff-4adb-3fff-08b7435742a1\">In 2019, Shanghai\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/cloud.tencent.com\/developer\/news\/380972\">decided<\/a> that by 2020, the PUE of new internet data centres must be 1.3 or below, and the PUE of refitted ones must be 1.4 or below. Meanwhile Shenzhen\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dtdata.cn\/news\/show-4522.html\">said<\/a> data centres with a PUE of over 1.4 will receive no subsidies, while those with less than 1.25 can obtain a subsidy of over 40%.<\/p>\n<p>Unlike the explicit energy efficiency target, central government policy on more use of renewable energy in data centres remains one of guidance and encouragement. The overall direction is clear, but there are no specific figures on how far to go.<\/p>\n<p>The report from Greenpeace and North China Electric Power University shows that currently there is no trend towards scaled procurement of renewable energy in China\u2019s data centre industry. In 2018, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/%E7%82%B9%E4%BA%AE%E7%BB%BF%E8%89%B2%E4%BA%91%E7%AB%AF%EF%BC%9A%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD%E6%95%B0%E6%8D%AE%E4%B8%AD%E5%BF%83%E8%83%BD%E8%80%97%E4%B8%8E%E5%8F%AF%E5%86%8D%E7%94%9F%E8%83%BD%E6%BA%90%E4%BD%BF%E7%94%A8%E6%BD%9C%E5%8A%9B%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6.pdf\">23%<\/a> of the sector\u2019s power came from renewables. Only a few cities have taken the lead and planned for joint development of renewables and data centres. For example, Zhangjiakou in Hebei, where a 2019-2025 plan for big data development aims to see 70% of data centre power come from renewables by 2021, and at least <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hebei.gov.cn\/hebei\/11937442\/10756595\/10756620\/14732790\/index.html\">90%<\/a> by 2025.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>China\u2019s construction of 5G networks and data centres will\u00a0decide the future of the digital economy \u2013 and help determine whether or not the country can achieve low-carbon development.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Zhangjiakou, a national-level pilot city for renewable energy and one of the host cities of the 2022 Winter Olympics, created China\u2019s first \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/he.people.com.cn\/n2\/2018\/1116\/c192235-32293867.html\">four-way coordination mechanism<\/a>\u201d in 2017, involving the government, the grid, power generators and users. Via that mechanism, Alibaba and Stack Data purchased <a href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/clean-cloud-2020.pdf\">140 million and 95 million kilowatt hours<\/a> of renewable energy respectively in the first three quarters of 2019, to be used to power their data centres. For the first half of that year, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.chinanews.com\/business\/2019\/12-27\/9045115.shtml\">56%<\/a> of power used by Stack Data\u2019s Guanting facility in the city came from renewables. In August 2019, Alibaba\u2019s data centre facility drew <a href=\"https:\/\/shupeidian.bjx.com.cn\/html\/20190820\/1001137.shtml\">40%<\/a> of its power from renewables.<\/p>\n<p>Central government policy support has seen multiple national-level big data and data centre pilot projects sprout up in renewables-rich provinces such as Guizhou, Sichuan and Inner Mongolia.<\/p>\n<p>Construction of new data centres is currently being shifted from major cities to\u00a0neighbouring ones\u00a0and the western provinces. It is hoped that the faster data speeds of 5G networks will intensify the shift to central and western China, which have abundant renewable energy. That would both make use of renewables in the west and, under improving power efficiency policies, promote the sector\u2019s move to green and low-carbon growth by improving its energy mix.<\/p>\n<p>Internationally, there is broad recognition of the need to reduce power use and emissions in data centres and the ICT industry generally. The European Commission recently published a <a href=\"https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/info\/sites\/info\/files\/communication-shaping-europes-digital-future-feb2020_en_4.pdf\">digital strategy document<\/a> pointing out the EU\u2019s ICT industry can and should become carbon neutral by 2030.<\/p>\n<p>And with the combination of China\u2019s neo-infrastructure plans and green development requirements, the country\u2019s construction of 5G networks and data centres will not just decide the future of the digital economy \u2013 it will help determine whether or not China can achieve its goal of green and low-carbon development.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Faced with slowing economic growth, China is pushing the construction of\u00a0data centres and 5G networks<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3650,"featured_media":60817,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[757],"tags":[40027749,597],"hashtags":[],"country":[20000110],"class_list":["post-36960","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy","tag-big-data","tag-technology","country-china"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v26.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The climate cost of China\u2019s digital infrastructure rush | Dialogue Earth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Faced with slowing economic growth, China is pushing the construction of\u00a0data centres and 5G networks\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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