{"id":50031546,"date":"2019-11-08T18:17:21","date_gmt":"2019-11-08T18:17:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stage.dialogochino.net\/?p=31546"},"modified":"2023-03-12T15:28:59","modified_gmt":"2023-03-12T15:28:59","slug":"31546-paraguays-agribusiness-pushes-for-china-market-access","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/business\/31546-paraguays-agribusiness-pushes-for-china-market-access\/","title":{"rendered":"Paraguay&#8217;s agribusiness pushes for China market access"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Paraguayan cow has become an unlikely pawn in US-China corrivalry in South America. Exports of beef from Paraguay to China, the world\u2019s largest consumer market, have long been blocked by the former&#8217;s longstanding recognition of Taiwan.<\/p>\n<p>Yet with local agribusiness pressuring the government to reassess its trade relations with China and the US anxious to prevent more Latin American nations \u201cflipping\u201d towards Beijing, the South American nation has been able, for now at least, to extract concessions.<\/p>\n<h2>Stuck in the middle with Wu<\/h2>\n<p>Joseph Wu, Taiwan\u2019s foreign minister, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.efe.com\/efe\/america\/economia\/taiwan-anuncia-la-eliminacion-de-cuotas-a-las-exportaciones-carne-paraguaya\/20000011-4099635\">announced<\/a> on a 30 October visit to Paraguayan capital Asunci\u00f3n that his country would lift its existing quota on Paraguayan beef exports, currently set at 20,635 tonnes per year. He was accompanied by a trade delegation that committed to purchasing US$60 million worth of local agricultural products per year.<\/p>\n<p>The move follows pressure from agribusiness associations to find diplomatic channels to open up access to the Chinese market.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier in the month, during a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hoy.com.py\/comercio-e-industrias\/china-quiere-comprar-carne-paraguaya-pero-exige-rompan-con-taiwan\">business trip to Sao Paulo<\/a>, Paraguayan ranchers met with China\u2019s vice-consul to Brazil. According to Fernando Serrati, head of the meat producers\u2019 association, they were told they \u201cheld the key to allow Paraguayan meat into mainland China, but first it was necessary to break relations with Taiwan.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Serrati and the media were quick to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hoy.com.py\/negocios\/china-comunista-y-taiwan-en-guerra-por-paraguay-los-ex-becarios-alertan-sobre-rojos\">denounce<\/a> what they described as \u201ccommercial blackmail\u201d, but pressure is growing from agribusiness lobbying groups to reassess Paraguay\u2019s commercial ties with China.<br \/>\n<div class='block--pullout-stat block--pullout-stat--float cd-shortcode--factbox'>\n                <p class='block--pullout-stat__title'>$3.5billion<\/p>\n                <div class='block--pullout-stat__content'>\n                    <br \/>\nworth of Chinese goods entered Paraguay in 2017<br \/>\n\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div><\/p>\n<p>Paraguay is the only South American nation to recognise Taiwan. This status does not prevent Chinese firms exporting to Paraguay. In 2017, US$3.5 billion worth of Chinese goods entered the country, principally electronics and textiles, much of which is resold into Brazil,.<\/p>\n<p>However, the main potential Chinese buyers of Paraguayan soy and meat products are state-owned companies, who strictly adhere to their government\u2019s One China policy. \u00a0In 2017, Paraguay exported a meagre US$25 million worth of goods to China, mainly wood and leather products, making the country\u2019s trade-deficit with China the largest in Latin America, in relative terms.<br \/>\n<div class='cdo-shortcode--image'><\/p>\n<div class=\"flourish-embed\" data-src=\"visualisation\/888026\"><script src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/embed.js\"><\/script><br \/>\n<\/div><\/p>\n<h2>Soy journey<\/h2>\n<p>Paraguay soybeans, which are famed for their high protein content, do find their way, indirectly, to China, after they have been processed into oils or pellets in Argentine agribusiness hub Rosario. But China remains closed to Paraguayan beef, two thirds of which end up in Russia and Chile.<\/p>\n<p>The effects of a major drought at the beginning of the year and the intensification of the <a href=\"http:\/\/stage.dialogochino.net\/27724-trade-war-threatens-instability-and-deforestation-in-latin-america\/\">US-China trade dispute<\/a>, which resulted in cheaper US soy gaining market share in Paraguay\u2019s traditional export destinations, have hurt Paraguayan agricultural production.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Paraguay has paid a \u201cTaiwan cost\u201d far greater than the perceived benefit of external aid and investment<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>In the first nine months of 2019, soybean exports fell 16% to 4.65 million tonnes, leading the head of the soybean association to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agricensus.com\/Article\/Paraguay-soybean-sector-urges-talks-with-China-as-US-takes-share-9010.html\">urge the Paraguayan government<\/a> to improve trade ties with China. Such a move could have long term benefits, but the culling of over <a href=\"http:\/\/stage.dialogochino.net\/28472-china-looks-to-latin-america-as-swine-flu-hits\/\">200 million Chinese pigs<\/a> to swine flu means that Chinese demand for soybeans has plummeted in 2019.<\/p>\n<p>Chinese demand for beef remains robust, however. \u201cFollowing the drought and the effect on production, ranchers are looking for better prices to compensate,\u201d says Gustavo Rojas, an analyst at the Centre of Analysis and Diffusion of the Paraguayan Economy, a think tank.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey estimate that they could receive US$,5000 per tonne selling to China, instead of $4,000 per tonne in Chile and Russia.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>Loyalty cost<\/h2>\n<p>The potential benefits of the trade put the Paraguayan government in a difficult position. In 1957, the country\u2019s dictator Alfredo Stroessner established ties with Taiwan based on the strong anti-communist agenda of both nations. His Colorado Party has remained in power, bar one spell out of office (2008-2013), since the return to democracy in 1989.<\/p>\n<p>Taiwan has rewarded Paraguay\u2019s loyalty with regular five-year financial aid packages of US$75 million, building the Paraguayan congress building, skyscrapers and housing projects in the process.<\/p>\n<p>However, experts have questioned whether Paraguay is getting a good deal from its association with Taiwan. In a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/publication\/329633181_Resenha_panorama_de_las_relaciones_internacionales_en_el_Paraguay_actual\">2017 paper<\/a>, Francisco Urdinez, a political scientist at the Pontificia Universidad Cat\u00f3lica de Chile estimated that Paraguay was missing out on US$138 million in Chinese investment and $224 million in Chinese development finance each year because of its ties to Taipei.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cParaguay has paid a \u201cTaiwan cost\u201d far greater than the perceived benefit of external aid and investment from Taiwan as a support for its diplomatic loyalty,\u201d he wrote.<\/p>\n<p>In response, Taiwan doubled its five-year financial aid package to US$150 million in December 2018.<\/p>\n<p>In the past, this aid has often been left unspent as the Paraguayan government has been unable to present well-structured investment programmes, according to Rojas. This appears to be changing, however, with new Taiwanese-funded projects to build housing for those affected by recent floods and for the construction of several viaducts on the periphery of the capital.<\/p>\n<div class='block--pullout-stat block--pullout-stat--float cd-shortcode--factbox'>\n                <p class='block--pullout-stat__title'>3<\/p>\n                <div class='block--pullout-stat__content'>\n                    <br \/>\ncountries in Latin America and the Caribbean have switched diplomatic allegiance from Taiwan to China since 2016<br \/>\n\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n<p>The US is also keen for Paraguay to remain a firm ally of Taiwan. In the last year the State Department has grown increasingly concerned with China\u2019s growing influence in Latin America.<\/p>\n<p>In 2016 and 2017 Panama, El Salvador and the Dominican Republic switched allegiance from Taipei to Beijing, catching embassy staff off guard and prompting the State Department to <a href=\"https:\/\/pa.usembassy.gov\/es\/jefes-de-mision-de-los-estados-unidos-en-la-republica-dominicana-el-salvador-y-panama-llamados-a-consultas\/\">call<\/a> heads of missions from those countries in for questioning.<\/p>\n<p>On October 30, the House of Representatives passed the <a href=\"http:\/\/congress.gov\/bill\/116th-congress\/senate-bill\/1678\/text\">Taiwan Allies International Protection and Enhancement Initiative<\/a> (TAIPEI) Act which promises to boost US \u201ceconomic, security and diplomatic engagement\u201d with countries that strengthen their relations with Taiwan and reduce support for those that \u201cundermine Taiwan.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>With Taiwanese aid and trade becoming more generous, and US foreign policy increasingly concerned about Chinese influence in Latin America, Paraguay\u2019s decision to resist China\u2019s chequebook diplomacy, a result of fading ideological leanings, could have long term economic benefits.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Paraguayan cow has become an unlikely pawn in US-China corrivalry in South America. Exports of beef from Paraguay to China, the world\u2019s largest consumer market, have long been blocked by the former&#8217;s longstanding recognition of Taiwan. Yet with local agribusiness pressuring the government to reassess its trade relations with China and the US anxious [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":50000004,"featured_media":50031556,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[758],"tags":[50029579,50040317,595,600],"hashtags":[],"country":[50002600],"class_list":["post-50031546","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-beef","tag-farming","tag-soy","tag-trade","country-paraguay"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v26.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Paraguay&#039;s agribusiness pushes for China market access | Dialogue Earth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Diplomatic tug-of-war frustrates Paraguay&#039;s beef producers eyeing China market as Taiwan ups aid to only remaining South American ally\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/business\/31546-paraguays-agribusiness-pushes-for-china-market-access\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Paraguay&#039;s agribusiness pushes for China market access\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Paraguayan cow has become an unlikely pawn in US-China corrivalry in South America. Exports of beef from Paraguay to China, the world\u2019s largest\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/business\/31546-paraguays-agribusiness-pushes-for-china-market-access\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Dialogue Earth\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-11-08T18:17:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-03-12T15:28:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Hopes-are-high-for-a-China-Paraguay-beef-trade.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Robert Soutar\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" 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