{"id":60083660,"date":"2025-05-30T09:47:15","date_gmt":"2025-05-30T08:47:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/?p=60083660"},"modified":"2025-06-10T11:44:57","modified_gmt":"2025-06-10T10:44:57","slug":"brazil-leads-brics-amid-growing-us-china-tensions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/business\/brazil-leads-brics-amid-growing-us-china-tensions\/","title":{"rendered":"Brazil leads BRICS amid growing US-China tensions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Brazil has assumed the presidency of the BRICS group of emerging economies at a pivotal moment. As the bloc prepares for its annual summit in Rio de Janeiro in July, the host nation must navigate heightened tensions and conflicts stemming from the aggressive tariff policies of US President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With its recent <a href=\"https:\/\/carnegieendowment.org\/research\/2025\/03\/brics-expansion-and-the-future-of-world-order-perspectives-from-member-states-partners-and-aspirants?lang=en&amp;mkt_tok=ODEzLVhZVS00MjIAAAGZnDaXDAXZIWRtc8tzw1Y3lpJXylPJXQsNWUlmDM4KEvecpw4AvoqvXYJ7kZFimzGpXGa1dWOzMak6KwoDo9s3L-UdYCq-nIEbs5aT7UQjiw\">expansion<\/a> and growing geopolitical ambitions, the BRICS nations must balance diverse interests while asserting themselves as a more cohesive force on the world stage. Brazil faces a delicate balance between advancing this heterogeneous alliance and avoiding a stance that might be perceived in Washington as anti-Western or anti-dollar, experts say.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The presidency, however, does offer Brazil opportunities: facilitating a joint BRICS stance on climate action ahead of the country hosting the COP30 climate summit in November; pushing for increased Global South cooperation on <a href=\"https:\/\/bricstoday.com\/17th-brics-summit\/\">finance<\/a>, health, trade and artificial intelligence; and establishing a clear agenda for the New Development Bank, also known as the BRICS Bank, led by Brazil\u2019s former president Dilma Rousseff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-new-guests-at-the-table\">New guests at the table<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The upcoming summit on 6-7 July will mark the inclusion of Indonesia, which joined BRICS in January, following the induction of Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the United Arab Emirates in 2024. There is some confusion regarding Saudi Arabia\u2019s status, as it is listed as a BRICS member on <a href=\"https:\/\/brics.br\/en\/about-the-brics\">Brazil\u2019s presidency website<\/a> but is <a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2025\/03\/24\/brics-indonesia-turkey-saudi-arabia-expansion-brazil-summit-trump\/\">reportedly<\/a> still deliberating over the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nine nations \u2013 Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Nigeria, Thailand, Uganda, and Uzbekistan \u2013 have official \u201cpartner country\u201d status, with more than 30 others <a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2024\/02\/01\/china\/brics-membership-applications-china-russia-intl-hnk\/index.html\">expressing<\/a> interest in joining. This expansion, which now means that BRICS member and partner countries comprise more than half of the world\u2019s population and nearly 30% of global GDP, was <a href=\"https:\/\/thediplomat.com\/2025\/01\/the-challenges-for-brics-in-2025-under-the-brazilian-presidency\/\">driven<\/a> by Russia and China. Brazil and India showed less enthusiasm, experts say.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/23071420\/embed' title='Interactive or visual content' class='flourish-embed-iframe' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' style='width:100%;height:600px;' sandbox='allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n<p>With the much-expanded membership expected for the talks, President Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva has also <a href=\"https:\/\/en.mercopress.com\/2025\/03\/04\/lula-invites-mexico-colombia-and-uruguay-to-brics-summit\">invited<\/a> Mexico, Colombia, and Uruguay to participate as guests. This is common at international summits, to engage strategically or regionally important non-member countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brazil is coordinating more than <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.br\/planalto\/en\/latest-news\/2025\/01\/brazil-assumes-the-presidency-of-brics-in-2025\">100<\/a> ministerial and technical meetings in Bras\u00edlia between February and July in preparation for the summit. But it seems inevitable that the gathering will be dominated by the shadow of Trump\u2019s policies on global tariffs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the US having withdrawn for a second time from the Paris Agreement on climate change following Trump\u2019s election, sustainability will also likely play a role at the BRICS summit, especially with COP30 taking place in the Amazon city of Bel\u00e9m a few months later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One objective Brazil has for the summit is to establish a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/environment\/cop30-brazil-set-spotlight-developing-countries-climate-finance-needs-2025-01-23\/\">unified<\/a> approach to financing climate action so the BRICS nations can take a leading role at COP30. Brazil\u2019s chief negotiator, Maur\u00edcio Lyrio, has said USD 1.3 trillion is required to <a href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/noticia\/2025\/02\/24\/brics-vai-tentar-levar-a-cop-30-posicao-unica-sobre-financiamento-climatico-diz-negociador-chefe-do-brasil.ghtml\">combat<\/a> climate change and has expressed dissatisfaction among developing nations with the \u201cmodest\u201d funding agreement from COP29 in Baku last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At COP30, Brazil and other nations <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/nature\/what-is-the-tropical-forest-forever-fund-and-will-it-work\/\">plan to launch<\/a> the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF), a USD 125 billion initiative to fund tropical forest conservation in eligible Global South countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the recent UN biodiversity talks (COP16), the BRICS group played a key role in securing an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/green\/2025\/02\/28\/cop16-biodiversity-financing-agreed\">agreement<\/a>. Building on that success, the group aims to expand its climate leadership, especially as the US reduces its participation in global environmental efforts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s an agenda that the Brazilian government, as the host of the next meeting of the parties, supports, because it recognises the risks and has taken measures to ensure that this agenda, which is of interest to all humanity and governments, remains strong,\u201d says Paulo Casella, a professor and leader of the BRICS Study Group at the University of S\u00e3o Paulo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brazil will use the BRICS platform to advance climate finance within the broader scope of sustainable development goals, according to Beatriz Mattos, research coordinator at Plataforma Cip\u00f3, a research institute focused on international cooperation and climate action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cBrazil has this notion of sustainable development as something much broader than just the climate agenda, but also understands that the climate agenda can be mobilised as a way to meet these sustainable development goals,\u201d she says.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mattos also believes BRICS will play a crucial role in the energy transition. \u201cOur expectation is these countries can build consensus on transition efforts, ensuring the transition is truly just,\u201d she says.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Such talk must sit alongside some difficult realities, however. Brazil\u2019s oil exports <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/business\/brazils-oil-exports-and-exploration-cast-a-shadow-on-its-green-ambitions\/\">reached<\/a> nearly USD 45 billion in 2024. Driven largely by demand from China, its crude oil exports have doubled in the past five years and nearly quadrupled in the past decade, according to government data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image block--article-image--article\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"hide-expand block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/P-67-floating-production_tnrgo_abr_1907181936-scaled.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/P-67-floating-production_tnrgo_abr_1907181936-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/P-67-floating-production_tnrgo_abr_1907181936-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/P-67-floating-production_tnrgo_abr_1907181936-scaled.jpg 2560w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 2560px\" alt=\"\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">An oil vessel, operated by Brazilian state-owned company Petrobras, at anchor in Rio de Janeiro\u2019s Guanabara Bay. Although Brazil has been a strong advocate for the UN Sustainable Development Goals, its crude oil exports have nearly quadrupled in the past decade (Image: T\u00e2nia R\u00eago \/ Ag\u00eancia Brasil)<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/P-67-floating-production_tnrgo_abr_1907181936-scaled.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"494 KB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1707\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2560\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-trade-tensions-rise\">Trade tensions rise<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The summit is also likely to take place under the cloud of heightened international tensions, despite a recent decision to ease previously escalating tariffs \u2013 which had pushed rates on Chinese imports from the US as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/fact-sheets\/2025\/04\/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-ensures-national-security-and-economic-resilience-through-section-232-actions-on-processed-critical-minerals-and-derivative-products\/\">high as 245%<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, both sides <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/portuguese\/articles\/c4gr2q4vx42o\">agreed<\/a> to cut tariffs by 115% starting in mid-May. Still, the truce offers only <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/economia\/macroeconomia\/china-e-eua-tregua-traz-alivio-temporario-em-meio-a-tensoes-crescentes\/\">temporary relief<\/a>: in the days following the deal, Beijing resumed sharp criticism of Washington.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Other nations face a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradecomplianceresourcehub.com\/2025\/04\/14\/trump-2-0-tariff-tracker\/\">baseline tariff of 10%<\/a>, including <a href=\"https:\/\/valorinternational.globo.com\/business\/news\/2025\/05\/21\/trump-tariff-truce-fails-to-ease-pressure-on-brazilian-industry.ghtml\">Brazil<\/a>, while some, such as India and South Africa, are being <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradecomplianceresourcehub.com\/2025\/05\/23\/trump-2-0-tariff-tracker\/\">threatened<\/a> by higher rates of 27% and 31%, respectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These developments mean Brazil can elevate the importance of BRICS as a platform for international collaboration, according to Casella. \u201cSabotaging this multilateral system of rules and institutions is counterproductive,\u201d he says. \u201cIt causes turbulence, creates uncertainty, and increases the need to operate other agreements independent of the United States.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"60078318\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p>The Trump administration has also threatened to impose 100% <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/cgrwj0p2dd9o\">tariffs<\/a> on the BRICS nations should they undermine the dollar by creating an alternative currency. In response, Brazil\u2019s Finance Ministry has <a href=\"https:\/\/valorinternational.globo.com\/foreign-affairs\/news\/2025\/03\/25\/brazil-denies-brics-plan-for-common-currency-or-dollar-replacement.ghtml\">denied<\/a> that the nations are actively discussing a common currency or pursuing a coordinated \u201cde-dollarisation\u201d strategy. That said, increasing local currency transactions and developing alternative payment platforms are on the BRICS <a href=\"https:\/\/brics.br\/en\/about-the-brics\/brazilian-presidency\">agenda<\/a> for 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>An alternative currency was actually raised at the BRICS summit in August 2023, but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/currencies\/what-is-brics-currency-is-us-dollar-trouble-2024-12-17\/\">progress stalled<\/a> amid caution from China and India. Separately, Brazil proposed a <a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2023\/05\/30\/americas\/brazil-lula-south-american-currency-intl-latam\/index.html\">regional common currency<\/a> in 2023, but specifically for the Mercosur trade bloc, not BRICS as a whole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Casella dismissed US threats against countries using non-dollar currencies in foreign trade as \u201cnonsense\u201d. He notes that substantial trade already occurs outside the dollar system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhat guidance Brazil can give,\u201d Casella says, \u201cis to try to find other spaces of institutional tranquillity and understanding with countries that can maintain a commercial relationship and that Brazil, within BRICS, can help coordinate and implement,\u201d even as US policies generate significant problems globally and likely accelerate the shift toward non-dollar trade channels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-a-delicate-moment\">A \u2018delicate moment\u2019<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Brazil finds itself in a delicate predicament. The BRICS nations formed the alliance to create an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cfr.org\/backgrounder\/what-brics-group-and-why-it-expanding\">alternative<\/a> to traditional Western-led institutions. Leaders have advocated for <a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2024\/09\/27\/unga-latin-america-lula-security-council\/\">reforming<\/a> the United Nations Security Council and have <a href=\"https:\/\/sites.usp.br\/gebrics\/sistemas-de-pagamentos-internacionais-dos-brics-moeda-comum-e-desdolarizacao\/\">proposed<\/a> a BRICS payment system \u2013 a decentralised mechanism aimed at lowering dependence on dollar-denominated financial networks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, with a trade war beginning and China openly accusing the US of using the dollar as a \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/china-reacts-donald-trump-brics-threat-1993886\">geopolitical tool<\/a>,\u201d Brazil will seek to reaffirm its commitment to BRICS and multilateralism while avoiding moves that could provoke retaliation from the White House, experts say.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-pull-quote block--pull-quote\"><div class=\"block--pull-quote__wrapper\"><blockquote class=\"block--pull-quote__quote\">It would be wrong to understand Brazil as becoming an anti-Western Chinese ally&#8230; Brazil is very pragmatic&#8230; we are not simply aligning with China like that<\/blockquote><cite class=\"block--pull-quote__cite\">Pablo Iba\u00f1ez, international relations professor at the Federal Rural University of Rio de Janeiro<\/cite><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe international agenda is accelerating,\u201d says Pablo Iba\u00f1ez, an international relations professor at the Federal Rural University of Rio de Janeiro, where he leads research on China. \u201cWe are on a collision course between China and the US.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s a delicate moment for Brazil. On the international scene, we\u2019re dealing with tariffs and navigating a more delicate diplomatic relationship with the United States than in recent times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt would be wrong to understand Brazil as becoming an anti-Western Chinese ally. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs [in Brazil] wouldn\u2019t allow that. Brazil is very pragmatic&#8230; If countries want to deliver, we will cooperate. But we are not simply aligning with China like that.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Iba\u00f1ez believes multilateralism and trade will be the summit\u2019s dominant themes. He predicts Brazil will also maintain its existing agenda under Lula, focused on issues like hunger and access to medicine. \u201cBut I think these two themes\u2026 multilateralism and trade will be very much hammered,\u201d he adds. \u201cShowing strength is currently a priority for the Brazilian government, Lula wants to demonstrate that he is prepared and ready to engage.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The BRICS expansion has been driven by China\u2019s growing power, believes Iba\u00f1ez. \u201cThis has been challenging for Brazil, which wasn\u2019t prepared. Brazil wasn\u2019t necessarily opposed to expansion itself, but rather the way it was handled \u2013 so rapidly and without clear criteria.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image block--article-image--article\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"hide-expand block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Dilma-Rousseff-inauguration-ceremony_Ricardo-Stuckert_Flickr_52814429294-scaled.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Dilma-Rousseff-inauguration-ceremony_Ricardo-Stuckert_Flickr_52814429294-768x520.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Dilma-Rousseff-inauguration-ceremony_Ricardo-Stuckert_Flickr_52814429294-1024x694.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Dilma-Rousseff-inauguration-ceremony_Ricardo-Stuckert_Flickr_52814429294-scaled.jpg 2560w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 2560px\" alt=\"Dilma Rousseff behind lectern\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">Dilma Rousseff\u2019s inauguration ceremony as president of the New Development Bank, in Shanghai, April 2023. Under Rousseff\u2019s leadership, the bank has tried to close the financing gap for sustainable development and infrastructure (Image: <a href=\"https:\/\/flic.kr\/p\/2ot2KNw\">Ricardo Stuckert<\/a> \/ <a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/people\/palaciodoplanalto\/\">Pal\u00e1cio do Planalto<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/2.0\/deed.pt-br\">CC BY<\/a>)\u00a0\u00a0<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Dilma-Rousseff-inauguration-ceremony_Ricardo-Stuckert_Flickr_52814429294-scaled.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"527 KB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1734\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2560\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-role-of-the-brics-bank\">Role of the BRICS Bank<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Another significant aspect is the New Development Bank (NDB), also known as the BRICS Bank, which is becoming an increasingly important financial institution for developing economies. Under the reappointed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndb.int\/news\/board-of-governors-re-elects-h-e-mrs-dilma-rousseff-as-ndb-president\/\">leadership<\/a> of Rousseff, the NDB has boosted its funding commitments, <a href=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/en\/geral\/noticia\/2024-05\/rio-grande-do-sul-receive-11-bi-brics-bank\">notably<\/a> allocating USD 1.1 billion for flood recovery efforts in southern Brazil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As talks on climate finance intensify ahead of the two summits, the NDB\u2019s role in supporting <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wri.org\/insights\/national-development-banks-climate-finance\">sustainable development<\/a> is gaining significance. \u201cThe creation of the New Development Bank largely stems from efforts to promote sustainable development,\u201d says Mattos. \u201cIt\u2019s a bank that could bridge the financing gap for sustainable development and infrastructure. The concept of sustainable development has always been a part of BRICS to some extent.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Under Brazil\u2019s presidency, the country is using BRICS as a platform to develop collective solutions to global problems, particularly given the current fragility of multilateralism, she adds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cBrazil has sought to connect the multilateral forums it has led in recent years,\u201d Mattos adds. \u201cLast year, we held the G20 presidency, this year the BRICS, and later this year, we will host COP30. Brazil has tried to connect actions across these forums, with very positive results.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Latin American country seeks to balance its BRICS leadership with pragmatism and broader multilateral goals ahead of COP30<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":50000585,"featured_media":60083677,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[758],"tags":[512,50040720,600],"hashtags":[],"country":[50000021,20000110,20000111,50040737,50040754,50040700,50003615],"class_list":["post-60083660","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-brics","tag-geopolitics","tag-trade","country-brazil","country-china","country-india","country-russia","country-south-africa","country-united-states-of-america","country-world-2"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the 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