{"id":60140665,"date":"2026-07-09T12:45:19","date_gmt":"2026-07-09T11:45:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/?p=60140665"},"modified":"2026-07-09T12:46:05","modified_gmt":"2026-07-09T11:46:05","slug":"vietnams-gas-projects-stall-amid-investor-claims-of-unbankability-and-a-renewables-pivot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/vietnams-gas-projects-stall-amid-investor-claims-of-unbankability-and-a-renewables-pivot\/","title":{"rendered":"Vietnam\u2019s gas projects stall amid investor claims of unbankability and a renewables pivot"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In September 2025, Vietnam\u2019s then prime minister, Pham Minh Chinh, joined the country\u2019s wealthiest person, Pham Nhat Vuong, to <a href=\"https:\/\/vietnamnews.vn\/economy\/1726097\/vingroup-breaks-ground-on-tan-trao-ip-and-hai-phong-lng-plant.html\">break ground<\/a> on what was to be the country\u2019s largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) power plant. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the time of the ceremony, Vietnam only had <a href=\"https:\/\/en.vneconomy.vn\/vietnams-first-lng-power-complex-starts-commercial-operation.htm\">one operational<\/a> LNG power project. But the slated USD 6.7 billion, 4.8 gigawatt (GW) plant in the northern industrial hub of Hai Phong was expected to bring Vietnam closer to its ambitious goal of 22.5 GW of LNG capacity by 2030.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Just six months later, its developer VinGroup proposed scrapping the project, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/sustainability\/climate-energy\/vingroup-proposes-scrapping-lng-powered-plant-plan-renewables-amid-iran-war-2026-03-31\/\">according<\/a> to Reuters. It reportedly cited high fuel prices caused by the Southwest Asia conflict, and the foreign exchange pressure of importing the roughly 5 million metric tonnes of LNG it would require annually \u2013 an estimated USD 3.5-3.8 billion in foreign currency expenditure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In its place, VinGroup proposed a hybrid renewable energy project paired with a battery energy storage system, which stores and discharges power during peak demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The reversal marked the starkest signal yet of Vietnam\u2019s struggle with LNG. Developers have long put the situation down to unbankable power purchase agreements, the state electricity buyer\u2019s weak finances, global gas turbine shortages, and price volatility driven by the Southwest Asia conflict. With new leadership less enthusiastic about LNG, Vietnam appears to be pivoting toward renewables and storage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-lng-sweet-spot\">The LNG sweet spot<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Vietnam <a href=\"https:\/\/en.vneconomy.vn\/government-approves-revised-power-development-plan-8.htm\">revised<\/a> its national energy plan in 2025, nearly a year before the global energy landscape would be shaken by the conflict in Southwest Asia. Its LNG goal was ambitious even then.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The plan <a href=\"https:\/\/assets.kpmg.com\/content\/dam\/kpmgsites\/vn\/pdf\/2025\/07\/revised-pdp-8-en.pdf\">staked<\/a> between 9.5-12.3% of the country\u2019s targeted 2030 electricity capacity on LNG with projects totalling 22.5 GW, and a strategic bet that the fuel could bridge the country\u2019s transition from coal to renewables.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLNG occupies a rare sweet spot in Vietnam&#8217;s energy calculus,\u201d said Le Hong Hiep, a senior fellow and coordinator of the Vietnam Studies Programme at the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute in Singapore. \u201cIt is cleaner than coal, scalable enough to anchor a national grid, and flexible enough to backstop the intermittency of renewables.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But four years from that deadline, Vietnam still only has one complex of <a href=\"https:\/\/news.tuoitre.vn\/vietnam-commissions-1st-large-scale-lng-power-complex-worth-14bn-103260110143428079.htm\">two<\/a> operational LNG power plants with a combined capacity of 1.62 GW, with a <a href=\"https:\/\/dtinews.dantri.com.vn\/vietnam-today\/hcm-city-begins-construction-of-usd-892m-lng-power-plant-20260327061532913.htm\">second<\/a> 1.2 GW project in progress. The rest of the pipeline is either stalled, delayed or scrapped.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/29571345\/embed' title='Interactive or visual content' class='flourish-embed-iframe' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' style='width:100%;height:90vh;' sandbox='allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-unbankable-contracts\">Unbankable contracts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The most widely cited explanation for the delays is the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nortonrosefulbright.com\/en\/knowledge\/publications\/1d041eb0\/vietnam-power-sector-snapshot#section10\">unbankability<\/a> of Vietnam\u2019s LNG power purchase agreements (PPAs) \u2013 the contracts between plant developers and the state&#8217;s sole electricity buyer, Electricity Vietnam (EVN). Compared to such contracts globally, these PPAs guarantee developers a much lower purchase of a plant\u2019s generated power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For a large-scale LNG project, lenders rely almost entirely on the project&#8217;s own cash flows for repayment, said Lam Pham, an Asia analyst at the energy think-tank Ember.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"60139969\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p>A multi-billion-dollar power plant cannot attract financing without a long-term guarantee that someone will buy its electricity. International lenders have historically required 15- to 20-year \u201ctake-or-pay\u201d contracts, under which the plant will be paid for most of the electricity it produces \u2013 typically 80 to 90% \u2013 whether or not that electricity is used, Lam added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Under current law, the state utility EVN is only obligated to purchase <a href=\"https:\/\/theinvestor.vn\/vietnam-guarantees-65-power-offtake-for-imported-lng-to-power-projects-over-10-years-d15604.html\">65%<\/a> of a plant&#8217;s average annual generation for up to 10 years from the date commercial operations begin. What happens after that is left to future negotiations. This rate, according to Lam, falls materially short of international thresholds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The ministry, Vietnam\u2019s main energy regulator, has <a href=\"https:\/\/theinvestor.vn\/power-offtake-guarantee-to-be-expanded-for-lng-power-investment-in-vietnam-d19058.html\">proposed<\/a> raising the guaranteed purchase level to 75% and extending the cap to 15 years. However, a May 2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/moit.gov.vn\/tin-tuc\/bo-cong-thuong-sua-nghi-dinh-56-hoan-thien-co-che-du-an-dien-khi-lng.html\">summary of feedback<\/a> received and published by the ministry shows investors saying it is not enough.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Feedback from different ministries and stakeholders across the LNG pipeline \u2013 including the Japanese Chamber of Commerce and Industry in Vietnam, Tokyo Gas, VinGroup and several LNG consortia \u2013 show investors pushing for various measures. These include higher minimum purchase commitments, payment guarantees if EVN fails to dispatch enough power, mechanisms to share risks of rising LNG costs, foreign exchange rate guarantees, and potential government buyout if a PPA is terminated early through no fault of the developer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image block--article-image--article\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"hide-expand block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Nhon-Trach-3-and-4-power-plants_Nam-Phong.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Nhon-Trach-3-and-4-power-plants_Nam-Phong-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Nhon-Trach-3-and-4-power-plants_Nam-Phong-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Nhon-Trach-3-and-4-power-plants_Nam-Phong.jpg 2560w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 2560px\" alt=\"people wearing hard hats around machinery\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">Nhon Trach 3 and 4 power plants have a total capacity of 1.62 GW, and are expected to supplement the base power supply, especially in the southern region (Image: Nam Phong)<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Nhon-Trach-3-and-4-power-plants_Nam-Phong.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"1 MB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1708\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2560\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Though the industry ministry acknowledged the issues raised, it rejected almost all proposals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The ministry was adamant on keeping the guaranteed purchase ceiling at 75%, citing calculations by the National Electricity System and Market Operation Company (NSMO) showing that an 80% rate or higher would force EVN to pay for pricey LNG power even when cheaper alternatives are available and the grid does not need it. The NSMO is a state-owned but independent system operator that was spun out of EVN\u2019s former dispatch centre to run Vietnam\u2019s power system and electricity market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vietnam has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vietnam.vn\/en\/gia-dien-khi-lng-cao-nhat-la-3-327-42-dong-kwh\">capped<\/a> the price for LNG-fired power at VND 3,327 (USD 0.13) per kilowatt-hour \u2013 significantly <a href=\"https:\/\/vietnamenergy.vn\/approving-the-price-framework-for-electricity-generation-from-hydropower-gas-power-and-solar-power-sources-in-2025-34077.html\">higher<\/a> than solar power price ceilings, which range from USD 0.03 to 0.07. EVN currently <a href=\"https:\/\/vietnamnet.vn\/en\/vietnam-s-power-shift-cheap-solar-by-day-pricey-oil-fired-power-at-night-2525575.html\">prioritises<\/a> buying the cheapest unit of power available, meaning solar, coal and hydro power plants are usually <a href=\"https:\/\/tienphong.vn\/de-xuat-dung-mua-dien-theo-gia-thi-truong-post1833543.tpo\">favoured<\/a>. This only compounds the risk for LNG investors banking on steady utilisation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>EVN\u2019s own financial position deepens the problem. By the end of 2024, it had accumulated <a href=\"https:\/\/vietnamnet.vn\/en\/vietnam-moves-to-address-nearly-1-7-billion-in-evn-accumulated-losses-2515767.html\">losses<\/a> of around USD 1.7 billion, limiting its appetite and ability to absorb risk on behalf of private developers. Despite a strong 2025 fiscal year, the company says it still carries accumulated losses of USD 216 million. The turnaround has been <a href=\"https:\/\/vietnamnet.vn\/en\/evn-posts-huge-profits-but-still-carries-losses-electricity-prices-may-not-fall-2526259.html\">attributed<\/a> to a shift in the power generation mix, with a greater share of low-cost power sources and reduced reliance on costlier ones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-beyond-vietnam-s-control\">Beyond Vietnam\u2019s control<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Vietnam\u2019s LNG pipeline also faces pressures that no policy revision can fix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The country stands to be directly <a href=\"https:\/\/ieefa.org\/resources\/global-gas-turbine-shortages-add-lng-challenges-vietnam-and-philippines#_ftn1\">impacted<\/a> by the global gas turbine shortage, which <a href=\"https:\/\/globalenergymonitor.org\/research\/leading-three-manufacturers-providing-two-thirds-turbines-gas-fired-power-plants-under\">relies<\/a> heavily on three companies: GE Vernova, Siemens Energy and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThese firms are overwhelmed with orders,\u201d said Lam, \u201cand are in no hurry to expand their production capability due to uncertainties of declining demand, avoiding the <a href=\"https:\/\/ieefa.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/General-Electric-Misread-the-Energy-Transition_June-2019.pdf\">mistake<\/a> GE made in the 2018 gas turbine <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-ge-power\/how-general-electric-gambled-on-fossil-fuel-power-and-lost-idUSKCN1G60I3\/\">market crash<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"60128559\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p>For Vietnam, which entered the LNG market late and has a track record of policy volatility, this means its projects are not being prioritised, according to industry experts Dialogue Earth spoke to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The conflict in Southwest Asia complicates the issue. Disrupted LNG shipping routes and higher spot prices have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-03-10\/asian-buyers-struggle-to-find-march-lng-as-supply-remains-tight\">exposed<\/a> the vulnerability of Vietnam\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/theinvestor.vn\/vietnam-moves-to-cement-lng-supply-chain-as-power-demand-surges-d18773.html\">import-dependent<\/a> strategy amid declining domestic gas supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vietnam currently only has <a href=\"https:\/\/nangluongvietnam.vn\/hop-dong-mua-lng-dai-han-dau-tien-cua-pv-gas-tu-doi-tac-quoc-te-35528.html\">one<\/a> long-term LNG contract with a foreign provider, with deliveries that will not start until 2027. In the meantime, to circumvent the Southwest Asian crisis, Vietnam has diversified its LNG supplies with expensive spot shipments from <a href=\"https:\/\/news.tuoitre.vn\/vietnams-pv-gas-imports-nearly-60000-tonnes-of-lng-to-support-power-supply-103260411105328231.htm\">Malaysia, Brunei<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vietnam.vn\/en\/pv-gas-nhap-them-gan-120-000-tan-lng-va-lpg\">Canada and Australia<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cVolatility of this magnitude forces lenders to price in substantially higher risk premiums,\u201d Lam said. \u201cWithout a long-term, stable offtake to anchor cash flow projections, projects struggle to achieve financial close,\u201d when funding is secured and construction begins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-changing-appetites\">Changing appetites<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>VinGroup&#8217;s decision to abandon a flagship LNG project for renewables and battery storage signals an altered energy direction for the Vietnamese government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThey [VinGroup] don\u2019t do anything lightly,\u201d said Gary Zieff, an energy expert who worked in Hanoi on a US-backed technical assistance programme that advised the government and industry on renewable energy. The decision to scrap \u201ca major project with sunk costs would have been taken very carefully,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"60092932\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p>For Zieff, VinGroup\u2019s retreat is a signal about where the market is heading, one that clean energy developers should pay attention to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Former prime minister Pham Minh Chinh, who made Vietnam&#8217;s net-zero <a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/resource\/VIET_NAM_cop26cmp16cma3_HLS_EN.pdf\">pledge<\/a> at COP26 in Glasgow and was a strong internal <a href=\"https:\/\/ven.congthuong.vn\/prime-minister-pushes-breakthrough-solutions-to-fast-track-lng-to-power-projects-58867.html\">proponent<\/a> of LNG, left office in April 2026. His successor, Le Minh Hung, a former central banker, has taken a more measured view of Vietnam\u2019s energy future, said an analyst with direct knowledge of ongoing discussions in Hanoi, who spoke to Dialogue Earth on condition of anonymity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThere are signs of a change of heart,\u201d said the analyst. \u201cFollowing the election cycle and the leadership transition, there is a noticeable shift in how [the industry ministry] talks about LNG. The enthusiasm is no longer there.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the new government, the challenges might be more acute than those faced by its predecessor, Hiep noted. Global LNG prices are volatile, and the Southwest Asian conflict is illustrating just how exposed energy importers can be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vietnam has already developed one of Southeast Asia\u2019s most extensive renewable energy networks. The country now accounts for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mordorintelligence.com\/industry-reports\/southeast-asia-renewable-energy-market\">41.55%<\/a> of the region\u2019s renewable energy market share.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From 2018 to end-2020, generous feed-in tariffs <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iseas.edu.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/ISEAS_Perspective_2021_28.pdf\">triggered<\/a> a solar boom that grew capacity from 86 MW to 16.5 GW \u2013 20 times the 850 MW that the incentive was originally designed to support. The unexpected growth severely <a href=\"https:\/\/fulcrum.sg\/the-unexpected-twist-in-vietnams-renewable-energy-saga\/\">strained<\/a> EVN\u2019s financials.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image block--article-image--article\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"hide-expand block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Quy-Non-Vietnam-solar-farm_Alamy_2YHB9MX.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Quy-Non-Vietnam-solar-farm_Alamy_2YHB9MX-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Quy-Non-Vietnam-solar-farm_Alamy_2YHB9MX-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Quy-Non-Vietnam-solar-farm_Alamy_2YHB9MX.jpg 1200w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 1200px\" alt=\"field of solar panels near wind turbines\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">A solar farm situated before wind turbines in Quy Non, Vietnam (Image: Minh Hoang \/ Associated Press \/ Alamy)<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Quy-Non-Vietnam-solar-farm_Alamy_2YHB9MX.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"617 KB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"800\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"1200\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2018, EVN <a href=\"https:\/\/ieefa.org\/resources\/boom-balance-vietnams-clean-energy-transition\">spent<\/a> USD 4.5 billion to buy power. By 2023, this number had <a href=\"https:\/\/ieefa.org\/resources\/boom-balance-vietnams-clean-energy-transition#:~:text=5%20billion%20in%202018%20to,2023%20despite%20retail%20price%20hikes.\">surged<\/a> to USD 11.5 billion, despite electricity consumption only <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobaleconomy.com\/Vietnam\/electricity_consumption\/\">rising<\/a> 36%, from 203.7 terawatt-hours (TWh) to 277.5 TWh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By 2025, the government had <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/sustainability\/climate-energy\/vietnam-retroactively-cuts-subsidies-some-solar-wind-farms-investors-letter-says-2025-05-22\/\">walked back<\/a> some of its feed-in tariff commitments, prompting anger and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/sustainability\/boards-policy-regulation\/foreign-investors-threaten-legal-action-against-vietnam-over-renewables-document-2026-03-12\/\">threats of legal action<\/a> from foreign investors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The government has since <a href=\"https:\/\/theinvestor.vn\/vietnams-industry-ministry-asks-provinces-to-handle-stalled-renewable-power-projects-d18374.html\">moved<\/a> to resolve those disputes. The willingness to accept financial penalties rather than contract cancellations, Le Hong Hiep noted, is a signal that Hanoi wants to clear the path for fresh renewable investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vietnam has also <a href=\"https:\/\/vietnamnews.vn\/economy\/1780089\/viet-nam-under-pressure-to-scale-up-battery-storage-to-support-renewable-growth.html\">set<\/a> an aggressive goal for its battery storage capacity of up to 16.3 GW by 2030, from under 100 MW as of April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The battery storage development at grid scale, however, carries its own <a href=\"https:\/\/nangluongvietnam.vn\/khung-chinh-sach-cho-luu-tru-nang-luong-bess-goc-nhin-cua-evn-35955.html\">complications<\/a>, including incomplete technical and safety regulations, grid integration challenges and conflicting pricing mechanisms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhen something is very new \u2013 and battery storage is a new topic in Vietnam \u2013 it takes time for banks and for state stakeholders to understand how to finance it, how to structure a deal,\u201d said Sunita Dubey, a Hanoi-based energy transition expert.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Developing that storage capacity will also require Vietnam to rely heavily on foreign supply chains and technology, particularly from China. Around 70% of Vietnam\u2019s battery materials are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.energytransitionpartnership.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/20250712_Phase-2-Report_EN.pdf\">sourced<\/a> from the country, and Vietnam\u2019s first domestic cell factory is a <a href=\"https:\/\/theinvestor.vn\/vingroup-gotion-begin-work-on-275-mln-vietnam-battery-plant-d2594.html\">joint venture<\/a> between Chinese manufacturer Gotion and VinGroup subsidiary VinES.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-lng-stalemate\">LNG stalemate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThere are signals of continued commitment, though more out of necessity than enthusiasm,\u201d Hiep noted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More than a dozen LNG-to-power projects and supporting infrastructure worth billions of dollars in potential investment remain in the <a href=\"https:\/\/cafef.vn\/giac-mo-dien-khi-lng-40-ty-usd-ong-pham-nhat-vuong-chinh-thuc-ra-tay-voi-du-an-178000-ty-lon-nhat-viet-nam-co-pha-duoc-dop-mac-ket-cua-bau-hien-va-loat-ong-lon-188250928222529502.chn\">pipeline<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The country is also scrambling to get any power project online to support its ambitious growth targets. Le Ngoc Son, chairperson of the state-owned PetroVietnam, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pvn.vn\/sites\/en\/Pages\/detail.aspx?NewsID=55a49bd2-c55e-4a4a-ab68-b26d1df1a5f4\">estimates<\/a> that sustaining double-digit economic growth would require electricity demand to grow 12 to 15% annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, policymakers <a href=\"https:\/\/en.evn.com.vn\/d6\/news\/Gas-thermal-power-development-is-an-inevitable-direction-66-163-3554.aspx\">worry<\/a> that without a stable source of baseload power, a role LNG was expected to play, economic growth could be threatened.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dubey was sceptical of that framing. The traditional concept of gas as \u201cbaseload\u201d or a \u201ctransition fuel\u201d is outdated, and Vietnam could leapfrog straight to renewables, she said. But she added that a small LNG share \u2013 about 10% to 15% \u2013 could still provide some flexibility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite difficulties attracting investors to planned LNG plants, state-backed investment has continued. State-owned PV Gas, the sole domestic distributor of LNG, is reportedly committing over <a href=\"https:\/\/theinvestor.vn\/pv-gas-plans-over-38-bln-investment-for-2026-2030-eyes-lng-infrastructure-ma-as-priorities-d17968.html\">USD 3.8 billion<\/a> from 2026-2030 to develop LNG infrastructure, including terminals and pipelines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hanoi also has geopolitical reasons to keep the fuel on the agenda, according to Hiep. LNG imports from the United States serve as a useful lever in managing the bilateral trade relationship with Washington.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe core problem,\u201d said Hiep, \u201cis that while investors need long-term offtake guarantees and protection against price swings and exchange rate exposure to make the numbers work, EVN and the government are unwilling to absorb those risks on behalf of the state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cNeither side has blinked.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The country has bet on reaching 22.5 GW of LNG by 2030, but unbankable contracts and policy gaps have stalled its plans four years to the 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