{"id":60158438,"date":"2026-11-05T18:38:24","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T18:38:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/?p=60158438"},"modified":"2026-11-05T18:38:35","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T18:38:35","slug":"cop31-latin-americas-fragmented-climate-alliances-head-to-antalya","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/cop31-latin-americas-fragmented-climate-alliances-head-to-antalya\/","title":{"rendered":"COP31: Latin America\u2019s fragmented climate alliances head to Antalya"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Latin America is heading to this year\u2019s UN climate summit with less political backing for the agenda it pushed a year ago in Brazil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Many Latin American countries showed more unity at November 2025\u2019s COP30, held in the Amazonian city of Bel\u00e9m, than had been the case in previous years. These alliances pushed for further ambition in areas such as the energy transition, deforestation and climate finance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Since then, some of the leaders central to pushing forward that agenda have left office, and with them any prospects of a united regional voice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"60139035\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Colombia elected a president who pledged to <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/colombia-elections-a-litmus-test-for-fossil-fuel-phaseout\/\">boost oil production and pursue fracking<\/a>, an about-turn from the previous administration\u2019s initiative to move away from fossil fuels. Chile\u2019s new government <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/business\/chile-is-crushing-environmentalism-in-the-name-of-economics\/\">withdrew over 40 environmental decrees<\/a> within its first months, and has cut funding for its environment ministry and international treaties, including Escaz\u00fa. Bolivian President Rodrigo Paz\u2019s government <a href=\"https:\/\/es.mongabay.com\/short-article\/2026\/08\/bolivia-paz-elimina-ministerio-planificacion-desarrollo-medio-ambiente\/\">eliminated<\/a> the country\u2019s environment ministry in August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-did-you-know alignleft block--did-you-know\"><p class=\"block--did-you-know__title\">The Escaz\u00fa Agreement<\/p><div class=\"block--did-you-know__content\"><p>Escaz\u00fa entered into force in April 2021, becoming the first <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cepal.org\/es\/acuerdodeescazu\">regional treaty<\/a> in Latin America and the Caribbean on environmental rights<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Brazil is a notable exception. President Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva\u2019s fourth term, at the expense of another Bolsonaro administration, has re-secured the government that led COP30 \u2013 albeit with fewer regional allies than a year ago. Even Lula, however, has faced criticism for supporting fossil fuel exploration in the Amazon river basin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"60157804\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe have a totally different political situation from one year ago,\u201d Andr\u00e9s G\u00f3mez, Latin America director at the Fossil Fuel Treaty Initiative, told Dialogue Earth. \u201cUltra-right governments are interested in the idea of exploiting everything in their territories.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-maintaining-the-belem-momentum\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Maintaining the Bel\u00e9m momentum<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">COP31 opens in Antalya this Monday, 9 November, with T\u00fcrkiye as host and Australia presiding over negotiations. It will pick up Bel\u00e9m\u2019s unfinished business: two roadmaps, one on moving away from fossil fuels and another on halting deforestation; and a call to increase climate finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ana Toni, who was COP30\u2019s CEO, is optimistic. \u201cI\u2019m quite confident that the momentum that was created in COP30 will be continued in COP31,\u201d she told Dialogue Earth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"60108551\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">T\u00fcrkiye has billed the summit as a \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/iklim.gov.tr\/en\/cop31-president-designate-kurum-sends-first-official-letter-to-un-secretariat-and-states-parties-news-4905\">COP of implementation<\/a>\u201d, with the focus being on supporting nations in realising their climate plans. In Latin America, the <a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/NDCREG\">vast majority<\/a> of countries have submitted updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement in the past two years. (NDCs 3.0 were due in 2025.) Argentina, Guatemala and Haiti have not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-accordion block--accordion\"><span class=\"block--accordion__title\">Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)<\/span><div class=\"block--accordion__content\"><div class=\"block--accordion__content__inner\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Under the 2015 Paris Agreement, countries are required to prepare an outline for their efforts to reduce national emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. These commitments are referred to as Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NDCs are submitted every five years, and successive NDCs are supposed to be more ambitious than previous ones (the so-called \u201cratchet mechanism\u201d). Combined, these national targets should amount to a coordinated global effort to reduce the severity and impact of climate change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Taken from<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/climate-change-glossary\/\"><em>Dialogue Earth\u2019s climate change glossary<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As the COP host, T\u00fcrkiye may elect a centrepiece agenda item it wishes to pursue and has chosen electrification. COP31\u2019s president, Murat Kurum, <a href=\"https:\/\/eec.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/COP31_Action_Agenda_Press_Release_FINAL_09.06__1_.pdf\">has proposed<\/a> a voluntary global goal to raise the share of final energy demand met by electricity from just over 20% (as of June 2026) to 35% by 2035. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On energy, Latin America sits close to the global average on electrification: electricity meets <a href=\"https:\/\/emaisenergia.org\/en\/agency\/en-agency-opinion-olacde-electrification-latin-america-development\">about 20%<\/a> of its final energy demand. But its grid is much cleaner than most, with <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/countries-and-regions\/latin-america-and-caribbean\/\">65%<\/a> of electricity from clean sources in 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/30803438\/embed' title='Interactive or visual content' class='flourish-embed-iframe' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' style='width:100%;height:600px;' sandbox='allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Extraction has become politicised in several countries. Arguments over fracking became a major talking point in the Colombian elections, where successful candidate Abelardo de la Espriella painted fossil fuels as a route to prosperity.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Alejandra L\u00f3pez, climate diplomacy director at the regional think-tank Transforma, says electrification could help take the politics out of climate action in the region. \u201cElectrification, mobility, energy security, job creation, public transport: these are all agendas that are not political from left to right and don\u2019t sound environmental,\u201d she told Dialogue Earth.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-two-roadmaps-in-sight\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Two roadmaps in sight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Brazil, as holder of the COP30 presidency, sought to <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/cop30-climate-talks-in-brazil-wrap-up-in-overtime-not-addressing-fossil-fuels\/\">include concrete commitments on deforestation and the phaseout of fossil fuels<\/a> in the final agreement of the summit last year. However, differences between governments meant these points did not survive the negotiations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The country then announced it would produce two voluntary roadmaps and present them in T\u00fcrkiye. One addressed the phaseout, the other deforestation and sustainable forest management. The documents are not intended to be binding but could act as a framework for national governments to follow. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">South America lost more forest than any other region in the world between 2015 and 2025, averaging <a href=\"https:\/\/news.un.org\/es\/story\/2026\/05\/1541433\">4.1 million hectares<\/a> per year. This was caused by activity including agriculture, cattle ranching and infrastructure development. However, there have been some success stories, including deforestation currently being at its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/america\/america-latina\/2026\/10\/16\/la-deforestacion-en-la-amazonia-de-brasil-cayo-a-su-nivel-mas-bajo-desde-1988\/\">lowest level<\/a> in Brazil since 1998.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image block--article-image--article\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"hide-expand block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/20251009_soya-fields_Balsas_Brazil_Fernando-Frazao_Agencia-Brasil.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/20251009_soya-fields_Balsas_Brazil_Fernando-Frazao_Agencia-Brasil-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/20251009_soya-fields_Balsas_Brazil_Fernando-Frazao_Agencia-Brasil-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/20251009_soya-fields_Balsas_Brazil_Fernando-Frazao_Agencia-Brasil.jpg 2560w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 2560px\" alt=\"green tree in brown field\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">Though South America lost more forest than any other region between 2015 and 2025, in Brazil deforestation is currently at its lowest level since 1998 (Image: Fernando Fraz\u00e3o \/ Ag\u00eancia Brasil)<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/20251009_soya-fields_Balsas_Brazil_Fernando-Frazao_Agencia-Brasil.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"2 MB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1707\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2560\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yet the region is also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.olacde.org\/en\/publicaciones-olacde\/outlook-2025-production-and-foreign-trade-of-oil-and-natural-gas-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean-lac\/\">pumping<\/a> more fossil fuels: its oil output rose 20% last year, mainly driven by Guyana and Brazil. Countries across the region, including Argentina and Brazil, are also actively looking to expand oil and gas extraction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Citing the current disruption in the strait of Hormuz, Toni argued that moving away from fossil fuels is not just a climate problem: \u201cIt\u2019s an economic problem, it\u2019s a political problem, it\u2019s a sovereignty problem.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-the-financial-burden\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">The financial burden<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">COP30\u2019s final package unveiled a <a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/documents\/650953\">route<\/a> toward mobilising about USD 1.3 trillion in climate finance for developing countries per year by 2035. Countries agreed to <a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/resource\/cma7_2c_Mutirao_auv.pdf\">triple<\/a> adaptation finance by that year, from 2025 levels. Based on the Glasgow target of about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/analysis-why-cop30s-tripling-adaptation-finance-target-is-less-ambitious-than-it-seems\">USD 40 billion<\/a> a year, that would mean roughly USD 120 billion. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Critics have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/mena\/en\/delayed-finance-weak-adaptation-why-cop30-fell-short-for-the-mena-region\/\">noted<\/a>, however, that COP30\u2019s pledge lacks a defined baseline and does not say who is responsible for the increase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"60153166\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe world urgently needs adaptation finance to prevent and prepare vulnerable communities for disasters and the slow onset of climate impacts,\u201d Tariye Gbadegesin, CEO of the Climate Investment Funds, told Dialogue Earth. \u201cDeveloping countries currently receive adaptation financing that is 12-14 times below what they need.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Last year, Brazil also launched the Tropical Forests Forever Facility. This fund has been designed to pay countries for keeping forests standing and has a USD 10 billion fundraising target for 2026. Pledges have reached nearly USD 8 billion so far. That is still quite some distance from the USD 125 billion endowment its backers ultimately envisage, but further pledges could be announced this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"60157524\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For the region, the question is also who pays and on what terms. Latin America and the Caribbean received <a href=\"https:\/\/zerocarbon-analytics.org\/finance\/promises-and-reality-of-climate-finance-flows-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean\/\">17%<\/a> of international climate finance between 2016 and 2020. This came mostly as loans rather than grants, adding to debts that are already heavy. In several countries, debt servicing now <a href=\"https:\/\/drgr.org\/research-2\/policy-briefs\/public-debt-and-resilient-futures-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean\/\">exceeds<\/a> spending on areas such as health and education.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-a-fragmented-bloc\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">A fragmented bloc<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At climate COPs, Latin American countries negotiate individually and in various blocs, as opposed to other regions, like Africa, which vote and lobby together. Most nations are a part of multiple such groupings built upon shared interests and positions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All countries in the region have long been a part of the Group of 77 and China, a coalition of developing nations that operates within the UN system. Meanwhile, a bloc including Chile, Colombia and Panama make up the Independent Association of Latin America and the Caribbean (<a href=\"https:\/\/ailac.org\/\">Ailac<\/a>). There is also the Grupo Sur, a bloc mostly containing countries in the Southern Cone, as well as the Bolivarian Alternative for the Americas, which rose to <a href=\"https:\/\/wires.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1002\/wcc.533\">prominence<\/a> in the late 2000s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-pull-quote block--pull-quote\"><div class=\"block--pull-quote__wrapper\"><blockquote class=\"block--pull-quote__quote\">The possibility that Latin America and the Caribbean have in negotiating together has a power that is superior to any possibility that we can have in negotiating separately<\/blockquote><cite class=\"block--pull-quote__cite\">Mar\u00eda Fernanda Souza, Uruguay\u2019s climate change director<\/cite><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The result of these various groupings is that Latin America is divided when it comes to negotiations. Regional unity such as that displayed by Africa has, some experts argue, allowed its countries to achieve more effective results.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/cop31-qa-we-suffer-the-consequences-more-then-pay-more-to-finance-the-response\/\">Mar\u00eda Fernanda Souza<\/a>, Uruguay\u2019s climate change director and alternate chair of the Group of 77, told Dialogue Earth that the inability to negotiate as a bloc \u201chas had costs and continues to have costs\u201d for Latin America. \u201cI can\u2019t put my finger on why we can\u2019t be more united,\u201d she continued. \u201cThe possibility that Latin America and the Caribbean have in negotiating together has a power that is superior to any possibility that we can have in negotiating separately.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"60157406\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fernanda Souza points out that the interests of the southern states, which have strong dependence on livestock and agricultural industries, are different from those of the Caribbean islands, which have been buffeted by climate change and desperately need money to adapt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, there are individual issues where Latin American countries should be able to put political differences aside and unite, said L\u00f3pez. She identified climate finance as such a topic for COP31: \u201cSince there are no big fights, they will be able to align more easily.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Toni thinks the divide predates the region\u2019s recent political shifts: \u201cEven when there were different types of governments in place, we never really spoke with one voice.\u201d She rejected the idea that the region is too diverse to align, pointing out that Africa, which votes together, also has a plurality of countries including small island states. \u201cI think it\u2019s always possible, and I think it\u2019s desirable,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u00f3pez worries that a low-profile Latin America at COP31 will carry that weakness into COP32, to be hosted in Ethiopia: \u201cThe moment you singularise Africa as a special region \u2013 a particularly vulnerable region \u2013 [there will be] those who are left out of the universe of \u2018we are important, we are vulnerable\u2019. That\u2019s Latin America.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Its politics has shifted since hosting 2025\u2019s UN climate summit, yet the region must somehow move forward on finance, energy and deforestation<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":50000563,"featured_media":60158450,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_has_post_settings":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[761],"tags":[50041544,544,50040720],"hashtags":[],"country":[50000021,50000024,50000025,50002595,50041220],"class_list":["post-60158438","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate","tag-climate-diplomacy","tag-finance","tag-geopolitics","country-brazil","country-chile","country-colombia","country-guyana","country-turkey"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v26.0) - 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energy and deforestation\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/cop31-latin-americas-fragmented-climate-alliances-head-to-antalya\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Dialogue Earth\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-11-05T18:38:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-11-05T18:38:35+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/20240328_smoke-fire-Brazilian-Amazon_Amazing-Aerial_Alamy-3FYMG59-thumbnail.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Ferm\u00edn Koop\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" 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