{"id":72208,"date":"2021-06-23T09:34:36","date_gmt":"2021-06-23T09:34:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/chinadialogue.net\/?p=72208"},"modified":"2025-01-21T10:58:05","modified_gmt":"2025-01-21T10:58:05","slug":"shanghai-leads-way-in-chinas-carbon-transition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/shanghai-leads-way-in-chinas-carbon-transition\/","title":{"rendered":"Shanghai leads way in China\u2019s carbon transition"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Somewhere on the eastern side of Shanghai\u2019s Chongming Island, 300,000 solar panels lie over rows and rows of aquaculture ponds. The island\u2019s first solar\u2013aquaculture project<\/a> started providing power to the grid late last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Soon after, in January, Shanghai announced it would work to achieve peak carbon during the 14th Five Year Plan period (2021\u201325). The district of Chongming went a step further, saying it would explore the possibility of achieving carbon neutrality. Now, more and more solar power facilities are popping up here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chongming, a network of rice fields, wetlands and rivers, is regarded as Shanghai\u2019s green energy powerhouse. By the end of 2020, it had 500 megawatts of renewable energy capacity installed, exporting what isn\u2019t used locally to the rest of Shanghai or neighbouring Jiangsu province.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But Shanghai, a megacity of 24 million people, has little space left on which to develop renewable energy, hampering the prospects for more ambitious decarbonisation of its energy sources.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As one of China\u2019s most developed cities, Shanghai faces the same challenges the rest of the country does in achieving peak carbon and carbon neutrality: rejigging the energy mix and cutting industrial emissions. But it must also tackle emissions from transportation and buildings, issues faced in the \u201cconsumer cities\u201d of more developed nations. As such, it is leading the way for China\u2019s future low-carbon transition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Taking the lead on peak carbon<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Last September, China committed to peak carbon before 2030, and carbon neutrality before 2060. To this end, the central government is encouraging local governments to hit peak carbon early where possible, with local action plans for reaching peak carbon due at the end of the year. According to rough figures put forward in the media based on local 14th Five Year Plan documents published early this year, almost 100 cities<\/a> or regions have said they will reach peak carbon early. These include Shanghai, Beijing, Tianjin and Suzhou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since 2010, China has launched 87 low-carbon city pilot projects<\/a>. These have explored routes to low-carbon development by saving energy in industry and limiting emissions from buildings, transportation and agriculture. There have been no official announcements, but research by the Energy Foundation China indicates 23 provinces (including centrally administered municipalities such as Shanghai, Beijing and Tianjin) have reached, or are close to reaching, peak carbon. They account for 80% of national emissions. Emissions are still growing in seven provinces, including Fujian and Jiangxi in the east, and Guizhou and Xinjiang in the west.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zou Ji, president of Energy Foundation China, said<\/a> at a recent seminar that those localities already at peak carbon could be divided into two types. The first is experiencing a population decline and weak economic growth. More common is the second, where the economy is more developed, the industrial and energy structures are more advanced, and natural resources, such as sunshine and wind, are more favourable to low-carbon development.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regions that are approaching peak carbon mostly rely on traditional drivers of growth or energy-hungry heavy industry, but do have the means to improve the industrial and energy mix in order to reach peak carbon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, emissions are still growing in places with unfavourable natural resource endowments, such as abundant coal, and undeveloped economies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Energy Foundation China\u2019s analysis found Shanghai\u2019s emissions from energy activities have already peaked. That matches up with findings from Peking University\u2019s Institute of Energy. But modelling<\/a> by other academics has found that if Shanghai\u2019s existing policies are enforced, the city\u2019s carbon emissions will plateau between 2018 and 2024, and only then start to fall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If energy structure and intensity targets are tightened up, that fall could be brought forward to 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Adjusting the energy structure<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Shanghai aims to have renewables account for 8% of its energy mix by 2025, compared to 1.6% in 2019. One expert who took part in the drafting of Shanghai\u2019s peak carbon action plan said the city is short of land and even if all available space for solar power is used \u2013 including all rooftops \u2013 it would still be only a tiny fraction of what is needed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Coal still accounted for 31% of Shanghai\u2019s energy consumption in 2020, and the energy mix needs more work if the city is to hit peak carbon. The city has published a range of documents over the last few years indicating it will end its reliance on coal, with a cap on coal consumption. Meanwhile, the city is also working to replace local coal power generation with renewable generation located elsewhere in China, and to increase the use of natural gas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Recommended<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n

Shanghai already imports about half of its electricity, drawing on renewables in western China, such as hydropower, which help cut the city\u2019s carbon emissions.<\/a> The above-mentioned expert expects that achieving peak carbon and carbon neutrality will mean Shanghai relying more heavily on green power imports. When drafting their peak-carbon action plans, provinces are required to factor in emissions incurred during the generation of imported power. This is to encourage power-consuming provinces in the east, such as Shanghai, to consider their energy structure as a whole, rather than simply export their pollution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shanghai: lightening up<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u201cLooking at the emissions curve, we can see that Shanghai has already started to decouple its carbon footprint from economic growth,\u201d Zhu Dajian, director of the Institute of Sustainable Development and Management Research at Tongji University, told China Dialogue. Shanghai has long been China\u2019s top city in terms of GDP. In 2018, its per-head GDP broke US$20,000<\/a>, and service sector GDP has accounted for around 70% of the total for the last five years. These circumstances are similar to those seen when developed nations reach peak carbon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Currently, Shanghai emits 200 million tonnes<\/a> of carbon a year. Emissions from industry, transportation and buildings account for around 45%, 30% and 25% of the total respectively, according to research by the World Resources Institute. This, however, is not the pattern seen in major cities in developed nations. Zhu Dajian says cities overseas are mainly residential, with emissions coming from buildings and transportation \u2013 these are emissions arising from consumption. But Shanghai, like most of China\u2019s cities, is still home to production.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shanghai used to be a centre of heavy industry, until the 1990s when a push to shift to lighter and more modern industries started. The banks of the Huangpu River, which runs from north to south through the city, are lined with old industrial buildings, now refitted as fashionable art galleries and shops. The city\u2019s 14th Five Year Plan says it will continue to turn its urban rust belt into an attraction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Even so, cutting industrial emissions will be a tough nut to crack. Dai Xingyi, professor at Fudan University\u2019s Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, said the city does not want to do away with all its industry: high-end manufacturing will be retained. Over a decade ago, Beijing forced steelmaker Shougang to relocate. Shanghai, though, allowed Baogang, now Baowu Steel and China\u2019s largest steel manufacturer, to keep operating in the city. Dirtier production lines were, however, shut down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A number of academics told China Dialogue that Shanghai\u2019s industrial emissions peaked as early as the 12th Five Year Plan period (2011-2015), and industrial carbon intensity in the city is lower than in many others. But that makes further decarbonisation more challenging. Shanghai will have to rely on further industrial changes and technological improvements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Transportation and buildings: New challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Peak carbon will not be easy for the city. In developed nations, industrial emissions peaked, and then emissions from transport and buildings had to be tackled. In New York, emissions from buildings account for 70%<\/a> of total emissions. According to Zhu Dajian, emissions from transport and buildings can be expected to contribute a larger proportion of Shanghai\u2019s overall emissions as incomes rise in the city.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shanghai is building five city \u201csub-centres\u201d on its outskirts. In April, the municipal government ruled<\/a> that buildings in those sub-centres must use green building standards, and that ultra-low energy buildings are to be encouraged. According to Dai Xingyi, the \u201cgreenness\u201d of these new centres will also depend on their success in attracting people and commercial activities. Having the new buildings sit empty would be wasteful.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Research<\/a> has shown that improving energy efficiency in existing buildings can bring big emissions savings. This is particularly the case for commercial buildings, where energy use is often tens of times that of government or residential buildings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 2009, Shanghai started monitoring energy use in some large public buildings. Today, over 2,000 buildings are covered by that monitoring scheme. On screens at monitoring centres, and online, building owners and the government can see real-time usage by key building infrastructure such as air-conditioning and lighting. At a seminar held in April, one official involved in the city\u2019s efforts to save energy and cut emissions said that data is \u201cmore useful than just lecturing.\u201d The Shanghai district of Changning ranks buildings on their energy efficiency, encouraging building managers to learn from each other. Experience has shown that even without retrofitting, these methods can produce annual reductions in energy use.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shanghai is known in China for its efficient public transport system. It has over 1,000 kilometres<\/a> of subway lines either in operation or in the works, with links to the neighbouring provinces of Jiangsu and Zhejiang planned. The city government has repeatedly said the only solution to congestion issues is to prioritise the development of public transport. In 2016, the city put forward a \u201c15-minute city<\/a>\u201d plan, with the aim of having 99% of communities able to access the bulk of their shopping, leisure and transportation transfer points within a 15-minute walk by 2035.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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By 2025 all Shanghai buses, government vehicles and city-centre goods vehicles will be electric, according to the city’s 14th Five Year Plan (Image: Alamy)<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Urban planning decisions can result in locked-in carbon emissions. Zhu Dajian explained that Beijing once planned to centralise urban functions while keeping residential zones on the outskirts. That resulted in longer commute times and appalling congestion. A similar approach was taken with the early stages of the Lujiazui commercial zone in Shanghai\u2019s Pudong district. However, the city realized that low-carbon development requires a functionally mixed urban layout, which renders more carbon reductions than technological advancements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But Shanghai still has over four million cars<\/a> on the road, the fifth-largest number of any Chinese city. Limitations on car purchases were introduced in 1994 but the city remains plagued by congestion and vehicle pollution. Those limits were relaxed last year, in response to the impact of the coronavirus, with an extra 40,000<\/a> purchases allowed. The city government also spent big on subsidising consumers to upgrade their old vehicles to newer and more efficient internal combustion models.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shanghai\u2019s 14th Five Year Plan<\/a> and a separate five-year plan for electric vehicles<\/a> provide guidance for increasing electrification of private transport. However, no timetable is given for the phasing out of internal combustion vehicles. According to those plans, in five years 50% of all private vehicle purchases will be of all-electric vehicles, while all buses, government vehicles and city-centre goods vehicles will be electric.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zhu Hong, deputy head of the Shanghai Urban and Rural Construction and Traffic Development Academy, said during a speech<\/a> that more new electric vehicle purchases will slow emissions growth, but the speed with which the existing fleet is replaced will be key for reaching peak carbon. His research has found that 74% of the city\u2019s transportation emissions come from road vehicles, with the rest from river and rail transport, while over 60% of road vehicle emissions come from cars. He thinks the government needs to go further on purchase restrictions. Currently, there is a quota for annual car purchases but no cap on total car numbers. \u201cThere should be a cap. If we can\u2019t cap vehicle numbers, how can we talk about a peak for vehicle emissions?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shanghai does not have much time to act. A number of experts told China Dialogue that one aspect of the \u201clow-carbon development path with Chinese characteristics\u201d that academics are proposing would mean more economic growth with lower emissions. Shanghai\u2019s annual per-head carbon emissions are over 10 tonnes, still higher than major cities in developed nations. Zhu Dajian said that Shanghai\u2019s route to a low-carbon transition will show the way for the rest of China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Correction notice: The original version of this article stated that China had committed to peaking its carbon emissions by 2030 and reaching carbon neutrality by 2060. On 21 January 2025, this was corrected to\u00a0<\/em>before\u00a02030 and\u00a0<\/em>before\u00a02060.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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Shanghai, China\u2019s most developed city, is set to lead the way.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/shanghai-leads-way-in-chinas-carbon-transition\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/shanghai-leads-way-in-chinas-carbon-transition\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/shanghai-leads-way-in-chinas-carbon-transition\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Solar-aquaculture-project_HEKWCR-scaled.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Solar-aquaculture-project_HEKWCR-scaled.jpg","width":2560,"height":1706,"caption":"HEKWCR Cixi, China's Zhejiang Province. 24th Dec, 2016. A fisherman fishes in an aquaculture farm building and sharing with a solar power project in Cixi City, east China's Zhejiang Province, Dec. 24, 2016. The project under construction, with solar panels installed above the fishery water, is expected to generate 220 million kwh of electricity per year. \u00a9 Xu Yu\/Xinhua\/Alamy Live News"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/shanghai-leads-way-in-chinas-carbon-transition\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Shanghai leads way in China\u2019s carbon transition"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/","name":"Dialogue Earth","description":"Global climate and environment news","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#organization","name":"\u5bf9\u8bdd\u5730\u7403","url":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Dialogue-Earth-Symbol-Logo_Black-Text.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Dialogue-Earth-Symbol-Logo_Black-Text.png","width":256,"height":256,"caption":"\u5bf9\u8bdd\u5730\u7403"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/twitter.com\/DialogueEarth_","","https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/DialogueEarth.English","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/dialogue.earth\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/dialogueearth\/"],"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/about\/"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/e6c4d55fe373fb01174e0713da39a3e8","name":"Shi Yi","description":"Shi Yi is formerly a senior researcher at China Dialogue. 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