{"id":74025,"date":"2021-11-17T12:34:02","date_gmt":"2021-11-17T12:34:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/chinadialogue.net\/?p=74025"},"modified":"2021-12-13T11:26:43","modified_gmt":"2021-12-13T11:26:43","slug":"great-mining-migration-power-hungry-bitcoin-leaves-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/great-mining-migration-power-hungry-bitcoin-leaves-china\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2018Great mining migration\u2019: Power-hungry Bitcoin leaves China"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap\">On 14 April this year, the price of a single Bitcoin reached a then <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/price\/bitcoin\">all-time-high<\/a> of around US$64,870. Just over a month later, it had tumbled to $34,259.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A significant driver behind this sudden drop was news that China had begun a sweeping crackdown on the cryptocurrency industry, due to concerns about financial risk and excessive energy consumption. The extreme energy intensity of Bitcoin \u201cmining\u201d \u2013 by which transactions are verified and new coins are created \u2013 has led to criticism of the currency\u2019s oversized carbon footprint.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Before the clampdown, China accounted for two-thirds of Bitcoin mining worldwide. In the months since, mining companies have been quick to move their operations overseas. Recent <a href=\"https:\/\/cbeci.org\/mining_map\">data<\/a> suggests that energy consumed by Bitcoin has increased in the US, Canada and Kazakhstan, and with it, pressure to address the currency\u2019s soaring electricity appetite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-power-hungry-bitcoin\">Power-hungry Bitcoin<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin is a decentralised digital currency, meaning that each time money is sent or received, the transaction is kept on a public record, rather than with a bank. But in the absence of a trusted authority to verify each transaction, the responsibility falls to participants known as \u201cminers\u201d in the Bitcoin network.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To verify transactions, miners connect computers to the network and use them to solve incredibly complex, randomly generated mathematical puzzles. Not just any computer will do the job: Bitcoin mining requires multiple specialised computers running almost 24\/7 to achieve the processing power needed to find the solution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Whoever solves the puzzle first is allowed to add a \u201cblock\u201d of transactions to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.blockchain.com\/btc\/unconfirmed-transactions\">global ledger<\/a>, and is rewarded with a small amount of newly minted Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-pullout-stat alignright undefined block--pullout-stat\"><p class=\"block--pullout-stat__title\">32<sup>nd<\/sup><\/p><div class=\"block--pullout-stat__content\"><p>The Bitcoin network would rank 32<sup>nd<\/sup> in the world by annual electricity consumption if it were a country<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Herein lies Bitcoin\u2019s energy problem. The more processing power you can muster, the more often you will be first to solve the puzzle and earn the Bitcoin. And the machines used to mine Bitcoin \u2013 application-specific integrated units (ASICs) \u2013 consume a lot of energy, to say the least.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In one year, the entire Bitcoin network consumes around 120 terawatt hours (TWh) of energy, or more than the whole of the Netherlands, according to estimates by Cambridge University\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/cbeci.org\/\">Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index<\/a> (CBECI). If Bitcoin were a country, it would rank 32<sup>nd<\/sup> in the world by annual electricity consumption.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s the price we pay to secure transactions,\u201d says Anton Dek, cryptoasset and blockchain lead at the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance, and one of the creators of the index. Bitcoin\u2019s energy usage isn\u2019t an accidental by-product, he explains. Mining Bitcoin is purposefully designed to be costly \u2013 both in terms of electricity and money \u2013 to prevent would-be hackers from taking over the network.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So far, it seems to have worked. \u201cWe haven\u2019t seen any double spending or any attacks on the network, partially because this attack would be too expensive. So it kind of makes sense, though that doesn\u2019t mean it shouldn\u2019t be of concern,\u201d says Dek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-a-climate-disaster\">A climate disaster?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s energy footprint has skyrocketed in recent years. In 2017, economics blog Digiconomist <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/bitcoin-mining-energy-consumption\/\">estimated<\/a> that the network of specialised mining computers used 29 TWh annually, equal to 0.13% of total global electricity consumption. This had grown to around 0.65% by May this year, according to CBECI data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/6070666\/embed\" title=\"Interactive or visual content\" class=\"flourish-embed-iframe\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" style=\"width:100%;height:550px;\" sandbox=\"allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation\"><\/iframe><div style=\"width:100%!;margin-top:4px!important;text-align:right!important;\"><a class=\"flourish-credit\" href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/6070666\/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_campaign=visualisation\/6070666\" target=\"_top\" style=\"text-decoration:none!important\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>One of the main reasons for this growth is the price of Bitcoin, says Dek. \u201cThe higher the price, the more profitable it is to mine. We have more and more miners coming with more and more powerful machines. This contributes to increasing energy consumption.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some researchers are concerned that the currency\u2019s rapidly rising electricity consumption may present a serious obstacle to combatting climate change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin is a \u201cglobal climate problem\u201d, says Jon Truby, associate professor of law at Qatar University and author of a 2018 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/abs\/pii\/S2214629618301750#!\">study<\/a> looking at ways to reduce the currency\u2019s environmental footprint. \u201cBlockchain has many benefits, as do digital currencies, but currently their methods are destroying the planet,\u201d he told China Dialogue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c[It is] an inefficient use of scarce energy resources for a financial activity at a point in human development where world governments are scrambling to reduce energy consumption through their Paris Agreement climate change commitments,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S2214629618301750#bib0040\">writes<\/a> Truby.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-china-once-a-bitcoin-mecca\">China, once a Bitcoin mecca<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Until recently, nearly three-quarters of Bitcoin mining took place in China. According to the Cambridge University Index, Chinese miners accounted for more than <a href=\"https:\/\/cbeci.org\/mining_map\">71%<\/a> of the network\u2019s total processing power, or \u201chash rate\u201d, from September 2019 to April 2020. Easy access to cheap electricity and hardware have long made the country an attractive place for cryptocurrency firms to set up shop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mining operations were concentrated in the provinces of Xinjiang, Sichuan, Inner Mongolia and Yunnan, where energy is abundant and cheap, though not necessarily clean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hydropower supplies most of the electricity in the mountainous provinces of Yunnan and Sichuan, where miners would migrate for several months each year during the wet season to take advantage of the excess electricity. Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang still rely heavily on coal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-story-image block--story-image\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--story-image__column\"><div class=\"block--story-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/bitcoin-mine-hydroelectric-plant-sichuan-china.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/bitcoin-mine-hydroelectric-plant-sichuan-china-768x496.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/bitcoin-mine-hydroelectric-plant-sichuan-china-1024x661.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/bitcoin-mine-hydroelectric-plant-sichuan-china-1400x904.jpg 1400w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/bitcoin-mine-hydroelectric-plant-sichuan-china-1800x1162.jpg 2000w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/bitcoin-mine-hydroelectric-plant-sichuan-china.jpg\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 999px) 1024px, (max-width: 1400px) 1400px, (max-width: 2000px) 2000px, 2560px\" alt=\"An aerial view of a bitcoin farm next to a hydropower station, southwest China's Sichuan province\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--story-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--story-image__caption\">A Bitcoin mine built next to a hydropower station in Sichuan, southwest China. Many facilities connect directly to power stations like these to make use of cheap excess electricity generated during the rainy season. (Image: Alamy)<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/bitcoin-mine-hydroelectric-plant-sichuan-china.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"704 KB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1653\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2560\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Unchecked, Bitcoin mining operations in China alone were set to generate 130.5 million metric tons of CO2 by 2024, around the same as the total annual emissions of the Czech Republic, according to a 2021 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-021-22256-3.pdf\">study<\/a> in the journal Nature.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-crackdown\">Crackdown<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Since President Xi Jinping <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/climate\/chinas-new-carbon-neutrality-pledge-what-next\/\">pledged last year<\/a> that China would aim to be carbon neutral by 2060, the government\u2019s stance on Bitcoin and cryptocurrency mining has hardened.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The first sign came in March this year, when Inner Mongolia <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thepaper.cn\/newsDetail_forward_11657971\">announced<\/a> it would phase out cryptocurrency mining entirely after the province failed to meet its 2020 target for reducing energy consumption. &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then in May, China\u2019s Vice Premier Liu He <a href=\"http:\/\/www.gov.cn\/guowuyuan\/2021-05\/21\/content_5610192.htm?utm_source=CD+bilingual+newsletter_Outside+China&amp;utm_campaign=e9b210f461-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_05_23_03_03_COPY_02&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_term=0_fea4a231d4-e9b210f461-46887622&amp;mc_cid=e9b210f461&amp;mc_eid=b0f230dceb\">declared<\/a> at a State Council meeting that the government intended to \u201ccrackdown on Bitcoin mining and trading\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regional governments were quick to act, <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.sina.com.cn\/jjxw\/2021-05-26\/doc-ikmxzfmm4668675.shtml?utm_source=CD+bilingual+newsletter_Outside+China&amp;utm_campaign=e9b210f461-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_05_23_03_03_COPY_02&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_term=0_fea4a231d4-e9b210f461-46887622&amp;mc_cid=e9b210f461&amp;mc_eid=b0f230dceb\">revoking licences<\/a> of companies involved in cryptocurrency mining, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.panewslab.com\/zh\/sqarticledetails\/1623943956574073.html\">cutting off power<\/a> to mining facilities and in some cases giving firms just seven days to shut down their operations. By the end of June, one industry expert <a href=\"https:\/\/www.globaltimes.cn\/page\/202106\/1226598.shtml\">estimated<\/a> that 90% of China\u2019s Bitcoin mining centres \u2013 more than half of the global total at the time \u2013 had gone offline. In the same month, Bitcoin\u2019s total electricity footprint was cut in half, according to CBECI data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/7806160\/embed\" title=\"Interactive or visual content\" class=\"flourish-embed-iframe\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" style=\"width:100%;height:600px;\" sandbox=\"allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation\"><\/iframe><div style=\"width:100%!;margin-top:4px!important;text-align:right!important;\"><a class=\"flourish-credit\" href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/7806160\/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_campaign=visualisation\/7806160\" target=\"_top\" style=\"text-decoration:none!important\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-mass-exodus\">Mass exodus<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe crackdown in China has resulted in a mass exodus of miners,\u201d explains Peter Wall, CEO of North American cryptocurrency mining firm Argo Blockchain. \u201cDisplaced Chinese miners are searching the globe for appropriate hosting sites for their machines.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Countries with access to cheap electricity like Canada, Russia, Kazakhstan and, especially, the United States are now seeing a surge in interest from Chinese miners looking to partner with local firms. How will this \u201cgreat mining migration\u201d, as it is described in cryptocurrency circles, shape Bitcoin\u2019s carbon footprint?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe hope that the long-term impact of this migration is the re-installation of machines in jurisdictions in which mining operations can be powered by renewable energy,\u201d says Wall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The short-term reality may not be so rosy. In July, Beijing-based crypto-mining giant Bitmain agreed to move a batch of its mining machines to a 180 megawatt (MW) facility in Kazakhstan whose electricity is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2021\/07\/23\/kazakhstan-data-center-operator-enegix-to-host-bitmain-machines\/\">supplied<\/a> by a local coal power plant. Given that just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/countries\/Kazakhstan\">1%<\/a> of Kazakhstan\u2019s energy mix is renewables, this may not be a one-off. In Canada, oil and gas company Black Rock Petroleum has agreed to host up to 1 million Bitcoin-mining machines relocated from China, with the first 200,000 units sourcing power <a href=\"https:\/\/www.globenewswire.com\/news-release\/2021\/07\/15\/2263800\/0\/en\/Black-Rock-Petroleum-Company-Announces-Bitcoin-Mining-Agreement.html\">directly from a natural gas well<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The new global hub of Bitcoin mining, however, is expected to be the US state of Texas. The state\u2019s governor, Greg Abbott, is actively courting the cryptocurrency industry, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/gregabbott_tx\/status\/1403356666243002370?lang=en\">tweeting<\/a> in June that \u201cTexas is open for crypto business.\u201d Shenzhen-based BIT Mining <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2021\/05\/20\/chinese-bitcoin-mining-company-invests-25m-in-new-facility-in-texas\/\">plans<\/a> to invest $26 million in a 57 MW facility in the state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">It&#39;s happening!<br><br>Texas will be the crypto leader.<br><br>Cryptocurrency is now coming to Texas grocery stores.<br><br>H-E-B is putting cryptocurrency kiosks into some Texas grocery stores.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/cryptocurrency?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#cryptocurrency<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/HEB?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@HEB<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/e4CNsSbd0s\">https:\/\/t.co\/e4CNsSbd0s<\/a> via <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/chron?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@chron<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Greg Abbott (@GregAbbott_TX) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GregAbbott_TX\/status\/1406104291950071808?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 19, 2021<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Texas offers \u201chuge possibilities for mining to utilise renewable sources\u201d says Wall. He points out that in the west of the state, wind turbines power 90% of the grid. Overall, however, the Texas energy grid is made up of just over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/state\/analysis.php?sid=TX#120\">one-fifth<\/a> renewable energy, and has <a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/en\/energy\/lessons-from-the-texas-big-freeze\/\">proven fragile in extreme weather conditions<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-greening-bitcoin\">Greening Bitcoin<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>CBECI data now shows Bitcoin\u2019s electricity consumption is climbing once again. As the network becomes more distributed across the globe, what options remain for tackling the currency\u2019s carbon footprint?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One solution may be to rethink how Bitcoin transactions are verified. The current method is called \u201cProof of Work\u201d because participants must do the work of mining to verify transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"70035\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">Recommended<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p>The most commonly proposed alternative is \u201cProof of Stake\u201d. This removes processing power from the equation. Instead of competing against each other, participants who have first made a deposit in Bitcoin are selected at random to verify transactions. The larger the deposit, the greater the chance of being selected and earning the reward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Several smaller cryptocurrencies already use this method. <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.ethereum.org\/2021\/05\/18\/country-power-no-more\/\">Ethereum<\/a>, one of Bitcoin\u2019s main competitors, is expected to make the switch later this year, but some in the industry remain sceptical.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe have no plans to shift away from Proof of Work,\u201d says Wall. Miners will inevitably migrate to the cheapest electricity available on the grid and increasingly that is not coal, oil or gas plants, he argues. \u201cWe are at a point where renewable power is the same price or lower than power generated by fossil fuels.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-pull-quote block--pull-quote\"><div class=\"block--pull-quote__wrapper\"><blockquote class=\"block--pull-quote__quote\">We are at a point where renewable power is the same price or lower than power generated by fossil fuels<\/blockquote><cite class=\"block--pull-quote__cite\">Peter Wall, Argo Blockchain<\/cite><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt may be too late for existing digital currencies like Bitcoin to change their methods of confirming transactions,\u201d agrees Truby, of Qatar University. The best option is to \u201cfocus on mitigating mining devices\u2019 energy consumption by improving the devices and providing them with renewable energy,\u201d he says.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Norway and Iceland, with their plentiful supply of geothermal, hydroelectric and wind power, have been using renewable energy to power cryptocurrency mining for years. In June, the president of El Salvador Nayib Bukele made headlines when he announced the country would start mining Bitcoin powered by <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nayibbukele\/status\/1402680890057166858\">\u201c100% clean, 100% renewable, 0 emissions energy\u201d<\/a> from a volcano. In September, El Salvador adopted the currency as legal tender.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Against a backdrop of growing pressure on energy-intensive industries of all kinds to address their contribution to global carbon emissions, Wall is frank about the need for cryptocurrency to adapt: \u201cProving that crypto can be sustainable is pivotal to its success. The future of energy is green and renewable, so the future of crypto must reflect that.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Responsibility for addressing the cryptocurrency\u2019s rising energy appetite is now shifting to countries like the US, Canada and Kazakhstan<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3513,"featured_media":74035,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[757],"tags":[17073,585,597],"hashtags":[],"country":[50040710,20000110,20028672,50040700],"class_list":["post-74025","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy","tag-energy-transition","tag-renewables","tag-technology","country-canada","country-china","country-kazakhstan","country-united-states-of-america"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v26.0) - 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