{"id":43742,"date":"2017-09-18T10:10:00","date_gmt":"2017-09-18T10:10:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-06-26T09:25:39","modified_gmt":"2020-06-26T09:25:39","slug":"43742","status":"publish","type":"opinion","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/3\/43742\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5384\u739b\u7834\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u98d3\u98ce\u8bc4\u7ea7\u8fdb\u5165\u516d\u7ea7\u65f6\u4ee3\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p dir=\"ltr\"><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-9bfd7f3b-9531-e934-282c-957a0c86ba89\">\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u5468\uff0c <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/dont-blame-climate-change-for-the-hurricane-harvey-disaster-blame-society-83163\">\u98d3\u98ce\u54c8\u7ef4<\/a>\u548c<a 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href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2017\/sep\/10\/hurricane-irma-harvey-climate-change-trump\">\u4e0e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6709\u5173<\/a>\uff1f\u5b83\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u9884\u793a\u7740\u672a\u6765\u8fd8\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u66f4\u591a\u6b64\u7c7b\u81ea\u7136\u707e\u5bb3\uff1f\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u65e0\u6cd5\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u6e29\u7684\u5347\u9ad8\uff0c\u98d3\u98ce\u7684\u9891\u6b21\u548c\u5f3a\u5ea6\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u6709\u6240\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u5728\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u638c\u63e1\u957f\u671f\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-9bfd7f3b-9531-e934-282c-957a0c86ba89\">\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u98d3\u98ce\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u53d7\u5230<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/journals.ametsoc.org\/doi\/full\/10.1175\/2007JCLI1571.1\">\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u6e29\u5ea6<\/a>\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u2014\u2014\u6e29\u6696\u7684\u6d77\u6c34\u53ef\u4ee5\u5bf9\u98d3\u98ce\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u8d77\u5230\u63a8\u6ce2\u52a9\u6f9c\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u8fd9\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u662f\u53d7\u5230\u5730\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u7cfb\u7edf\u548c\u6d77\u6d0b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u5468\u671f\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u6240\u9a71\u52a8\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\u603b\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u5e74\u4efd\u4e2d\u6d77\u6c34\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5176\u4ed6\u5e74\u4efd\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-9bfd7f3b-9531-e934-282c-957a0c86ba89\">\u73b0\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u672a\u6765\u5f71\u54cd\u89c2\u70b9<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/ngeo\/journal\/v3\/n3\/full\/ngeo779.html?foxtrotcallback=true\">\u5404\u5f02<\/a>\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/ngeo\/journal\/v3\/n3\/full\/ngeo779.html?foxtrotcallback=true\">\u7ed3\u8bba\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u7814\u7a76\u6587\u7ae0<\/a>\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u6cbf\u5cb8\u7684\u98d3\u98ce\u53d1\u751f\u9891\u7387\u4f1a<a href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/sci\/327\/5964\/454.full.pdf?sid=a419bf9b-63b4-4b81-9945-552c3ccede36\">\u51cf\u5c11<\/a>\uff0c\u4f46\u62dc\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u6696\u6240\u8d50\uff0c\u98d3\u98ce\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6\u4f1a<a href=\"https:\/\/journals.ametsoc.org\/doi\/abs\/10.1175\/JCLI-D-12-00539.1\">\u66f4\u52a0\u5f3a\u52b2<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span 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href=\"https:\/\/www.wttc.org\/-\/media\/files\/reports\/economic-impact-research\/countries-2017\/antiguaandbarbuda2017.pdf\">\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\u5728GDP\u4e2d\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u7387<\/a>\u8fbe\u5230\u4e8660%\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"factbox pull-right\">\n<header><\/header>\n<div class=\"content\">\n<div id=\"mc_embed_signup\">\n<form id=\"mc-embedded-subscribe-form\" class=\"validate\" action=\"\/\/chinadialogue.us1.list-manage.com\/subscribe\/post?u=6585f82da0cf6d1feb1edfd55&amp;id=5db8c84b96\" method=\"post\" name=\"mc-embedded-subscribe-form\" novalidate=\"\" target=\"_blank\">\n<div id=\"mc_embed_signup_scroll\">\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-9bfd7f3b-9531-e934-282c-957a0c86ba89\" style=\"font-size: inherit;\">\u540c\u4e3a\u4e94\u7ea7\u98d3\u98ce\u7684\u201c<\/span><a style=\"font-size: inherit;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.sky.com\/story\/hurricane-irma-v-hurricane-andrew-11026424\">\u5b89\u5fb7\u9c81<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 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