{"id":60152135,"date":"2026-09-22T14:13:33","date_gmt":"2026-09-22T13:13:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/uncategorized\/offshore-wind-offers-china-much-more-than-carbon-cutting-2\/"},"modified":"2026-09-22T14:13:56","modified_gmt":"2026-09-22T13:13:56","slug":"60152135","status":"publish","type":"opinion","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/4\/60152135\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u8fdc\u4e0d\u6b62\u51cf\u78b3"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gwec.net\/reports\/globaloffshorewindreport\">\u4e2d\u56fd<\/a>\u7ea6\u5360\u5168\u7403\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u5bb9\u91cf\u7684\u4e00\u534a\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4ecd\u5728\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4eca\u5e747\u6708\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f88\u6709\u96c4\u5fc3\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff1a\u52302030\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u5bb9\u91cf\u8981\u8fbe\u5230100\u5409\u74e6\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u662f47\u5409\u74e6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6709\u5173\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u56de\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u8d28\u7591\uff1a\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u7684\u5ea6\u7535<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S2214629623003894\">\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\u4e8e<\/a>\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u548c\u9646\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u6bd4\u8f83\u5e76\u672a\u5145\u5206\u4f53\u73b0\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u6210\u672c\u6700\u4f4e\u7684\u98ce\u80fd\u548c\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u5206\u5e03\u5728\u897f\u90e8\u548c\u5317\u90e8\u5185\u9646\uff0c\u800c\u6700\u5927\u7684\u7535\u529b\u9700\u6c42\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5219\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u4e1c\u90e8\u6cbf\u6d77\u5730\u533a\u3002\u5355\u770b\u53d1\u7535\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u4f53\u73b0\u6cbf\u6d77\u7701\u4efd\u589e\u52a0\u672c\u5730\u53d1\u7535\u91cf\u53ef\u80fd\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4eec\u53d1\u8868\u4e8e\u300a\u5730\u7403\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u901a\u8baf\u300b\uff08Communications Earth &amp; Environment\uff09\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s43247-026-03533-9\">\u53d1\u73b0<\/a>\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u52302050\u5e74\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u5bb9\u91cf\u8fbe\u52301000\u5409\u74e6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6cbf\u6d77\u5730\u533a\u53ef\u80fd\u4ece\u7535\u529b\u51c0\u8f93\u5165\u5730\u533a\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u8f93\u51fa\u5730\u533a\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6cbf\u6d77\u7701\u4efd\u7535\u529b\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u673a\u4f1a\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5bf9\u65b0\u5efa\u957f\u8ddd\u79bb\u8f93\u7535\u7ebf\u8def\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u5219\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c1a\u672a\u8bbe\u5b9a2030\u5e74\u540e\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ea7\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u53d1\u5c55\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5c06\u5730\u65b9\u53d1\u5c55\u91cd\u70b9\u4e0e\u56fd\u5bb6\u51cf\u78b3\u76ee\u6807\u76f8\u8854\u63a5\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u63a8\u52a8\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u63d0\u51fa\u66f4\u5177\u96c4\u5fc3\u7684\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u89c4\u6a21\u5316\u53d1\u5c55\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u5438\u7eb3\u5730\u65b9\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u65b9\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6d4b\u8bd5\u5185\u5bb9\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6d4b\u8bd5\u5185\u5bb9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4eec\u91c7\u7528\u5f00\u6e90\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u6a21\u62df\u5668<a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/blue-marble\/gridpath\">GridPath<\/a>\uff0c\u5c06\u4e2d\u56fd\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u5efa\u6a21\u4e3a32\u4e2a\u7701\u7ea7\u8282\u70b9\uff0c\u5404\u8282\u70b9\u901a\u8fc7184\u6761\u8f93\u7535\u901a\u9053\u76f8\u8fde\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u91c7\u7528<a href=\"https:\/\/about.bnef.com\/insights\/clean-energy\/new-energy-outlook\/#toc-download\">\u5f6d\u535a\u65b0\u80fd\u6e90\u8d22\u7ecf<\/a>\uff08Bloomberg New Energy Finance\uff0c\u7b80\u79f0BloombergNEF\uff09<a href=\"https:\/\/about.bnef.com\/insights\/clean-energy\/new-energy-outlook\/#toc-download\">\u6280\u672f\u6210\u672c\u8d8b\u52bf<\/a>\u7684\u57fa\u51c6\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u52302050\u5e74\uff0c\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u5bb9\u91cf\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230\u7ea6214\u5409\u74e6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u4e2d\u7b49\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5047\u8bbe\u52302050\u5e74\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u6210\u672c\u4e0b\u964d43%\uff0c\u88c5\u673a\u5bb9\u91cf\u5c06\u589e\u81f3250\u5409\u74e6\u3002\uff08\u8fd9\u4e00\u964d\u5e45\u4e0e\u4f4d\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u79d1\u7f57\u62c9\u591a\u5dde\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\uff08National Renewable Energy Laboratory\uff09\u57282022\u5e74<a href=\"https:\/\/atb.nlr.gov\/\">\u300a\u5e74\u5ea6\u6280\u672f\u57fa\u51c6\u300b<\/a>\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u4e2d\u8bbe\u5b9a\u7684\u9ad8\u9636\u60c5\u666f\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u9ad8\u76ee\u6807\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u5bb9\u91cf\u5c06\u8fbe\u52301000\u5409\u74e6\u3002\u8be5\u60c5\u666f\u540c\u6837\u5047\u8bbe\u6210\u672c\u4e0b\u964d43%\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u5148\u5b9e\u73b02030\u5e74\u88c5\u673a\u5bb9\u91cf\u8fbe\u5230100\u5409\u74e6\u7684\u5b8f\u4f1f\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5feb\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e00\u6700\u9ad8\u6570\u503c\u5e76\u975e\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u53d1\u5c55\u7a7a\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u6f14\u3002\u5176\u8bbe\u5b9a\u53c2\u8003\u4e86<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eca.europa.eu\/ECAPublications\/SR-2023-22\/SR-2023-22_EN.pdf\">\u5176\u4ed6\u5927\u578b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53<\/a>\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u672a\u8d85\u51fa\u5df2\u6709\u516c\u5f00\u7814\u7a76\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd<a href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s43979-022-00020-w\">\u6280\u672f\u6f5c\u529b<\/a>\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u8303\u56f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-\u6cbf\u6d77\u7701\u4efd\u53ef\u63d0\u9ad8\u7535\u529b\u81ea\u7ed9\u80fd\u529b\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6cbf\u6d77\u7701\u4efd\u53ef\u63d0\u9ad8\u7535\u529b\u81ea\u7ed9\u80fd\u529b<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u4f18\u8d28\u7684\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u8d44\u6e90\u4e0e\u7528\u7535\u9700\u6c42\u4e2d\u5fc3\u76f8\u8ddd\u751a\u8fdc\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u8de8\u7701\u7535\u529b\u8f93\u9001\uff0c\u5e76\u63a8\u52a8\u957f\u8ddd\u79bb\u8f93\u7535\u8bbe\u65bd\u6295\u8d44\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2021\u5e74\u81f32023\u5e74\uff0c\u591a\u4e2a\u6cbf\u6d77\u7701\u4efd\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u5b9e\u65bd\u9650\u7535\u3002\u81ea2022\u5e74\u521d\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2<a href=\"https:\/\/energyandcleanair.org\/publication\/chinas-new-coal-power-spree-continues-as-more-provinces-jump-on-the-bandwagon\/\">\u6279\u51c6<\/a>\u65b0\u589e\u7164\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u8d85\u8fc7150\u5409\u74e6\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5f88\u5927\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u6b63\u662f\u51fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u4f9b\u7535\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u9760\u8fd1\u6cbf\u6d77\u7528\u7535\u9700\u6c42\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u5730\u533a\u63d0\u4f9b\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u3002\u5728\u57fa\u51c6\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c2050\u5e74\u5341\u4e2a\u6cbf\u6d77\u7701\u4efd\u7684\u51c0\u8f93\u5165\u7535\u91cf\u4e3a813\u592a\u74e6\u65f6\uff08TWh\uff09\uff1b\u800c\u5728\u9ad8\u76ee\u6807\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7701\u4efd\u5c06\u6574\u4f53\u8f6c\u4e3a\u7535\u529b\u51c0\u8f93\u51fa\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u51c0\u8f93\u51fa\u7535\u91cf\u8fbe\u523088\u592a\u74e6\u65f6\u3002\u76f8\u8f83\u4e8e\u57fa\u51c6\u60c5\u666f\uff0c\u6cbf\u6d77\u5730\u533a\u5e73\u5747\u80fd\u6e90\u81ea\u7ed9\u7387\u5c06\u63d0\u9ad826\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p 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class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"hide-expand block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Workers-labor-at-a-offshore-wind-farm-construction-site-in-Zhoushan_Imaginechina_Alamy_W7KH35.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Workers-labor-at-a-offshore-wind-farm-construction-site-in-Zhoushan_Imaginechina_Alamy_W7KH35-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Workers-labor-at-a-offshore-wind-farm-construction-site-in-Zhoushan_Imaginechina_Alamy_W7KH35-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Workers-labor-at-a-offshore-wind-farm-construction-site-in-Zhoushan_Imaginechina_Alamy_W7KH35.jpg 2560w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 2560px\" alt=\"Workers in orange uniforms and blue hard hats pull a thick cable on a rocky shore, with a large industrial vessel visible in the water behind them.\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">\u6d59\u6c5f\u7701\u821f\u5c71\u5e02\u4e00\u5904\u6d77\u4e0a\u98ce\u7535\u9879\u76ee\u65bd\u5de5\u73b0\u573a\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aImaginechina \/ Alamy<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Workers-labor-at-a-offshore-wind-farm-construction-site-in-Zhoushan_Imaginechina_Alamy_W7KH35.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"1 MB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1707\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2560\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p 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