{"id":39232,"date":"2009-01-21T06:08:00","date_gmt":"2009-01-21T06:08:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-06-22T22:50:29","modified_gmt":"2020-06-22T22:50:29","slug":"39232","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/4\/39232\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8d70\u5411\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u5b89\u5168"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u548c\u4e16\u754c\u8bb8\u591a\u5730\u65b9\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u548c\u6fb3\u6d32\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u7406\u5ff5\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u4e5f\u662f\u6240\u8c13\u7684&ldquo;\u63a7\u5236\u8303\u5f0f&rdquo;\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u7406\u5ff5\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u5047\u8bbe\u5c31\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u519b\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf\u6216\u8005\u5747\u52bf\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u904f\u5236\u6765\u63a7\u5236\u975e\u5b89\u5168\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u6700\u660e\u786e\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f\u6240\u8c13\u7684&ldquo;\u53cd\u6050\u6218\u4e89&rdquo;\uff0c\u5176\u76ee\u6807\u662f&ldquo;\u963b\u6b62&rdquo;\u6050\u6016\u4e3b\u4e49\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u6d88\u9664\u5176\u6839\u6e90\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7528\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u529e\u6cd5\u6765\u7ef4\u6301\u56fd\u5bb6\u3001\u5730\u533a\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u5b89\u5168\u662f\u6709\u95ee\u9898\u7684\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u6ca1\u6709\u901a\u8fc7\u5916\u4ea4\u52aa\u529b\u6765\u5b9e\u65bd\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u3002\u5b83\u8fd8\u4f1a\u5206\u6563\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\u7684\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u5168\u529b\u5e94\u5bf9\u65e5\u76ca\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u975e\u4f20\u7edf\u5a01\u80c1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u4e00\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u53ef\u4ee5\u6539\u53d8\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7a98\u5883\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u662f&ldquo;\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u5b89\u5168&rdquo;\u3002\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5047\u8bbe\u662f\uff1a\u4f60\u65e0\u6cd5\u63a7\u5236\u975e\u5b89\u5168\u56e0\u7d20\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6240\u6709\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4f46\u5fc5\u987b\u52aa\u529b\u89e3\u51b3\u5176\u6839\u6e90\u3002\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c&ldquo;\u6cbb\u6807&rdquo;\u6ca1\u6709\u7528\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u5b89\u5168\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u7efc\u5408\u5206\u6790\u4ee5\u53ca\u9884\u9632\u6027\u7684\u5e94\u5bf9\u63aa\u65bd\u6765&ldquo;\u6cbb\u672c&rdquo;\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u5b89\u5168\u4e3b\u8981\u7740\u773c\u4e8e\u4e0b\u5217\u76f8\u4e92\u8054\u7cfb\u7684\u957f\u671f\u975e\u5b89\u5168\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5305\u62ec:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span style=\"\">* <\/span>\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316&mdash;\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u8584\u5f31\u3001\u8d44\u6e90\u532e\u4e4f\u3001\u5927\u91cf\u4eba\u53e3\u5c45\u65e0\u5b9a\u6240\uff1b <span style=\"\">* <\/span>\u56f4\u7ed5\u98df\u54c1\u3001\u6c34\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u7b49\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\uff1b<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; * <\/span>\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u88ab\u8fb9\u7f18\u5316&mdash;\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5728\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u6587\u5316\u4e0a\u7684\u8fb9\u7f18\u5316\uff1b<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; * <\/span>\u5168\u7403\u519b\u4e8b\u5316&mdash;\u519b\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e9a\u6d32\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u8f6c\u578b\u4e2d\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u8f6c\u578b\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u52a8\u8361\u3002\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u666f\u8c61\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u8fc1\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u5176\u5b83\u957f\u671f\u5b89\u5168\u5a01\u80c1\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u5730\u533a\u6027\u5e94\u5bf9\u3002\u6240\u6709\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d8b\u52bf\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u52a8\u56e0\u4e2d\u90fd\u8868\u73b0\u5f97\u5f88\u660e\u663e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u5206\u6790\u628a\u4e0a\u9762\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u5176\u5b83\u5b89\u5168\u5a01\u80c1\u533a\u522b\u5f00\u6765\uff08\u5982\u6050\u6016\u4e3b\u4e49\u548c\u6709\u7ec4\u7ec7\u72af\u7f6a\uff09\u3002\u5b83\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u5168\u9762\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u628a\u4e0d\u540c\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u4e92\u52a8\u90fd\u653e\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u8003\u8651\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u5b83\u65b9\u6cd5\u901a\u5e38\u90fd\u628a\u5b83\u4eec\u5206\u79bb\u5f00\u6765\u3002\u5b83\u7279\u522b\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u662f\u56fd\u9645\u884c\u4e3a\u4f53\u548c\u897f\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u76ee\u524d\u884c\u4e3a\u5bfc\u81f4\u975e\u5b89\u5168\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u51cf\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u5b89\u5168\u5bf9\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u5e94\u5bf9\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5173\u952e\u8981\u6c42\uff1a\u9996\u5148\u662f\u5168\u7403\u516c\u6b63\u548c\u516c\u5e73\uff1b\u53e6\u5916\u8fd8\u6709\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u4f53\u5236\u7684\u6539\u9769\u3001\u63f4\u52a9\u548c\u503a\u52a1\u514d\u9664\uff1b\u8fc5\u901f\u6446\u8131\u4ee5\u78b3\u4e3a\u57fa\u7840\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff1b\u671d\u7740\u6838\u88c1\u519b\u548c\u63a7\u5236\u751f\u7269\u548c\u5316\u5b66\u6b66\u5668\u8fc8\u51fa\u575a\u5b9e\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\uff1b\u4ee5\u53ca\u9632\u536b\u5f00\u652f\u671d\u5411\u975e\u519b\u4e8b\u56e0\u7d20\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u8f6c\u79fb\u3002\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u5b89\u5168\u628a\u5168\u7403\u7684\u957f\u671f\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u666e\u901a\u4eba\u7684\u773c\u524d\u5b89\u5168\u8054\u7cfb\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u5b89\u5168\u5929\u751f\u5177\u6709\u9884\u9632\u6027\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u80fd\u5728\u6076\u6027\u7ed3\u679c\u5c1a\u672a\u88ab\u611f\u77e5\u65f6\u5c31\u628a\u51b2\u7a81\u548c\u52a8\u8361\u6839\u6e90\u6d88\u5f2d\u4e8e\u65e0\u5f62\u3002\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u521d\u8877\u5c31\u662f\u5bf9\u5b89\u5168\u7406\u5ff5\u8fdb\u884c\u91cd\u6784\uff0c\u5f15\u5165\u666e\u904d\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u5168\u9762\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u4eba\u7c7b\u5b89\u5168\u4ee5\u53ca\u975e\u4f20\u7edf\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u3002\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5f88\u65e9\u5c31\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e86\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u653f\u7b56\u4ecd\u7136\u88ab&ldquo;\u63a7\u5236\u8303\u5f0f&rdquo;\u6240\u652f\u914d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u773c\u524d\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u7684\u52a8\u8361\u8bf1\u56e0\u4e3b\u8981\u6709\u4e09\u4e2a\uff1a\u4e00\u662f\u7ef4\u6301\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u4e00\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u63a7\u5236\u5185\u90e8\u52a8\u8361\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e8c\u662f\u57df\u5185\u529b\u91cf\u5bf9\u6bd4\u53d8\u5316\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e09\u662f\u73af\u5883\u548c\u4eba\u9053\u4e3b\u4e49\u707e\u96be\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u67d0\u4e9b\u52a8\u8361\u6839\u6e90\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u653e\u5927\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4e00\u76f4\u90fd\u662f\u4e9a\u6d32\u7f13\u89e3\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5728\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u671f\u5185\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u8fd8\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u7ec8\u6781\u4fdd\u969c\uff0c\u4f46\u65e0\u53ef\u5426\u8ba4\uff0c\u5b83\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf\u6b63\u5728\u76f8\u5bf9\u8870\u843d\uff0c\u5728\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u548c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u91cd\u632b\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u5bf9\u4e9a\u6d32\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u786e\u5207\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8fd8\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u4f46\u5927\u56fd\u529b\u91cf\u53d8\u5316\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u548c\u52a8\u8361\u7684\u6e90\u5934\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e9a\u6d32\u9762\u524d\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u6311\u6218\u5305\u62ec\u4f17\u591a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u548c\u4eba\u9053\u4e3b\u4e49\u707e\u96be\u3002\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u5c31\u53d1\u751f\u4e86<span style=\"\">3<\/span>\u8d77\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u73af\u5883\u707e\u96be\uff1a<span style=\"\">2004<\/span>\u5e74<span style=\"\">12<\/span>\u6708\u7684<span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/w\/index.php?title=2004%E5%B9%B4%E5%8D%B0%E5%BA%A6%E6%B4%8B%E5%A4%A7%E5%9C%B0%E9%9C%87&amp;variant=zh-cn\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5370\u5ea6\u6d0b\u5730\u9707<\/a><\/span>\u53ca\u5176\u5f15\u8d77\u7684<span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tsunami2004.net\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6d77\u5578<\/a><\/span>\u8ba9\u5370\u5c3c\u3001\u65af\u91cc\u5170\u5361\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u6cf0\u56fd\u6cbf\u6d77\u5730\u533a\u9762\u76ee\u5168\u975e\uff1b<span style=\"\">2008<\/span>\u5e74<span style=\"\">5<\/span>\u6708\uff0c<span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/w\/index.php?title=%E7%BA%B3%E5%B0%94%E5%90%89%E6%96%AF%E9%A3%93%E9%A3%8E&amp;variant=zh-cn\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7eb3\u5c14\u5409\u65af\u98d3\u98ce<\/a><\/span>\u6a2a\u626b\u7f05\u7538\uff1b\u540c\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd<span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/w\/index.php?title=%E6%B1%B6%E5%B7%9D%E5%9C%B0%E9%9C%87&amp;variant=zh-cn\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u56db\u5ddd<\/a><\/span>\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u516b\u7ea7\u5927\u5730\u9707\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5355\u5355\u8fd9\u4e09\u573a\u707e\u96be\u5c31\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fd1<span style=\"\">50<\/span>\u4e07\u4eba\u4e27\u751f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u9020\u6210\u5de8\u5927\u7834\u574f\u3002\u4f46\u4e9a\u6d32\u6bcf\u5e74\u8fd8\u906d\u5230\u4f17\u591a\u8f83\u5c0f\u707e\u5bb3\u7684\u88ad\u51fb\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u70ed\u5e26\u98ce\u66b4\u3001\u5730\u9707\u3001\u6ed1\u5761\u548c\u6d2a\u6c34\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u90fd\u4f1a\u6709\u6210\u767e\u4e0a\u5343\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u6570\u4ee5\u4e07\u8ba1\u7684\u4eba\u4eec\u5931\u53bb\u5bb6\u56ed\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e9b\u707e\u5bb3\u7ed9\u5404\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e25\u5cfb\u7684\u8003\u9a8c\uff0c\u5a01\u80c1\u7740\u56fd\u5185\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u8ba9\u90bb\u56fd\u7684\u4eba\u6c11\u5931\u53bb\u5bb6\u56ed\uff0c\u7ed9\u90bb\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u9020\u6210\u538b\u529b\u3002\u5982\u679c\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u4e0d\u591f\u6216\u592a\u6162\uff0c\u60c5\u51b5\u4f1a\u6076\u5316\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u707e\u5bb3\u5c31\u4f1a\u53d8\u6210\u4eba\u9053\u4e3b\u4e49\u707e\u96be\u3002\u540c\u6837\u53d1\u751f\u5728<span style=\"\">2008<\/span>\u5e74<span style=\"\">5<\/span>\u6708\u7684\u4e24\u573a\u707e\u5bb3\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u7f05\u7538\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u5e94\u5bf9\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6bd4\u8f83\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u8fc5\u901f\u843d\u5b9e\u6551\u707e\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u6d3e\u51fa<span style=\"\">13<\/span>\u4e07\u4eba\u7684\u519b\u961f\u5c55\u5f00\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6551\u63f4\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u6ca1\u6709\u8fd9\u4e48\u8fc5\u901f\u6709\u6548\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u56db\u5ddd\u5730\u9707\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u8981\u591a\u5f88\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f05\u7538\u519b\u653f\u5e9c\u6ca1\u6709\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u707e\u96be\u7684\u5de8\u5927\uff0c\u6700\u521d\u62d2\u7edd\u63a5\u53d7\u56fd\u5916\u63f4\u52a9\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\u8be5\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5931\u8bef\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u548c\u75db\u82e6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u707e\u5bb3\u8fd8\u5c06\u66f4\u52a0\u9891\u7e41\u3002\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a<span style=\"\">(<\/span><span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IPCC<\/a><\/span><span style=\"\">)<\/span>\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u53d1\u73b0\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6cbf\u6d77\u5730\u533a\u7684\u70ed\u5e26\u98ce\u66b4\u4f1a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u9891\u7e41\uff0c\u6d2a\u6c34\u4e5f\u4f1a\u589e\u591a\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u5357\u4e9a\u3001\u4e1c\u4e9a\u548c\u4e1c\u5357\u4e9a\u4eba\u53e3\u7a20\u5bc6\u7684<span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Mega_delta\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5de8\u578b\u4e09\u89d2\u6d32<\/a><\/span>\u5730\u533a\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fd8\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd8\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u964d\u6c34\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u6de1\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u77ed\u7f3a\uff08\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u90a3\u4e9b\u4f9d\u8d56\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u51b0\u5ddd\u878d\u6c34\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u548c\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u6c34\u5b89\u5168\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c<span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.spiegel.de\/international\/world\/0,1518,505819,00.html\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u56fe\u74e6\u5362<\/a><\/span>\u548c\u5176\u5b83\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5c9b\u56fd\u5f00\u59cb\u88ab\u6df9\u6ca1\uff0c<span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/web.worldbank.org\/WBSITE\/EXTERNAL\/NEWS\/0,,contentMDK:21893554%7EmenuPK:51062077%7EpagePK:34370%7EpiPK:34424%7EtheSitePK:4607,00.html\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u56fd<\/a><\/span>\u4e5f\u5c06\u5931\u53bb\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u571f\u5730\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u5b89\u7f6e\u73af\u5883\u96be\u6c11\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u4e9a\u6d32\u6700\u5927\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u5df2\u7ecf\u540c\u610f\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u56fe\u74e6\u5362\u4e0d\u80fd\u5c45\u4f4f\u5c31\u63a5\u53d7\u5176\u4eba\u6c11\uff0c\u4f46<span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.climatechangecorp.com\/content.asp?ContentID=5871\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5370\u5ea6<\/a><\/span>\u5374\u5728\u5370\u5b5f\u8fb9\u5883\u52a0\u901f\u4fee\u5efa\u4e00\u9053<span style=\"\">2<\/span>\uff0c<span style=\"\">500<\/span>\u82f1\u91cc\uff08<span style=\"\">4<\/span>\uff0c<span style=\"\">000<\/span>\u516c\u91cc\uff09\u957f\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u62a4\u680f\u3002<span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Climate_refugee\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u73af\u5883\u96be\u6c11<\/a><\/span>\u95ee\u9898\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ed9\u4e9a\u6d32\u9020\u6210\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u5236\u8ba2\u5730\u533a\u6027\u7b56\u7565\u6765\u5e94\u5bf9\u67d0\u4e9b\u7a81\u53d1\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u9762\u5217\u51fa\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u52a8\u8361\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u90fd\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bbe\u7acb\u673a\u5236\u6d88\u9664\u5176\u957f\u8fdc\u6839\u6e90\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u89e3\u51b3\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u4e0d\u5c11\u969c\u788d\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\uff1a\u5168\u5730\u533a\u5bf9\u4e3b\u6743\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\uff1b\u5f00\u653e\u6709\u6548\u7684\u5730\u533a\u5b89\u5168\u67b6\u6784\u7684\u7f3a\u4f4d\uff1b\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u529b\u800c\u4e2d\u7acb\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u6765\u53d1\u6325\u9886\u5bfc\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u540e\u6b96\u6c11\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0d\u613f\u610f\u8fdb\u884c\u4efb\u4f55\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u4e3b\u6743\u8ba9\u6e21\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u8fd9\u4f1a\u8ba9\u5b83\u4eec\u5728\u6cdb\u5730\u533a\u6027\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u4e0a\u9047\u5230\u96be\u9898\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u7406\u89e3\u7684\u3002\u5bf9\u5b83\u4eec\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u5e38\u5e38\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5730\u533a\u7a33\u5b9a\u548c\u5168\u7403\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u5c1a\u672a\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u95ee\u9898\u4e5f\u7ed9\u5408\u4f5c\u9020\u6210\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u6beb\u65e0\u52a9\u76ca\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u8bf4\u8f9e\u63d0\u4f9b\u7406\u7531\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f3a\u4e4f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f00\u653e\u6027\u7684\u5730\u533a\u5b89\u5168\u67b6\u6784\u6765\u6709\u529b\u5730\u843d\u5b9e\u65b0\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u65e5\u7a0b\uff0c\u5408\u4f5c\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u56f0\u96be\u3002\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684\u4e00\u4f53\u5316\u548c\u5730\u533a\u5185\u5408\u4f5c\u5fc5\u7136\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u89e3\u51b3\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u957f\u671f\u7684\u975e\u5b89\u5168\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u4e1c\u76df<span style=\"\">(<\/span><span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aseansec.org\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ASEAN<\/a><\/span><span style=\"\">)<\/span>\u7684\u786e\u5927\u5927\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e86\u5730\u533a\u4ea4\u6d41\uff0c\u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u7684\u6784\u6210\u53ef\u80fd\u592a\u5c40\u9650\u4e86\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u4ea7\u751f\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff08\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e5f\u6709\u4e1c\u76df\u5730\u533a\u8bba\u575b\u3001\u4e1c\u76df\u5b89\u5168\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u548c\u4e1c\u76df<span style=\"\">10+3<\/span>\u7b49\u8fdb\u7a0b\uff09\u3002\u7f3a\u4e4f\u6709\u6548\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u67b6\u6784\u5c31\u610f\u5473\u7740\u653f\u7b56\u6027\u5e94\u5bf9\u4ecd\u7136\u8981\u5728\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c42\u9762\u4e0a\u5f62\u6210\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5730\u533a\u5408\u4f5c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u89e3\u51b3\u6765\u8bf4\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u80fd\u6d88\u9664\u53d8\u5316\u4e2d\u7684\u969c\u788d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u80fd\u8bbe\u7acb\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u4ece\u957f\u8fdc\u4e0a\u9632\u6b62\u975e\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u51b2\u7a81\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u5021\u8bae\u5305\u62ec\uff1a<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; * <\/span>\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff1a\u4e9a\u6d32\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u5728\u300a<span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/kyoto_protocol\/items\/2830.php\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4eac\u90fd\u8bae\u5b9a\u4e66<\/a><\/span>\u300b\u4e0a\u7b7e\u5b57\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5fc5\u987b\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u5b83\u4eec\u4e5f\u6709\u8d23\u4efb\u7a33\u5b9a\u5e76\u51cf\u5c11\u672c\u56fd\u7684\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\uff0c\u63a5\u53d7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u901a\u8fc7\u727a\u7272\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u73af\u5883\u7a33\u5b9a\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u5176\u5b83\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u5fc5\u987b\u8c08\u5224\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u516c\u5e73\u7684\u540e\u4eac\u90fd\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u8981\u5305\u62ec\u8fc5\u901f\u51cf\u5c11\u5b83\u4eec\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u6392\u653e\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; * <\/span>\u5730\u533a\u67b6\u6784\uff1a\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u7b49\u56fd\u9645\u7ec4\u7ec7\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\u57df\u5185\u5916\u5176\u5b83\u6709\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u4f53\u5e94\u8be5\u652f\u6301\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f3a\u5927\u3001\u5f00\u653e\u7684\u5730\u533a\u5b89\u5168\u67b6\u6784\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span style=\"\">* <\/span>\u5927\u56fd\u529b\u91cf\u5bf9\u6bd4\u53d8\u5316\uff1a<span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/w\/index.php?title=%E5%A5%A5%E5%B7%B4%E9%A9%AC&amp;variant=zh-cn\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5df4\u62c9\u514b&middot;\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c<\/a><\/span>\u603b\u7edf\u7684\u65b0\u653f\u5e9c\u5e94\u8be5\u63a5\u53d7\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5d1b\u8d77\uff0c\u628a\u653f\u7b56\u4ece\u5747\u52bf\u653f\u6cbb\u8f6c\u5411\u63a5\u89e6\u548c\u4fe1\u4efb\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u3001\u73af\u4fdd\u548c\u5730\u533a\u5b89\u5168\u7b49\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; * <\/span>\u843d\u5b9e\u5021\u8bae\uff1a\u7531\u4e8e\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u529b\u3001\u6709\u5a01\u671b\u800c\u4e14\u4e2d\u7acb\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u516c\u6c11\u793e\u4f1a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5fc5\u987b\u5171\u540c\u8bbe\u7acb\u4e00\u4e2a\u9ad8\u7ea7\u522b\u7684\u72ec\u7acb\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff0c\u6210\u5458\u90fd\u662f\u5fb7\u9ad8\u671b\u91cd\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5b89\u5168\u4e13\u5bb6\u548c\u9000\u4f11\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\uff0c\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u548c\u6fb3\u6d32\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u4e2a\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u5b89\u5168\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u5f3a\u8c03\u9884\u9632\u5916\u4ea4\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u516c\u4f17\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u8fdb\u884c\u5730\u533a\u5a01\u80c1\u4e25\u91cd\u6027\u7684\u6559\u80b2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5230\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u5927\u529b\u628a\u5b89\u5168\u626d\u8f6c\u5230\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u6781\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u80fd\u8f6c\u53d8\u89c2\u5ff5\uff0c\u5b89\u5168\u653f\u7b56\u4ecd\u5c06\u505c\u7559\u5728\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\u4e0a\uff0c\u89c9\u5f97\u73af\u5883\u95ee\u9898\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u6254\u5230\u4e00\u8fb9\u3002\u89c2\u5ff5\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u80fd\u591f\u5f00\u521b\u4e00\u4e2a\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e9a\u6d32\u548c\u6fb3\u6d32\u793e\u4f1a\u516c\u6b63\u3001\u73af\u5883\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u5730\u533a\u79e9\u5e8f\u5f62\u6210\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<em>\u514b\u91cc\u65af&middot;\u827e\u6ce2\u7279\uff0c\u725b\u6d25\u7814\u7a76\u5c0f\u7ec4\u526f\u4e3b\u4efb\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u7d22\u83f2&middot;\u9a6c\u65af\u767b\uff0c\u725b\u6d25\u7814\u7a76\u5c0f\u7ec4\u52a9\u7406\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u6839\u636e<span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordresearchgroup.org.uk\/publications\/briefing_papers\/tigersanddragons.php\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u62a5\u544a<\/a><\/span>\u300a\u864e\u4e0e\u9f99\uff1a\u4e9a\u6d32\u548c\u6fb3\u6d32\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u5b89\u5168\u300b\u4fee\u6539\uff0c\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u6839\u636e\u725b\u6d25\u7814\u7a76\u5c0f\u7ec4<span style=\"\">(<\/span><span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordresearchgroup.org.uk\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ORG<\/a><\/span><span style=\"\">)<\/span>\u548c\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u7814\u7a76\u6240<span style=\"\">(<\/span><span style=\"\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.siiaonline.org\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">SIIA<\/a><\/span><span style=\"\">)2008<\/span>\u5e74<span style=\"\">9<\/span>\u6708\u5728\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u7684\u78cb\u5546\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8c\u8005\u5171\u540c\u51fa\u7248\u3002<\/p>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<p>\u9996\u9875\u56fe\u7247<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/uncultured\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">uncultured<\/a>\u6444<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><strong>\u514b\u91cc\u65af&bull;\u827e\u6ce2\u7279<\/strong>\u548c<strong>\u7d22\u83f2&bull;\u9a6c\u65af\u767b<\/strong>\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e9a\u6d32\u548c\u6fb3\u6d32\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u89c2\u5ff5\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u80fd\u591f\u5f00\u521b\u4e00\u4e2a\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u793e\u4f1a\u516c\u6b63\u3001\u73af\u5883\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u5730\u533a\u79e9\u5e8f\u5f62\u6210\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":429,"featured_media":53664,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[776,772],"tags":[],"hashtags":[],"country":[],"class_list":["post-39232","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-776","category-772"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v26.0) 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