{"id":39625,"date":"2009-06-18T10:32:00","date_gmt":"2009-06-18T10:32:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-06-22T22:52:56","modified_gmt":"2020-06-22T22:52:56","slug":"39625","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/3\/39625\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u56fd\u51cf\u6392\u7684\u4e25\u5cfb\u6311\u6218 (\u4e00)"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u5e2d\u5377\u5168\u7403\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u8282\u80fd\u51cf\u6392\u53d7\u5230\u5de8\u5927\u51b2\u51fb\u3002 <\/p>\n

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\u5de5\u4e1a\u9769\u547d\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fc5\u901f\u817e\u98de\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u6d88\u8017\u5316\u77f3\u80fd\u6e90\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u6392\u653e\u7684\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u5927\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5468\u671f\u4ea7\u751f\u548c\u653e\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5371\u673a\u4f7f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u51fa\u73b0\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u548c\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u6392\u653e\u7684\u5927\u8d77\u5927\u843d\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u56fe\u4e00\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u81ea\u5341\u4e5d\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e2d\u53f6\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u90e8\u5206\u56fd\u5bb6\u4eba\u5747\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u5341\u4e5d\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u6570\u636e\u8d28\u91cf\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e0d\u80fd\u8bf4\u660e\u5386\u53f2\u52a8\u6001\u7684\u7ec6\u8282\u3002\u4f46\u8fdb\u5165\u4e8c\u5341\u4e16\u7eaa\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u8d44\u6599\u65e5 \u6e10\u5b8c\u5584\uff0c\u76f8\u5e94\u6570\u636e\u66f4\u4e3a\u51c6\u786e\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u6240\u5c55\u793a\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u53d8\u5316\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ed9\u6211\u4eec\u8bb8\u591a\u542f\u793a\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5371\u673a\u5bfc\u81f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u5546\u54c1\u80fd\u6e90\u9700\u6c42\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u968f\u4e4b\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2 \u52a8\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6218\u7684\u5fb7\u56fd\u548c\u65e5\u672c\uff0c\u5728\u6218\u8d25\u6295\u964d\u65f6\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u9510\u51cf\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u4e0b\u964d\u51e0\u4e4e\u572880%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u30021990\u5e74\u82cf\u8054\u89e3\u4f53\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fc5\u901f\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39 \u51cf\u5c11\u8fd140%\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u57281950\u5e74\u5927\u8dc3\u8fdb\u5931\u8d25\u540e\u51fa\u73b0\u7684“\u4e09\u5e74\u81ea\u7136\u707e\u5bb3”\uff0c\u5546\u54c1\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u9661\u964d\uff0c\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u4e5f\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u30021973\u5e74\u548c1986\u5e74\u80fd\u6e90\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u4e5f\u5bfc \u81f4\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u80fd\u6e90\u9700\u6c42\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u4e0b\u964d\u30021920\u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5927\u8427\u6761\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f7f\u5f97\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u548c\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u9510\u51cf1\/3\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5168\u7403\u5316\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8d8a \u9ad8\uff0c\u5219\u53d7\u5168\u7403\u6027\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5371\u673a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7531\u4e8e\u53d1\u5c55\u6ede\u540e\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4f4e\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u53d7\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5e76\u4e0d\u5982\u6b27\u7f8e\u7b49\u65e9\u671f\u5de5\u4e1a\u5316\u56fd\u5bb6\u5927\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u4eba\u5747\u6e29\u5ba4 \u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u5c3d\u7ba1\u53d7\u5230\u5404\u79cd\u5371\u673a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u800c\u51fa\u73b0\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46\u603b\u4f53\u8d8b\u52bf\u5448\u4e0a\u5347\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u5371\u673a\u8fc7\u540e\uff0c\u6392\u653e\u8fc5\u901f\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u5e76\u6500\u5411\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002\u7b2c\u56db\uff0c\u4eba\u5747\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u7684\u6392\u653e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e0e\u53d1\u5c55\u6709\u6b63 \u76f8\u5173\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u5373\u53d1\u5c55\u6c34\u5e73\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u5219\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u53d1\u8fbe\u7684\u6b27\u7f8e\u7b49\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5982\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u4eba\u5747\u6392\u653e\u5904\u4e8e\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u7b2c\u4e94\uff0c\u5f53\u53d1\u5c55\u8fbe\u5230\u4e00\u5b9a\u9636 \u6bb5\uff0c\u4eba\u5747\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u589e\u52bf\u8d8b\u7f13\uff0c\u5904\u4e8e\u505c\u6ede\u751a\u81f3\u4e0b\u964d\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u4eba\u5747\u6392\u653e\u8fd1\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u7684\u4eba\u5747\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u8fd1\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u5904\u4e8e\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u56fe1 \u4e16\u754c\u90e8\u5206\u56fd\u5bb6\u4eba\u5747\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u5386\u53f2\u8d8b\u52bf\u6bd4\u8f83\uff081855\uff0d2004\u5e74\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"
\n
\n\u5f15\u81ea\uff1a\u6f58\u5bb6\u534e \u90d1\u8273\uff082009\uff09 <\/em><\/p>\n

\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5371\u673a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u80fd\u81ea\u7136\u5b9e\u73b0\u8282\u80fd\u51cf\u6392\u5462\uff1f\u88681\u8bb0\u5f55\u7684\u662f1997\u5e74\u4e1c\u4e9a\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u671f\u95f4\u4e2d\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u4ece\u56fe1\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u5747\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u5728 1997\u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\u62d0\u70b9\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u76f4\u52302001\u5e74\u8fc5\u901f\u56de\u5347\u3002\u5206\u6790\u8868\u4e00\u4e2d\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u89e3\u91ca\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u5bfc\u81f4\u51cf\u6392\u7684\u5185\u5728\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4f7f\u80fd\u6e90\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u80fd \u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u589e\u957f\u4ece1995\u5e74\u76848.3%\u964d\u52301996\u5e74\u76844.1%\uff0c\u518d\u8dcc\u81f31997\u5e74\u76840.2%\u3002\u5728\u5371\u673a\u8c37\u5e95\u76841999\u5e74\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u603b\u6d88\u8d39\u964d\u5e45\u9ad8\u8fbe9.3%\u3002\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88 \u8d39\u603b\u91cf\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5fc5\u7136\u5bfc\u81f4\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u4ece\u80fd\u6e90\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0a\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u6c61\u67d3\u542b\u91cf\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u53d7\u5371\u673a\u6253\u538b\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u6700\u5927\u3002\u57281997\u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5728\u5371\u673a\u7684\u8c37 \u5e951999\u5e74\uff0c\u964d\u5e45\u8fbe\u523015.7%\u3002\u800c\u8f83\u4e3a\u6e05\u6d01\u3001\u4fbf\u6377\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5f62\u6001\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u77f3\u6cb9\uff0c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u548c\u6c34\u7535\uff0c\u5728\u5371\u673a\u671f\u95f4\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u53d7\u5230\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7164\u70ad\u7b49\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u80fd\u6e90\u53d7\u5230\u7ecf \u6d4e\u5371\u673a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u66f4\u5927\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u51cf\u5c11\u7684\u66f4\u591a\uff0c\u5728\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u66f4\u4e3a\u6e05\u6d01\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u5355\u4f4d\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u6392\u653e\u4e5f\u5c31\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u51fa\u73b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u6761\u4ef6\u6076\u5316\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u91c7\u7528\u843d\u540e \u6280\u672f\uff0c\u89c4\u6a21\u5c0f\uff0c\u80fd\u6548\u4f4e\uff0c\u4e0d\u5177\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u7684\u5c0f\u4f01\u4e1a\u9996\u5148\u5012\u95ed\u3002\u800c\u89c4\u6a21\u5927\uff0c\u6280\u672f\u5148\u8fdb\uff0c\u6548\u7387\u9ad8\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\uff0c\u591a\u5177\u6709\u8f83\u5f3a\u7684\u5e94\u5bf9\u5371\u673a\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u5728\u5b8f\u89c2\u4e0a\u6dd8\u6c70\u4e86\u4f4e\u80fd\u6548\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u7684 \u4f01\u4e1a\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u5168\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u80fd\u6548\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u6c61\u67d3\u6392\u653e\u51cf\u5c11\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u88681 \u4e1c\u4e9a\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u671f\u95f4(1997-2000)\u4e2d\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u589e\u957f\u53d8\u5316
\n<\/strong> <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
 <\/td>\n\u7164\u70ad<\/td>\n\u77f3\u6cb9<\/td>\n\u5929\u7136\u6c14<\/td>\n\u4e00\u6b21\u7535\u529b<\/td>\n\u603b\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1995<\/td>\n8.3%<\/td>\n8.0%<\/td>\n2.2%<\/td>\n9.9%<\/td>\n8.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1996<\/td>\n2.8%<\/td>\n9.9%<\/td>\n12.1%<\/td>\n0.3%<\/td>\n4.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1997<\/td>\n-3.0%<\/td>\n10.3%<\/td>\n12.7%<\/td>\n2.8%<\/td>\n0.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1998<\/td>\n-7.8%<\/td>\n1.1%<\/td>\n2.9%<\/td>\n5.6%<\/td>\n-4.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1999<\/td>\n-15.7%<\/td>\n6.5%<\/td>\n8.0%<\/td>\n-2.7%<\/td>\n-9.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2000<\/td>\n-5.2%<\/td>\n7.9%<\/td>\n7.9%<\/td>\n9.9%<\/td>\n-0.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2001<\/td>\n10.5%<\/td>\n2.5%<\/td>\n11.5%<\/td>\n24.1%<\/td>\n9.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2002<\/td>\n19.5%<\/td>\n7.4%<\/td>\n7.7%<\/td>\n6.8<\/td>\n <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\n\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\uff1aChina Energy Data Report 2004, LBNL, ERI\/NDRC, 2006. <\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5371\u673a \u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u80fd\u6e90\u9700\u6c42\u603b\u91cf\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u6e05\u6d01\u5316\u5462\uff1f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5371\u673a\u4f7f\u5168\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u89c4\u6a21\u840e\u7f29\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u603b\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u603b\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\u662f\u5fc5\u7136\u7684\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5404\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u90e8\u95e8\u5bf9\u80fd \u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u53d8\u5316\u662f\u6709\u5dee\u5f02\u7684\u3002\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f46\u57fa\u672c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u592a\u5927\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u53d7\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e5f\u8f83\u5c11\u3002\u53d7\u5f71\u54cd\u6700\u5927\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u539f\u6750\u6599\u91cd\u5de5\u4e1a\u3002\u800c\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u548c \u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u6d88\u8d39\u5747\u4e3a\u6e05\u6d01\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u3001\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u548c\u7535\u529b\uff0c\u5de5\u4e1a\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u91cd\u5de5\u4e1a\u4e3b\u8981\u4f9d\u8d56\u7684\u662f\u7164\u70ad\u7b49\u8f83\u4e3a\u4f4e\u5ec9\u4f46\u66f4\u4e3a\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u54c1\u79cd\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5728\u5371\u673a\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u603b\u91cf\u4e0b \u964d\u800c\u4e14\u51fa\u73b0\u6e05\u6d01\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/p>\n

\n\u6f58\u5bb6\u534e\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u57ce\u5e02\u53d1\u5c55\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6267\u884c\u4e3b\u4efb<\/p>\n

<\/em>\u9996\u9875\u56fe\u7247\u7531Bert van Dijk<\/a>\u6444<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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