{"id":39823,"date":"2009-10-27T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2009-10-27T06:30:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-06-22T22:54:05","modified_gmt":"2020-06-22T22:54:05","slug":"39823","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/3\/39823\/","title":{"rendered":"\u78b3\u6355\u83b7\u4e0e\u78b3\u50a8\u5b58\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u969c\u788d\u4e0e\u5c55\u671b (\u4e00)"},"content":{"rendered":"

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2008\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e31.79\u4ebf\u5428\u539f\u6cb9\uff0c\u77f3\u6cb9\u5bf9\u5916\u4f9d\u5b58\u5ea6\u8fbe49.8%\uff0c\u8fdb\u53e3\u91d1\u989d\u8fbe190\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u77f3\u6cb9\u7684\u5bf9\u5916\u4f9d\u8d56\u5ea6\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002\u800c\u7164\u5236\u6cb9\uff08CTL\uff09\u6280\u672f\u4e5f\u968f\u77402008\u5e74\u6cb9\u4ef7\u7684\u6500\u5347\u4e5f\u4e00\u5ea6\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u70ed\u6367\u3002\u4e13\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u52302020\u5e74\uff0c\u7164\u5236\u6cb9\u6280\u672f\u9884\u8ba1\u53ef\u751f\u4ea7\u77f3\u6cb93500\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u6bcf\u5e74\u77f3\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u7ea6\u4e3a1\u4ebf\u5428\uff0c2020\u5e74\u77f3\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u5c06\u8fbe\u52301.5\u4ebf\u5428\uff0c\u7164\u5236\u6cb9\u53ef\u66ff\u4ee3\u8fdb\u53e3\u77f3\u6cb9\u768425%\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u867d\u7136\u7164\u5236\u6cb9\u7684\u524d\u666f\u4ecd\u53d7\u5230\u77f3\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u3001\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u3001\u7164\u70ad\u4ef7\u683c\u548c\u6280\u672f\u98ce\u9669\u53ca\u6210\u672c\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5236\u7ea6\uff0c\u4f46\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168\u4ecd\u5177\u6709\u5341\u5206\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6218\u7565\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u4e0e\u4e4b\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7164\u5236\u6cb9\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e5f\u662f\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u76f8\u5bf9\u96c6\u4e2d\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u5728\u7164\u5236\u6cb9\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u51cf\u5c11\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u7684\u6392\u653e\u662f\u5fc5\u7136\u8981\u6c42\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u4e3a\u4e4b\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u76f8\u5bf9\u5e7f\u9614\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002CTL+CCS\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e5f\u6210\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u6280\u672f\u8def\u7ebf\u3002<\/p>\n

2006\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u63d0\u51fa“\u5341\u4e00\u4e94”\u80fd\u6e90\u6548\u7387\u63d0\u9ad820%\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u6392\u653e\u51cf\u5c1110%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5e76\u91c7\u53d6\u5f3a\u529b\u63aa\u65bd\u63a8\u8fdb“\u8282\u80fd\u51cf\u6392”\u6218\u7565\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u5b9e\u73b0\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u4f9d\u8d56\u7535\u529b\u3001\u94a2\u94c1\u3001\u6c34\u6ce5\u7b49\u9ad8\u8017\u80fd\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u8282\u80fd\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u4e4b\u4e00\u5c31\u662f\u53d1\u5c55\u6e05\u6d01\u7164\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u53d1\u7535\u6548\u7387\u5e76\u51cf\u5c11\u6392\u653e\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0cIGCC\u6280\u672f\u7684\u6548\u7387\u53ef\u8fbe\u523040-43%\uff0c\u6700\u9ad8\u6548\u7387\u53ef\u8fbe50%\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u8f83\u8d85\u4e34\u754c\u3001\u8d85\u8d85\u4e34\u754c\u6280\u672f\u6210\u672c\u8981\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u628aCCS\u7684\u6210\u672c\u4e5f\u8003\u8651\u5728\u5185\uff0cIGCC\u5c06\u5177\u6709\u975e\u5e38\u663e\u8457\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u800c\u4e14IGCC\u5728\u51cf\u5c11SOx\u3001NOx\u7b49\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u4e0a\u4e5f\u5177\u6709\u8f83\u597d\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u3002IGCC\u6280\u672f\u8def\u7ebf\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u4ece\u80fd\u6e90\u6218\u7565\u89d2\u5ea6\u8003\u8651\u4ecd\u5360\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u5730\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n

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CCS\u89c4\u6a21\u5316\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u969c\u788d <\/strong><\/p>\n

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CCS \u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5305\u542b\u5728\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6355\u83b7\u3001\u8fd0\u8f93\u548c\u50a8\u5b58\u5404\u4e2a\u73af\u8282\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5982\u8d44\u91d1\u6210\u672c\u3001\u6280\u672f\u98ce\u9669\u3001\u7ba1\u5236\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3001\u78b3\u50a8\u5b58\u7684\u6cc4\u6f0f\u98ce\u9669\u7b49\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5fc5\u987b\u52a0\u5f3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u516c\u4f17\u5bf9CCS\u7684\u63a5\u53d7\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e5f\u76f4\u63a5\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u91c7\u7528CCS\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0e\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5927\u7011\u5e03\u7535\u529b\u516c\u53f8\u66fe\u5728\u5fb7\u56fd\u5317\u90e8\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u78b3\u50a8\u5b58\u7684\u793a\u8303\u9879\u76ee——\u65bd\u74e6\u8328\u78b3\u50a8\u5b58\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u5374\u56e0\u4e3a\u5730\u65b9\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u5f3a\u70c8\u53cd\u5bf9\uff0c\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u53d6\u6d88\u800c\u76f4\u63a5\u5c06\u5df2\u7ecf\u6355\u83b7\u7684CO2\u91cd\u65b0\u6392\u653e\u5230\u5927\u6c14\u4e2d\u53bb\u3002<\/p>\n

IPCC\u5173\u4e8eCCS\u7684\u7279\u522b\u62a5\u544a\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u589e\u52a0CCS\u5c06\u4f7f\u71c3\u7164\u53d1\u7535\u6548\u7387\u635f\u593120-30%\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e00\u4e2a\u6548\u7387\u4e3a40%\u7684\u7535\u5382\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u589e\u52a0CCS\u5c06\u4f7f\u5176\u6548\u7387\u635f\u5931\u8fbe10-15\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff08\u5373\u589e\u52a0CCS \u540e\u7684\u540c\u7b49\u7535\u5382\u6548\u7387\u4ec5\u4e3a25-30%\uff09\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u53d1\u7535\u5382\u8fd0\u884c\u71c3\u70e7\u540e\u6355\u83b7\uff0c\u78b3\u6355\u83b7\u7684\u6210\u672c\u7ea6\u4e3a130\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u53d1\u7535\u6210\u672c\u5c06\u63d0\u9ad820-30%\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5176\u6548\u7387\u5c06\u635f\u5931\u7ea6\u4e3a8-10\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8981\u751f\u4ea7\u540c\u6837\u591a\u7684\u7535\u529b\uff0cCCS\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u65e0CCS\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u8981\u591a\u6d88\u8017\u7ea625%\u7684\u7164\u70ad\uff08\u53d620-30%\u7684\u5747\u503c\uff09\u3002\u4f9d\u6b64\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c2008\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u7528\u91cf\u4e3a27.2\u4ebf\u5428\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7528\u4e8e\u53d1\u7535\u7ea6\u4e3a11.8\u4ebf\u5428\uff0c\u5047\u5982\u6240\u6709\u7535\u5382\u5168\u90e8\u5b89\u88c5CCS\uff0c\u8981\u751f\u4ea7\u540c\u7b49\u7684\u7535\u529b\uff0c\u7ea6\u9700\u8981\u5728\u6b64\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u589e\u52a0\u7164\u70ad\u8fbe2.9\u4ebf\u5428\u3002\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u6d88\u8017\u7684\u6210\u672c\u8fd8\u5c06\u901a\u8fc7\u7164\u70ad\u7684\u4ea7\u4e1a\u94fe\u6761\u6269\u6563\u5230\u6574\u4e2a\u80fd\u6e90\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u7164\u70ad\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u3001\u8fd0\u8f93\u3001\u50a8\u5b58\u3001\u8f6c\u8fd0\u6240\u9700\u7684\u4eba\u529b\u3001\u8d44\u672c\u3001\u94c1\u8def\u3001\u6e2f\u53e3\u3001\u8239\u8236\u7b49\u3002\u628a\u589e\u52a0\u7164\u70ad\u6d88\u8017\u8ba1\u5165\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u5c06\u7ed9\u672c\u5df2\u8d85\u5e38\u89c4\u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u8d85\u5bb9\u91cf\u8fd0\u8f7d\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u7cfb\u7edf\u589e\u52a0\u989d\u5916\u7684\u8d1f\u62c5\u548c\u6210\u672c\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8003\u8651\u7164\u70ad\u751f\u4ea7\u3001\u8fd0\u8f93\u73af\u8282\u7684\u5916\u90e8\u6210\u672c\uff08\u5982\u73af\u5883\u3001\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u751f\u6001\u5f71\u54cd\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u5b57\u5c06\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u8003\u8651\u53d1\u5c55CCS\u7684\u6210\u672c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u53ea\u8003\u8651CCS\u6280\u672f\u5efa\u8bbe\u548c\u5b89\u5168\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728CCS\u5b9e\u9645\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u8fd8\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf\u8003\u8651\u80fd\u6e90\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e3a\u6b64\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u5f53\u524d\u662f\u8282\u80fd\u51cf\u6392\u7684\u5173\u952e\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u6c34\u7535\u3001\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u3001\u6838\u7535\u7b49\u65b0\u80fd\u6e90\u53d1\u5c55\u6700\u4e3a\u5feb\u901f\u7684\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c2008\u5e74\uff0c\u98ce\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u5bb9\u91cf\u4ece2004\u5e74\u76840.76GW\u589e\u957f\u523013.24GW\uff0c\u8981\u5b9e\u73b0\u89c4\u5212\u768430GW\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u6295\u8d441\u4e07\u4ebf\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u53d1\u7535\u89c4\u5212\u8981\u5230\u8fbe10GW\uff0c\u7ea6\u9700\u8981\u6295\u8d443000\u4ebf\u5143\u3002\u6838\u7535\u8981\u8fbe\u52302020\u5e745%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u7ea6\u9700\u8981\u6295\u8d447500\u4ebf\u5143\u3002\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u6e90\u5c40\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u8981\u5b9e\u73b0\u56fd\u5bb6\u5173\u4e8e2020\u5e74\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u8fbe\u523016%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u591a\u8fbe2.5\u4e07\u4ebf\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u89c4\u6a21\u3002\u800c\u89c4\u6a21\u5316CCS\u52bf\u5fc5\u548c\u65b0\u80fd\u6e90\u4e89\u593a\u6295\u8d44\u8d44\u6e90\u3002\u65b0\u80fd\u6e90\u7b26\u5408\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u80fd\u6e90\u6218\u7565\uff0c\u4e14\u5177\u6709\u589e\u52a0\u5c31\u4e1a\u3001\u63d0\u5347\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7b49\u6ea2\u51fa\u6548\u5e94\uff0c\u5e94\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u89c4\u6a21\u5316\u53d1\u5c55CCS \u9690\u542b\u4e86\u6602\u8d35\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ece\u4e0a\u8ff0\u5206\u6790\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\uff0cCCS\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u8981\u89c4\u6a21\u5316\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u9762\u4e34CCS\u5728\u5168\u7403\u666e\u904d\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6210\u672c\u3001\u50a8\u5b58\u3001\u98ce\u9669\u548c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u969c\u788d\u5916\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\u5ffd\u89c6\u4e2d\u56fd\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u7ed3\u6784\u548c\u7164\u7535\u77db\u76fe\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u9020\u6210\u7684\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u5916\u90e8\u8d44\u91d1\u6765\u6e90\u652f\u6301\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0cCCS\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u96be\u4ee5\u6210\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4f18\u5148\u53d1\u5c55\u9886\u57df\u3002\u56fd\u9645\u6c14\u5019\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8bbe\u8ba1\u8d8a\u7b26\u5408\u4e2d\u56fd\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u5e76\u8003\u8651\u4e2d\u56fd\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u653f\u7ecf\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u5171\u540c\u53d1\u5c55CCS\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5c31\u8d8a\u6709\u6548\u3002<\/p>\n

\n\u4e0b\u4e00\u7bc7<\/a>: \u901a\u5411CCS\u4e4b\u8def<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b32\u83b7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8be6\u60c5\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u4e0b\u8f7dRichard Morse, Varun Rai\u53caGang <\/em>He\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\u5168\u6587\uff1a\u300a<\/em>Real<\/em><\/a> Drivers of CCS in China and Implications to Climate Change <\/em><\/a>Policy<\/em><\/a>\u300b<\/em><\/p>\n

\u4f55\u94a2\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u65af\u5766\u798f\u5927\u5b66\u80fd\u6e90\u4e0e\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u52a9\u7406\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u3002\u8054\u7cfb\u65b9\u5f0f\uff1a<\/em>ghe@stanford.edu <\/em><\/p>\n

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