{"id":39850,"date":"2009-11-13T11:13:00","date_gmt":"2009-11-13T11:13:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-06-22T22:54:14","modified_gmt":"2020-06-22T22:54:14","slug":"39850","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/3\/39850\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6c14\u5019\u9886\u57df\u7684\u5173\u952e\u5408\u4f5c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u8fd8\u6709\u4e0d\u523035\u5929\uff0c\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5cf0\u4f1a\u5c31\u8981\u5728\u54e5\u672c\u54c8\u6839\u53ec\u5f00\u4e86\u3002\u4e0e\u4f1a\u5404\u56fd\u5c06\u5171\u540c\u5236\u5b9a\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u6846\u67b6\u534f\u8bae\u53d6\u4ee3\u5373\u5c06\u4e8e2012\u5e74\u5230\u671f\u7684\u300a\u4eac\u90fd\u8bae\u5b9a\u4e66\u300b\u3002\u8981\u60f3\u5728\u54e5\u672c\u54c8\u6839 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noreferrer\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u5728\u5b9e\u65bd\u7740<\/a>\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanprogress.org\/issues\/2009\/08\/peaking_duck.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6700\u5c16\u7aef<\/a>\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u6548\u7387\u9879\u76ee\u3001\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u9879\u76ee\u4ee5\u53ca\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u68ee\u6797\u8d44\u6e90\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u65b0\u4e00\u5c4a\u767d\u5bab\u653f\u5e9c\u4e5f\u9884\u793a\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u5bf9\u5176\u6c14\u5019\u653f\u7b56\u505a\u51fa\u6839\u672c\u6027\u7684\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u603b\u7edf\u5728\u5176\u9996\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u4e2d\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e3a\u5176\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5411\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u6253\u4e0b\u4e86\u826f\u597d\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u7d27\u63a5\u7740\uff0c\u4f17\u8bae\u9662\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u4f1a\u7684\u4e0b\u8bae\u9662\uff09\u5c31\u901a\u8fc7\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e00\u90e8\u7efc\u5408\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u4e0e\u80fd\u6e90\u7acb\u6cd5\u3002\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u79ef\u6781\u5e76\u5353\u6709\u6210\u6548\u5730\u53c2\u4e0e\u5230\u300a\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6846\u67b6\u516c\u7ea6\u300b\uff08UNFCCC\uff09\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u8c08\u5224 \u4e2d\uff0c\u5e76\u5728<a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanprogress.org\/issues\/2009\/07\/g8_oped.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u516b\u56fd\u96c6\u56e2<\/a>\u3001<a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanprogress.org\/issues\/2009\/09\/clean_skies.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4e8c\u5341\u56fd\u96c6\u56e2<\/a>\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u8bba\u575b\u7684\u5c0f\u89c4\u6a21\u8c08\u5224\u4e2d\u8d77\u5230\u4e86\u4e3b\u5bfc\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd1\u671f\u53d6\u5f97\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u8fdb\u5c55\u8ba9\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u8054\u624b\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u95ee\u9898\u5145\u6ee1\u4e86\u671f\u5f85\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u8fdb\u5c55\u5305\u62ec\u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u90e8\u957f\u6731\u68e3\u6587\u8bbf\u534e\u5e76\u5ba3\u5e03<a href=\"https:\/\/www.energy.gov\/news2009\/7640.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e24\u56fd\u5171\u540c\u5efa\u7acb\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3<\/a>\uff0c\u5728\u4e03\u6708\u610f\u5927\u5229\u516b\u56fd\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u80fd\u6e90\u4e0e\u6c14\u5019\u8bba\u575b\u4e0a\u7684\u5ba3\u8a00\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6708\u5e95\u5728\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7279\u533a\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u6218\u7565\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5bf9\u8bdd\u4e0a\u7b7e\u7f72\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u4e0e\u6c14\u5019<a href=\"https:\/\/www.chinadialogue.net\/article\/show\/single\/ch\/3231-Do-we-know-change-when-we-see-it-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u8c05\u89e3\u5907\u5fd8\u5f55<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u603b\u7edf\u51c6\u5907\u524d\u5f80\u5317\u4eac\u53c2\u52a0\u5728\u90a3\u91cc\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u5728\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u9886\u57df\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u4e5f\u8fce\u6765\u4e86\u6700\u4f73\u65f6\u673a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u5c06\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4f7f\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u53d7\u76ca\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u54e5\u672c\u54c8\u6839\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u53d6\u5f97\u6210\u529f\u8d77\u5230\u63a8\u6ce2\u52a9\u6f9c\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e03\u6708\u5728\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u80fd\u6e90\u4e0e\u6c14\u5019\u8bba\u575b\u4e0a\u7b7e\u7f72\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/www.chinadialogue.net\/article\/show\/single\/ch\/3231-Do-we-know-change-when-we-see-it-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u8c05\u89e3\u5907\u5fd8\u5f55<\/a>\u63d0 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\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4f9b\u5927\u5bb6\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e03\u6708\u7b7e\u7f72\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8c05\u89e3\u5907\u5fd8\u5f55\u4e2d\u6240\u5217\u51fa\u7684\u4e24\u56fd\u5e94\u5728\u4f4e\u78b3\u548c\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u9886\u57df\u8fdb\u884c\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u5404\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\u90fd\u5e94\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e0b\u53bb\u3002\u6211\u4eec \u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u9610\u8ff0\u90fd\u4e0d\u5e94\u88ab\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u67d0\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u6bd4\u5176\u5b83\u65b9\u9762\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u8bf4\u670d\u529b\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u89e3\u51b3\u8fc7\u5206\u4f9d\u8d56\u7164\u70ad\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24 \u56fd\u90fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b9e\u73b0\u5176\u5fc5\u987b\u8fbe\u5230\u7684\u51cf\u6392\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u6b63\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u6731\u68e3\u6587\u90e8\u957f\u572810\u670812\u65e5\u4e0b\u8fbe\u4e86\u78b3\u6355\u83b7\u4e0e\u5c01\u5b58&ldquo;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.netl.doe.gov\/publications\/press\/2009\/ccs_letter_s1.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u884c\u52a8\u4ee4<\/a>&rdquo;\uff0c\u5728\u5927\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u4ee5\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u79ef\u6781\u63a8\u5e7f\u8fd9\u4e00\u6280\u672f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u78b3\u6355\u83b7\u4e0e\u5c01\u5b58\u662f\u6307\u5c06\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u4ece\u706b\u7535\u5382\u7b49\u5927\u7684\u6c61\u67d3\u70b9\u6e90\u4e2d\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u79bb\u548c\u6355\u83b7\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u901a\u8fc7\u82e5\u5e72\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u5c06\u5176\u50a8\u5b58\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5728\u5730\u8d28\u7ed3\u6784\u4e2d\u8fdb\u884c\u5730\u4e0b\u5c01\u5b58\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e3a\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5728\u78b3\u6355\u83b7\u4e0e\u5c01\u5b58\u65b9\u9762\u8fdb\u884c\u5408\u4f5c\u6240\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u63d0\u6848\u6b63\u662f\u54cd\u5e94\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u5e2e\u52a9\u8bc1\u660e\u6b64\u6280\u672f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u5426\u53ef\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u8fdb\u884c\u77ed\u671f\u3001\u4e2d\u671f\u548c\u957f\u671f\u5f00\u53d1\u78b3\u6355\u83b7\u4e0e\u5c01\u5b58\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e09\u4e2a\u5408\u4f5c\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u79d1\u6280\u3001\u8d22\u653f\u4ee5\u53ca\u89c4\u7ae0\u5236\u5ea6\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u74f6\u9888\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>1. \u5408\u4f5c\u5bf9\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u5de5\u4e1a\u4f01\u4e1a\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u7eaf\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3(CO2)\u6c14\u6d41\u8fdb\u884c\u5c01\u5b58\u3002<\/strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u6709\u5927\u7ea6100\u4e2a\u8bbe\u5907\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u5404\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5de5\u4e1a\u76ee\u7684\u800c\u4ea7\u751f\u51fa\u9ad8\u7eaf\u5ea6\u7684\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6c14\u6d41\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6c14\u5019\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u672a\u7ecf\u4efb\u4f55\u7a00\u91ca\u76f4\u63a5\u6392\u5165\u5927\u6c14\u5c42\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u52a0\u91cd\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u6696\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2<a href=\"https:\/\/energyenvironment.pnl.gov\/news\/pdf\/us_china_pnnl_flier.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u88ab\u8bc1\u660e\u62e5\u6709\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u5730\u8d28\u5b58\u50a8\u7a7a\u95f4<\/a>\uff0c\u7edd\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u6df1\u5c42\u542b\u76d0\u5c42\u3002\u964d\u4f4e\u8fd9\u79cd\u6392\u653e\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b65\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u5408\u4f5c\u6295\u8d44\u4e8e\u4e94\u4e2a\u5730\u8d28\u5c01\u5b58\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f88\u8f7b\u6613\u5730\u6355\u83b7\u7531\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8bbe\u5907\u6240\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u78b3\u6392\u653e\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6bcf\u5e74\u5c01\u5b58200\u4e07\u5428\u81f3300\u4e07\u5428\u7684\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u3002\u6bcf\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u5927\u7ea6\u9700\u8981\u6295\u8d445000\u4e07\u5230\u4e00\u4ebf\u7f8e\u91d1\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7f8e\u65b9\u6295\u8d442000\u4e07\u52304000\u4e07\u7f8e\u91d1\u3002\u4e94\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u6bcf\u5e74\u4e00\u5171\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c01\u5b581000\u4e07\u52301500\u4e07\u5428\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u505c\u9a76170\u4e07\u5230250\u4e07\u8f86\u6c7d\u8f66\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>2. 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\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5c31\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u95ee\u9898\u5efa\u7acb\u8d77\u66f4\u52a0\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9605\u8bfb\u5b8c\u6574\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanprogress.org\/issues\/2009\/11\/pdf\/china_ccs.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u300a\u78b3\u6355\u83b7\u4e0e\u5c01\u5b58\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5408\u4f5c\u8def\u7ebf\u56fe\u300b<\/a>[pdf] \uff08<a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanprogress.org\/issues\/2009\/11\/pdf\/china_ccs_chinese.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u70b9\u6b64\u9605\u8bfb\u4e2d\u6587\u7248<\/a>\uff09<\/p>\n<p>\n<em>\u7ea6\u7ff0&bull;\u6ce2\u5fb7\u65af\u5854\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fdb\u6b65\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u4e3b\u5e2d\u517c\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98\uff0c\u5b89\u5fb7\u9c81&bull;\u83b1\u7279\u662f\u8be5\u673a\u6784\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u804c\u5458\uff0c\u9ec4\u7acb\u5b89\u4efb\u72ec\u7acb\u80fd\u6e90\u5206\u6790\u5e08<em>\u3002 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