{"id":40005,"date":"2010-02-09T15:18:00","date_gmt":"2010-02-09T15:18:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-06-22T22:55:11","modified_gmt":"2020-06-22T22:55:11","slug":"40005","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/3\/40005\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5e72\u65f1\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u95ee\u9898\uff081\uff09"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5916\u90e8\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u57fa\u672c\u5229\u76ca\u6b63\u53d7\u5230\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u800c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e5f\u5df2\u7ecf\u91c7\u4fe1\u4e86\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u7406\u5ff5\uff0c\u4e0d\u65ad\u91c7\u53d6\u5f3a\u529b\u63aa\u65bd\u9650\u5236\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u7684\u6392\u653e\u3002 <\/p>\n<p>2009\u5e748\u6708\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5185\u9601&mdash;&mdash;\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u5e38\u52a1\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/copenhagen.globeinternational.org\/includes\/documents\/cm_docs\/2009\/r\/1_resolution_of_the_standing_committee_of_the_npc_on_response_to_climate_change.pdf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5ba3\u5e03<\/a>\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u529b\u4e89\u5728\u4fdd\u6301\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u63a7\u5236\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u7684\u6392\u653e\u3002\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6240\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u6c14\u5019\u73b0\u8c61\u9891\u53d1\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u65e5\u76ca\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u532e\u4e4f\u90fd\u4e25\u91cd\u5a01\u80c1\u7740\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u575a\u5b9a\u4e0d\u79fb\u5730\u8d70\u4f4e\u78b3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u9053\u8def\uff0c\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u91cc\u4fdd\u6301\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002 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noreferrer\">\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u538b\u529b<\/a>\u7b49\u8bf8\u591a\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u5317\u4eac\u65b9\u9762\u6700\u9ad8\u6743\u529b\u5c42\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6218\u7565\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u91cd\u89c6\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4e86\u89e3\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7a76\u7adf\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u4e00\u56fd\u7684\u6839\u672c\u5229\u76ca\u5c31\u663e\u5f97\u5c24\u4e3a\u5173\u952e\u3002 <\/p>\n<p>\u672a\u6765\u4e2d\u56fd\u6240\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6311\u6218\u4e2d\uff0c\u6700\u4e3a\u6838\u5fc3\u7684\u4fbf\u662f\u5176\u5883\u5185\u53ca\u5176\u90bb\u56fd\u5883\u5185\u7684\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u6570\u91cf\u548c\u5206\u5e03\u95ee\u9898\u3002<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/world\/2009\/jun\/30\/china-climate-change-warning\" rel=\"noopener 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href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science?_ob=ArticleURL&amp;_udi=B6VCG-4MJBTWG-1&amp;_user=10&amp;_rdoc=1&amp;_fmt=&amp;_orig=search&amp;_sort=d&amp;_docanchor=&amp;view=c&amp;_searchStrId=1171999126&amp;_rerunOrigin=google&amp;_acct=C000050221&amp;_version=1&amp;_urlVersion=0&amp;_userid=10&amp;md5=b1a409571d1596539a\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6c99\u6f20\u5316<\/a>\u4ee5\u53ca\u6cbf\u6d77\u4f4e\u6d3c\u5730\u533a\u7684<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.springerlink.com\/content\/7087w783451823v8\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6d77\u6c34\u5165\u4fb5<\/a>\u7b49\u9519\u7efc\u590d\u6742\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\u66f4\u4f7f\u5f97\u7cae\u98df\u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u9762\u4e34\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002 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noreferrer\">\u5173\u7cfb\u8d8b\u4e8e\u7d27\u5f20<\/a>\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5927\u591a\u6570\u60c5\u51b5\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u9010\u6e10\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u9010\u6e10\u4e60\u60ef\u4e8e\u5904\u7406\u8de8\u754c\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u4e89\u7aef\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u51b0\u5ddd\u7684\u878d\u5316\u4ee5\u53ca\u79ef\u96ea\u7684\u51cf\u5c11\u66f4\u9884\u793a\u7740\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u5317\u90e8\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8584\u5f31\u8fb9\u5883\u5730\u533a\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u7740<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dawn.com\/wps\/wcm\/connect\/dawn-content-library\/dawn\/news\/sci-tech\/09-water-shortage-greatest-threat-to-pakistan-book--szh-06\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4e25\u5cfb\u7684\u6c34\u6e90\u77ed\u7f3a\u95ee\u9898<\/a>\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u5176\u6240\u5021\u5bfc\u7684&ldquo;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/zh-cn\/%25E5%2592%258C%25E5%25B9%25B3%25E5%25B4%259B%25E8%25B5%25B7\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u548c\u5e73\u5d1b\u8d77<\/a>&rdquo;\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u65b9\u9762\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u5341\u5206\u91cd\u89c6\u3002 <\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u7a33\u5b9a\u6709\u5e8f\u5730\u53d1\u5c55\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/news.xinhuanet.com\/english\/2009-07\/05\/content_11658178.htm\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u613f\u666f<\/a>\u540c\u6837\u53d7\u5230\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u53d8\u5316\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u800c\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u51cf\u5c11\u7684\u95ee\u9898<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.chinadialogue.net\/article\/show\/single\/ch\/1820-Xinjiang-s-melting-glaciers\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5c06<\/a>\u66f4\u591a\u5730\u56f0\u6270\u7740\u65b0\u7586\u548c\u897f\u85cf\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8f83\u4e3a\u52a8\u8361\u7684\u897f\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5730\u533a\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8d2b\u7a77\u843d\u540e\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u5206\u914d\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5730\u533a\u6240\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u79cd\u65cf\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u4e5f\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u5347\u7ea7\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\uff0c\u5f53\u5730\u5c45\u6c11\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u79fb\u5c45\u4ed6\u4e61\u4ee5\u5bfb\u6c42\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5730\u533a\u5c06\u65e5\u76ca\u6210\u4e3a<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reliefweb.int\/rw\/lib.nsf\/db900SID\/ASAZ-7SVCRB?OpenDocument\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u73af\u5883\u79fb\u6c11\u8fc1\u51fa\u533a<\/a>\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u897f\u90e8\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u5730\u533a\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u51fa\u73b0\u5173\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u79fb\u6c11\u7684<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/projects.osu.eu\/igeography\/docs\/Stojanov_Novosak_Envi_Migration-China.pdf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u62a5\u9053<\/a>\u3002\u800c\u5728\u73af\u5883\u5b89\u5168\u4eba\u58eb\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u79fb\u6c11\u5c06\u662f\u5bfc\u81f4\u73af\u5883\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5371\u9669\u56e0\u7d20\u3002 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noreferrer\">\u673a\u4f1a\u6210\u672c<\/a>\u4e5f\u4f1a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002\u800c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u673a\u4f1a\u6210\u672c\u4e0d\u5bb9\u5c0f\u7aa5\u3002 <\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5927\u9646\u4e1c\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u7684\u4f9b\u6c34\u91cf\u548c\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u5206\u5e03\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u5c24\u4e3a\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u4e9a\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u5df2\u7ecf\u9762\u4e34\u7740<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.chinadialogue.net\/article\/show\/single\/ch\/3199-Facing-Asia-s-water-woes\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u77ed\u7f3a\u7684\u538b\u529b<\/a>\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u5357\u6781\u6d32\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u662f\u5404\u5927\u6d32\u4e2d\u4eba\u5747<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.asiasociety.org\/files\/pdf\/WaterSecurityReport.pdf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u914d\u7f6e\u91cf<\/a>\u6700\u4f4e\u7684\u6d32\u3002 <\/p>\n<p>\u4ece2000\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u534e\u5317\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7528\u6c34\u91cf\u548c\u4f9b\u6c34\u91cf\u4e4b<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www-wds.worldbank.org\/external\/default\/WDSContentServer\/IW3P\/IB\/2006\/04\/18\/000016406_20060418155242\/Rendered\/PDF\/wps3895.pdf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6bd4<\/a>\u662f\u534e\u5357\u5730\u533a\u76843\u52304\u500d\u3002\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u66f4\u4ee5\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ca\u5176\u90bb\u56fd\u6240\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u7528\u6c34\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u3002 <\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/d.wanfangdata.com.cn\/Periodical_zhonggsl200802021.aspx\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u56fd\u5bb6\u65b9\u6848<\/a>\u300b<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ccchina.gov.cn\/WebSite\/CCChina\/UpFile\/File189.pdf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5f3a\u8c03<\/a>\uff0c&ldquo;\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f15\u8d77\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u53d8\u5316&rdquo;\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u4f53\u73b0\u4e3a\u5317\u65b9\u5e72\u65f1\uff0c\u5357\u65b9\u6d2a\u6d9d\u7b49&ldquo;\u6781\u7aef\u6c34\u6587\u4e8b\u4ef6\u9891\u7e41\u53d1\u751f&rdquo;\u3002\u8fd9\u4efd\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u4f9d\u636e\u662f\u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08IPCC\uff09\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002\u8be5<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/pdf\/technical-papers\/ccw\/ccw%20zn\/front_matter_zn.pdf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6570\u636e<\/a>\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u534e\u5317\u5730\u533a\u53ca\u4e1c\u5317\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u6709\u6240\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u800c\u957f\u6c5f\u4e09\u89d2\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e1c\u5357\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u589e\u957f\u5219\u66f4\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\u3002 <\/p>\n<p>\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ingentaconnect.com\/content\/klu\/clim\/2005\/00000072\/F0020001\/00006858\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5f3a\u8c03<\/a>\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u534e\u4e1c\u519c\u4e1a\u4ea7\u533a\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u6b63\u5728\u9010\u6e10\u51cf\u5c11\u3002\u81ea20\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e2d\u671f\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u5e72\u65f1\u6240\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u51cf\u4ea7\u5448\u7a33\u5b9a\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u800c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6240\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u571f\u58e4\u9000\u5316\u73b0\u8c61<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.springerlink.com\/content\/q1wg4j22n4t95267\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u9884\u8ba1<\/a>\u5c06\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e2d\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u3001\u897f\u5357\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e1c\u5317\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u53d1\u751f&ldquo;\u707e\u96be\u6027\u5e72\u65f1\u548c\u6d2a\u6d9d\u707e\u5bb3&rdquo;\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u589e\u5927\u3002 <\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u5468\u8fb9\u7684\u5176\u5b83\u5730\u533a\u540c\u6837\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u6781\u7aef\u6c14\u5019\u4e8b\u4ef6\u589e\u591a\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u4e00\u9879\u5173\u4e8e\u5370\u5ea6\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u5730\u533a\u7684<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www3.interscience.wiley.com\/journal\/112221826\/abstract?CRETRY=1&amp;SRETRY=0\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u91cd\u8981\u7814\u7a76<\/a>\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5c06\u660e\u663e\u589e\u5927\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6d41\u91cf\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u5e45\u5ea6\u3002\u636e\u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/pdf\/technical-papers\/ccw\/ccw%20zn\/front_matter_zn.pdf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u9884\u6d4b<\/a>\uff0c \u5230\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e2d\u665a\u671f\uff0c\u4e1c\u5357\u4e9a\u5730\u533a\u6700\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6c34\u7cfb&mdash;&mdash;\u6e44\u516c\u6cb3\u6d41\u57df\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6708\u6d41\u91cf\u5c06\u6bd420\u4e16\u7eaa\u589e\u52a035%~41%\uff0c\u800c\u6700\u4f4e\u6708\u6d41\u91cf\u5c06\u964d\u4f4e17%~24%\u3002\u6d41\u91cf\u53d8\u52a8\u5e45\u5ea6 \u7684\u589e\u5927\u4f7f\u5f97\u6fd2\u5371\u5730\u533a\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u548c\u519c\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8 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href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/pdf\/special-reports\/spm\/region-en.pdf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4f30\u8ba1<\/a>\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u6e29\u7684\u5347\u9ad8\uff0c\u52302050\u5e74\uff0c\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u51b0\u5ddd\u7fa4\u5c06\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u51cf\u5c1125%\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u51b0\u5ddd\u878d\u6c34<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v438\/n7066\/abs\/nature04141.html\">\u5360<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/zh-cn\/%25E6%2581%2592%25E6%25B2%25B3\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6052\u6cb3<\/a>\u590f\u5b63\u6c34\u91cf\u768470%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u8fd8\u5360\u5230\u5176\u5b83\u4e9a\u6d32\u4e3b\u8981\u6c34\u7cfb\u6c34\u91cf\u768450%~60%\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u51b0\u5ddd\u7684\u51cf\u5c11\u5c06\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6d41\u57df\u4ea7\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u4e00\u9879\u91cd\u8981\u7684<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www3.interscience.wiley.com\/journal\/112650895\/abstract\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7814\u7a76<\/a>\u9884 \u6d4b\uff0c\u53d7\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u878d\u6c34\u8865\u7ed9\u7684\u6c34\u7cfb\u6c34\u91cf\u5c06\u57282050\u5e74\u52302070\u5e74\u95f4\u8fbe\u5230\u5cf0\u503c\u3002\u6b64\u540e\uff0c\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u91cf\u5c06\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u4e94\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u5230\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u4f17\u591a\u6a21\u62df\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u4e00\u81f4\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u53d7\u7a81 \u5982\u5176\u6765\u7684\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6c34\u6e90\u77ed\u7f3a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5230\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u672b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u897f\u5317\u90e8\u4ee5\u53ca\u5370\u5ea6\u5317\u90e8\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5730\u533a\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u4f9b\u6c34\u91cf\u51cf\u5c11\u7684\u56f0\u5883\uff0c&ldquo;\u4ece\u6c34\u91cf\u5145\u6c9b\u5230\u6c34\u6e90\u532e\u4e4f\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u4e0d\u8fc7\u662f\u77ed\u77ed\u7684\u51e0 \u5341\u5e74\u800c\u5df2&rdquo;\u3002 <\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5f71\u54cd\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5b58\u5728\u663e\u8457\u7684\u533a\u57df\u6027\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u6d41\u57df\u6240\u53d7\u5f71\u54cd\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5c24\u5176\u4e25\u91cd\u3002\u4ee5\u65b0\u7586\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6c34\u7cfb<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/zh-cn\/%25E5%25A1%2594%25E9%2587%258C%25E6%259C%25A8%25E6%25B2%25B3\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5854\u91cc\u6728\u6cb3<\/a>\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u51b0\u5ddd\u878d\u6c34<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/smpp\/content%7Edb=all%7Econtent=a911655501\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5360<\/a>\u8be5\u6d41\u57df\u5e74\u5747\u6c34\u91cf\u768440%\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u897f\u5317\u90e8\u5176\u5b83\u5730\u533a\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5230\u4f9b\u6c34\u91cf\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u6b63\u5982\u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/pdf\/technical-papers\/ccw\/ccw%20zn\/front_matter_zn.pdf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u516c\u5e03<\/a>\u7684\u90a3\u6837\uff0c&ldquo;\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c[\u4e2d\u56fd]\u9ad8\u539f\u5730\u533a&mdash;\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u9752\u85cf\u9ad8\u539f\u3001\u65b0\u7586\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u5185\u8499\u53e4\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u79ef\u96ea\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u5c06\u5927\u5927\u7f29\u77ed\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u6c34\u91cf\u7684\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u5f15\u53d1\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u6625\u65f1\u3002 &rdquo;\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ca\u4e9a\u6d32\u5176\u5b83\u5730\u533a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6c34\u7cfb\u4e5f\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u76f8\u4f3c\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002 <\/p>\n<p>\u6c34\u6e90\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u6a21\u5f0f\u5c06\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u96be\u4ee5\u6349\u6478\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u8bb8\u591a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u4f9b\u6c34\u91cf\u5728\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u6e90\u6e90\u4e0d\u65ad\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u5728\u96e8\u5b63\u65f6\u53d1\u751f\u6d2a\u6c34\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u5e72\u65f1\u7684\u590f\u5b63\u9700\u8981\u7528\u6c34\u65f6\u5374\u8fdc\u8fdc\u4e0d\u8db3\u3002\u8fd8\u6709 \u4e00\u4e9b\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u5982\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u534e\u5317\u548c\u897f\u5317\u90e8\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6e44\u516c\u6cb3\u6d41\u57df\u7b49\uff0c\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u66f4\u52a0\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u9020\u6210\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u4e5f\u6bd4\u5176\u5b83\u5730\u533a\u66f4\u4e3a\u590d\u6742\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ed3\u8bba\u5c06\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u5730\u533a\u5b89\u5168\u4ea7\u751f\u6df1\u8fdc\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002 <\/p>\n<p><em><br \/>\n\u65af\u79d1\u7279\u30fb\u6469\u5c14\uff1a\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u73af\u5883\u53d8\u5316\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u3002\u4e4b\u524d\u66fe\u662f\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u73af\u5883\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0e\u5de5\u7a0b\u5b66\u9662\u5bcc\u5e03\u83b1\u7279\u5956\u5b66\u91d1\u5b66\u8005\u3002 <\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u6587<\/em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.chinasecurity.us\/pdfs\/ScottMoore.pdf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><em>\u4e4b\u524d<\/em><\/a><em>\u4ee5\u300a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3001\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u300b\u4e3a\u9898\u53d1\u8868\u4e8e2009\u5e74\u7684\u300a<\/em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.chinasecurity.us\/pdfs\/ScottMoore.pdf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><em>\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b89\u5168<\/em><\/a><em>\u300b\uff08Vol.5, No.3\uff09\u3002\u672c\u7ad9\u7ecf\u4f5c\u8005\u6388\u6743\u540e\u4e88\u4ee5\u53d1\u8868\u3002 <\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.chinadialogue.net\/article\/show\/single\/ch\/3489-Security-in-a-drier-age-2-\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4e0b\u4e00\u7bc7<\/a>\uff1a\u8bc9\u8bf8\u5916\u4ea4\u6e20\u9053 <\/strong><br \/>\n&nbsp;<br \/>\n\u9996\u9875\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u81ea<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/\" rel=\"noopener 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