{"id":40077306,"date":"2014-11-03T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2014-11-02T18:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/china-dialogue-ocean-staging.darkbluehq.com\/3446-us-coastal-cities-face-up-to-new-era-of-flooding-and-climate-change\/"},"modified":"2022-02-10T23:12:50","modified_gmt":"2022-02-10T17:42:50","slug":"77306","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/3\/77306\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u56fd\u6cbf\u6d77\u57ce\u5e02\u9762\u4e34\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u6d2a\u707e\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u98ce\u9669"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e1c\u90e8\u6cbf\u6d77\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5f88\u591a\u57ce\u5e02\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u7ecf\u5e38\u6027\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u5185\u6d9d\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u53ef\u6015\u7684\u672a\u6765\u5e7b\u60f3\u3002\u5728\u5f17\u5409\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u7684\u8bfa\u798f\u514b\uff0c\u5b83\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u4e3a\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002\u5c45\u4f4f\u5728\u62c9\u6cd5\u53f6\u6cb3U\u5f62\u6cb3\u6e7e\u9ed8\u7279\u5c14\u516c\u56ed\u9644\u8fd1\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7ecf\u5e38\u770b\u89c1\u9c7c\u5728\u8def\u8fb9\u7684\u6c34\u5858\u91cc\u6e38\u6765\u6e38\u53bb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5fe7\u601d\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u8054\u76df\u201d\uff08 the Union of Concerned Scientists\uff09<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ucsusa.org\/global_warming\/impacts\/effects-of-tidal-flooding-and-sea-level-rise-east-coast-gulf-of-mexico#.VEaMWEtN3wI\">\u8fd1\u65e5\u53d1\u5e03\u62a5\u544a<\/a>\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u6cbf\u5cb8\u4ee5\u53ca\u6d77\u6e7e\u5730\u533a\u7684\u4e94\u5341\u4e8c\u4e2a\u57ce\u5e02\u9884\u8ba1\u672a\u6765\u5c06\u906d\u53d7\u66f4\u591a\u6d77\u6f6e\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u6d2a\u6d9d\u707e\u5bb3\u7684\u4fb5\u88ad\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ed3\u8bba\uff0c\u8bfa\u798f\u514b\u672c\u5730\u5c45\u6c11\u3001\u975e\u8425\u5229\u7ec4\u7ec7\u201c\u6e7f\u5730\u89c2\u5bdf\u201d\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u65af\u5409\u666e\u00b7\u65af\u6cf0\u5c14\u65af\u5e76\u4e0d\u611f\u5230\u610f\u5916\u3002\u201c\u4ec5\u4eca\u5e74\u590f\u5929\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8fd9\u5ea7\u57ce\u5e02\u5c31\u906d\u53d7\u4e86\u56db\u6b21\u6d2a\u6c34\u4fb5\u88ad\u3002\u6574\u4e2a\u57ce\u5e02\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u505c\u6b62\u4e00\u5207\u65e5\u5e38\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u5730\u8868\u7684\u6d2a\u6c34\u5b8c\u5168\u6392\u5e72\u4e3a\u6b62\u3002\u5c0f\u5b69\u5b50\u4e0d\u80fd\u4e0a\u5b66\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4ece\u57ce\u5e02\u4e00\u7aef\u5230\u53e6\u4e00\u7aef\u90fd\u76f8\u5f53\u56f0\u96be\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u7ecf\u5386\u8ba9\u6cbf\u6d77\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u500d\u611f\u7126\u6025\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8feb\u5207\u5e0c\u671b\u80fd\u591f\u5c3d\u5feb\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u672a\u6765\u9762\u5bf9\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u540e\u679c\u3002\u8bfa\u798f\u514b\u5e38\u4f4f\u4eba\u53e325\u4e07\uff0c\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8230\u961f\u57fa\u5730\u6240\u5728\u5730\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6d77\u519b\u57fa\u5730\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u8fd9\u5ea7\u57ce\u5e02\u6b63\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u901a\u8fc7\u63d0\u5347\u9053\u8def\u6d77\u62d4\u9ad8\u5ea6\u3001\u4fee\u5efa\u9632\u98ce\u66b4\u6f6e\u95f8\u95e8\u7b49\u65b9\u5f0f\u5c06\u6d2a\u6c34\u62d2\u4e4b\u95e8\u5916\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u5f53\u5730\u5c45\u6c11\u53d1\u73b0\u8d2d\u4e70\u4f4f\u5b85\u6d2a\u707e\u9669\u7684\u96be\u5ea6\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u65af\u6cf0\u5c14\u65af\u4e0e\u653f\u5e9c\u6709\u5173\u90e8\u95e8\u79ef\u6781\u914d\u5408\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u65b0\u7684\u623f\u4ea7\u5f00\u53d1\u9879\u76ee\u8fdc\u79bb\u6613\u53d7\u6d2a\u6c34\u4fb5\u88ad\u7684\u533a\u57df\uff0c\u5e76\u4fdd\u8bc1\u5efa\u7b51\u65b9\u6848\u4e2d\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u5927\u7684\u7a7a\u5730\u548c\u7eff\u5316\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8bfa\u798f\u514b\u4ee5\u5357\u7684\u6cbf\u6d77\u57ce\u5e02\u8fc8\u963f\u5bc6\u662f\u4f5b\u7f57\u91cc\u8fbe\u5dde\u7684\u5ea6\u5047\u80dc\u5730\uff0c\u4e5f\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u771f\u5b9e\u6548\u679c\u7684\u663e\u73b0\u4e4b\u5730\u3002\u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.eurotrib.com\/site-files\/nclimate1979_aop.pdf\">\u81ea\u7136\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316<\/a>\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec72013\u5e74\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5217\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4efd\u5728\u6d2a\u6d9d\u707e\u5bb3\u4e2d\u906d\u53d7\u635f\u5931\u98ce\u9669\u6700\u5927\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u540d\u5355\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u8fc8\u963f\u5bc6\u6392\u540d\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u4ec5\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e7f\u5dde\u4e4b\u540e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fc8\u963f\u5bc6\u7684\u59d0\u59b9\u57ce\u5e02\u8fc8\u963f\u5bc6\u6d77\u6ee9\uff08Miami Beach\uff09\u5730\u4e0b\u904d\u5e03\u591a\u5b54\u7684\u77f3\u7070\u5ca9\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u6d77\u6c34\u5f97\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u5730\u4e0b\u6e17\u51fa\u5730\u8868\u3002\u8be5\u57ce\u5e02\u8fd1\u671f\u5b89\u88c5\u4e86\u6570\u53f0\u66b4\u96e8\u6392\u6c34\u6cf5\uff0c\u6392\u6c34\u80fd\u529b\u53ef\u8fbe\u5230\u6bcf\u5206\u949f5\u4e07\u52a0\u4ed1\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b0\u8bbe\u5907\u5728\u5341\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u5de8\u6f6e\u4e2d\u6210\u529f\u7ecf\u53d7\u4f4f\u4e86\u8003\u9a8c\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u8def\u6bb5\u77ed\u6682\u79ef\u6c34\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0b\u6c34\u9053\u9644\u8fd1\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u6c34\u6d3c\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5357\u6ee9\uff08South Beach\uff09\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u8def\u9762\u6ca1\u6709\u53d7\u5230\u6d2a\u6d9d\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5e74\uff0c\u8fc8\u963f\u5bc6\u6d77\u6ee9\u5c06\u81f3\u5c11\u65a5\u8d443\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2d\u4e70\u5927\u7ea660\u53f0\u66b4\u96e8\u6392\u6c34\u6cf5\uff0c\u4ee5\u5f3a\u5316\u4e94\u5341\u591a\u5e74\u524d\u4fee\u5efa\u7684\u6392\u6c34\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\u590f\u5929\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u540d\u4e3a\u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.miamidade.gov\/planning\/library\/reports\/sea-level-rise-final-report.pdf\">\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u5347\u9ad8\u5de5\u4f5c\u7ec4<\/a>\u201d\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6566\u4fc3\u8fc8\u963f\u5bc6\u6234\u5fb7\u53bf\u653f\u5e9c\u52a0\u5927\u5bf9\u9632\u6d2a\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u529b\u5ea6\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6709\u9884\u6d4b\u6307\u51fa\u62e5\u6709570\u4e07\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u4e1c\u5357\u4f5b\u7f57\u91cc\u8fbe\u5730\u533a\u52302030\u5e74\u56e0\u6d2a\u6c34\u4fdd\u9669\u9020\u6210\u7684\u635f\u5931\u5c06\u9ad8\u8fbe330\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5360\u5230\u5f53\u5730\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u768410%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u5347\u9ad8\u5de5\u4f5c\u7ec4\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u4e0d\u60f3\u62ff\u81ea\u8eab\u201c\u672a\u6765\u7684\u83b7\u4fdd\u80fd\u529b\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d22\u653f\u652f\u6301\u201d\u5192\u9669\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u201c\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0a\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u201d\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u5957\u5e94\u5bf9\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u7ecf\u91c7\u53d6\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u8fdb\u5c55\u826f\u597d\uff1a\u591a\u4e2a\u53bf\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0e\u975e\u76c8\u5229\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u8d44\u6e90\u5171\u4eab\u548c\u7ecf\u9a8c\u4ea4\u6d41\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u5e76\u5171\u540c\u5236\u5b9a\u4e86\u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.broward.org\/NaturalResources\/ClimateChange\/Documents\/CompactFinal.pdf\">\u4e1c\u5357\u4f5b\u7f57\u91cc\u8fbe\u5730\u533a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u534f\u5b9a<\/a>\u201d\u3002\u8be5\u534f\u5b9a\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u5728\u5730\u533a\u5c42\u9762\u534f\u8c03\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5e94\u5bf9\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5efa\u7acb\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u673a\u5236\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u83b7\u5f97\u8054\u90a6\u548c\u5dde\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u201d<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.org\/ourinitiatives\/regions\/northamerica\/unitedstates\/florida\/\">\u5927\u81ea\u7136\u4fdd\u62a4\u534f\u4f1a\uff08The Nature Conservancy\uff09\u4f5b\u7f57\u91cc\u8fbe\u5206\u4f1a<\/a>\u7684\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u00b7\u4f2f\u683c\u8bf4\u3002\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u81ea2010\u5e74\u6210\u7acb\u8d77\u5c31\u662f\u4e1c\u5357\u4f5b\u7f57\u91cc\u8fbe\u5730\u533a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u534f\u5b9a\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u65b9\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u201c\u800c\u4e14\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5e74\u5ea6\u5cf0\u4f1a\u80fd\u591f\u5e2e\u52a9\u4fdd\u6301\u5f53\u5730\u76f8\u5173\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u548c\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u8fc8\u963f\u5bc6\u9644\u8fd1\u5730\u533a\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u906d\u53d7\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0d\u65ad\u5347\u9ad8\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6709\u7740\u5e94\u5bf9\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u5347\u9ad8\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u624b\u7ecf\u9a8c\u3002\u53e6\u5916\u4e00\u4e9b\u5730\u533a\u5219\u662f\u521a\u521a\u53c2\u4e0e\u5230\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e2d\u6765\u3002\u5fe7\u601d\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u8054\u76df\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u52302045\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u90fd\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7279\u533a\u9884\u8ba1\u6bcf\u5e74\u5c06\u53d1\u751f\u5927\u7ea6400\u8d77\u6d2a\u6d9d\u707e\u5bb3\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7279\u533a\u4e00\u8dc3\u6210\u4e3a\u6d77\u6f6e\u5f15\u53d1\u6d2a\u6d9d\u707e\u5bb3\u589e\u957f\u5e45\u5ea6\u6700\u5927\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u636e\u4e0e\u4eca\u5e74\u4e5d\u6708\u201c\u6c14\u5019\u4e2d\u5fc3\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5728<a 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href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/business\/economy\/flooding-from-storm-surge-would-threaten-dc-infrastructure-report-says\/2014\/09\/15\/43b2c7fe-3cfd-11e4-9587-5dafd96295f0_story.html\">\u8bc4\u4f30<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\u8bb8\u591a\u57ce\u5e02\u90fd\u5728\u8bc4\u4f30\u76f8\u5173\u9632\u8303\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u9700\u6c42\u30022013\u5e74\u590f\u5929\uff0c\u65f6\u4efb\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5e02\u957f\u7684\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u00b7\u5e03\u9686\u4f2f\u683c\u5728\u5176\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u5e94\u5bf9\u65b9\u6848\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u60ca\u4eba\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u3002\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5e02\u5e0c\u671b\u6295\u8d44195\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u4fee\u5efa\u7528\u4e8e<a 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