{"id":40090532,"date":"2021-08-18T11:52:55","date_gmt":"2021-08-18T06:22:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/china-dialogue-ocean-staging.darkbluehq.com\/18217\/"},"modified":"2022-02-10T23:16:26","modified_gmt":"2022-02-10T17:46:26","slug":"90532","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/9\/90532\/","title":{"rendered":"IPCC\u6700\u65b0\u62a5\u544a\uff1a\u5730\u7403\u7684\u6d77\u6d0b\u548c\u51b0\u5c42\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u6df1\u523b\u53d8\u5316"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08IPCC\uff09\u5728\u65b0\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-i\/\">\u6beb\u65e0\u7591\u95ee\u6b63\u5728\u8ba9\u5730\u7403\u53d8\u6696<\/a>\uff0c\u8fd9\u5728\u5927\u6c14\u3001\u6d77\u6d0b\u548c\u6781\u5730\u5730\u533a\u5f15\u53d1\u5feb\u901f\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u5e76\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>8\u67089\u65e5\uff0cIPCC \u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u5907\u53d7\u671f\u5f85\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/assessment-report\/ar6\/\">\u300a\u7b2c\u516d\u6b21\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\u300b<\/a>\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u6765\u81ea\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u7684234\u4f4d\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5728\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5f52\u7eb3\u6c47\u603b\u4e86\u6c14\u5019\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u4ee5\u663e\u793a\u5730\u7403\u56e0\u5347\u6e29\u800c\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d8\u5316\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300a\u5bf9\u8bdd\u300b\uff08The Conversation\uff09\u91c7\u8bbf\u4e86\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u6d77\u6d0b\u3001\u51b0\u5c42\u4e0e\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u7ae0\u8282\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u4f5c\u8005\u4e4b\u4e00\u3001<a href=\"https:\/\/scholar.google.com\/citations?user=ceifbhUAAAAJ&amp;hl=en\">\u6c14\u5019\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u79d1\u666e<\/a>\uff0c\u610f\u5728\u4e86\u89e3\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/assessment-report\/ar6\/\">\u6df1\u523b\u53d8\u5316<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u5bf9\u8bdd\uff1a\u5728\u60a8\u770b\u6765\uff0cIPCC\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4f20\u9012\u51fa\u7684\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/h3>\n<p><strong>\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279<\/strong><strong>\u00b7<\/strong><strong>\u79d1\u666e<\/strong><strong>\uff08\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7b80\u79f0\u201c\u79d1\u201d\uff09<\/strong><strong>\uff1a<\/strong>\u5728\u6700\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u5c42\u9762\u4e0a\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u4e8b\u5b9e\u5df2\u7ecf\u660e\u786e\u4e86\u76f8\u5f53\u957f\u7684\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u4e86\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u8bc1\u636e\u4e5f\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u7d2f\u79ef\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.c2es.org\/content\/international-emissions\/\">\u4eba\u7c7b\u6d3b\u52a8<\/a>\u5bfc\u81f4\u5730\u7403\u6b63\u5728\u4ee5\u81f3\u5c11\u662f\u6570\u5343\u5e74\u6765\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d8\u5316\u6b63\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u5730\u7403\u7684\u6bcf\u4e2a\u533a\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18278\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18278\" style=\"width: 2000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-18278 size-full\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/CH_Humans-causing-climate-changeArtboard-1.svg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1300\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18278\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u4eba\u7c7b\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\uff0c\u5176\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u6e90\u6709\u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\u71c3\u70e7\u3001\u519c\u4e1a\u3001\u68ee\u6797\u780d\u4f10\u548c\u5e9f\u5f03\u7269\u5206\u89e3\u3002 \u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-i\/\">IPCC\u300a\u7b2c\u516d\u6b21\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\u300b<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u867d\u7136\u6709\u4e9b\u53d8\u5316\u5728\u6570\u5343\u5e74\u5185\u90fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u9006\u8f6c\uff0c\u4f46\u901a\u8fc7\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u3001\u5feb\u901f\u548c\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u51cf\u6392\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u4e00\u4e9b\u53d8\u5316\u5f97\u5230\u51cf\u7f13\u3001\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u9006\u8f6c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2015\u5e74<a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/process-and-meetings\/the-paris-agreement\/the-paris-agreement\">\u300a\u5df4\u9ece\u534f\u5b9a\u300b<\/a>\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u5c06\u5168\u7403\u6e29\u5347\u76f8\u6bd4\u5de5\u4e1a\u5316\u524d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u63a7\u5236\u5728\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e2\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u4ee5\u5185\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8981\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e2a\u96c4\u5fc3\u52c3\u52c3\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u5df2\u7ecf\u65f6\u95f4\u4e0d\u591a\u4e86\u3002\u8fd9\u9700\u8981\u5168\u7403\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5e76\u57282050\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u6216\u4e4b\u524d\u8fbe\u5230\u51c0\u96f6\u6392\u653e\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u5bf9\u8bdd\uff1a\u5173\u4e8e\u6d77\u6d0b\u548c\u6781\u5730\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u73b0\u5728\u6700\u5173\u5fc3\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/h3>\n<p><strong>\u79d1<\/strong><strong>\uff1a<\/strong>1970\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e00\u76f4\u52a0\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u5e45\u5ea6\u662f\u81f3\u5c113000\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u5927\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2013\u5e74IPCC<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar5\/wg1\/\">\u53d1\u5e03\u300a\u7b2c\u4e94\u6b21\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\u300b<\/a>\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca2019\u5e74\u53d1\u5e03<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/srocc\/\">\u300a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e2d\u7684\u6d77\u6d0b\u4e0e\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u7279\u522b\u62a5\u544a\u300b<\/a>\uff08Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate\u00a0\uff09\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5173\u4e8e\u51b0\u76d6\u52a0\u901f\u6d88\u5931\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u6108\u53d1\u6e05\u6670\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4ee5\u6bcf\u5e74\u5e73\u57474\u6beb\u7c73\u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5176\u539f\u56e0\u4e3b\u8981\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\uff1a\u9ad8\u5c71\u51b0\u5ddd\u548c\u4e24\u6781\u51b0\u5c42\u878d\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6d77\u6c34\u53d7\u70ed\u81a8\u80c0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u51b0\u76d6\u878d\u5316\u662f\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa90\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u52a0\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u6709\u660e\u786e\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u660e\u51b0\u5ddd\u548c\u683c\u9675\u5170\u51b0\u76d6\u878d\u5316\u4ee5\u53ca\u6d77\u6d0b\u53d8\u6696\u4e0e\u4eba\u7c7b\u5f71\u54cd\u6709\u5173\u3002\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u6b63\u5bf9\u6cbf\u6d77\u793e\u533a\u9020\u6210\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa60\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5f88\u591a\u5730\u533a\u6cbf\u6d77\u6d2a\u707e\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u9891\u7387\u51e0\u4e4e\u7ffb\u4e86\u4e00\u756a\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-18282\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/CH_Temperatures-are-risingArtboard-1.svg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u4e4b\u524d\u7684IPCC\u62a5\u544a\u53d1\u5e03\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5728\u6a21\u62df\u7814\u7a76\u51b0\u76d6\u884c\u4e3a\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u91cd\u5927\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u51b0\u76d6\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u4e5f\u6709\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u8ba4\u8bc6\u51b0\u76d6\u53d8\u5f97\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u867d\u7136\u8fd8\u4e0d\u592a\u4e86\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u7ee7\u7eed\u65e0\u8282\u5236\u5730\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u51b0\u76d6\u6d88\u5931\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u4f1a\u66f4\u5feb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7814\u7a76\u8fdb\u5c55\u8bc1\u5b9e\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u6570\u767e\u5e74<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-i\/\">\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u5347<\/a>\uff0c\u5bf9\u6cbf\u6d77\u793e\u533a\u6784\u6210\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u4e5f\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u5347\u7ea7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u76f4\u52302050\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u57fa\u672c\u5df2\u6210\u5b9a\u5c40\uff1a\u65e0\u8bba\u5404\u56fd\u4ee5\u591a\u5feb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u51cf\u6392\uff0c\u5230\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e2d\u53f6\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u90fd\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5e73\u5747\u4e0a\u534715\u81f330\u5398\u7c73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\u5168\u7403\u7684\u6392\u653e\u9009\u62e9\u5bf92050\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4f1a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5404\u56fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6392\u653e\u8def\u5f84\uff0c\u52302100\u5e74\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8ba9\u6c14\u6e29\u5347\u9ad83\u52304\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u5c06\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0a\u5347\u7ea60.7\u7c73\u3002\u5982\u679c\u80fd\u591f\u4f9d\u7167\u300a\u5df4\u9ece\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\u5c06\u6e29\u5347\u63a7\u5236\u57282\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u4ee5\u5185\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u5c31\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5347\u90a3\u4e48\u9ad8\uff0c\u52302100\u5e74\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5347\u9ad8\u534a\u7c73\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18280\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18280\" style=\"width: 2000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-18280 size-full\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/CH_Sea-level-changeArtboard-1.svg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1300\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18280\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u9ad8\u5f71\u54cd\u8def\u5f84\u4e0b\uff0cIPCC\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u5e73\u5747\u4e0a\u5347\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff08\u5355\u4f4d\uff1a\u7c73\uff09\u53ca\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-i\/\">IPCC\u300a\u7b2c\u516d\u6b21\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a<\/a>\u300b<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u51cf\u6392\u5e45\u5ea6\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u6781\u5730\u51b0\u76d6\u53d8\u5f97\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5c31\u8d8a\u4f4e\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u5f88\u96be\u7528\u6a21\u578b\u52a0\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u8003\u8651\u7684\u6700\u6781\u7aef\u7684\u6392\u653e\u60c5\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u6392\u9664\u51b0\u76d6\u8fc5\u901f\u878d\u5316\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u672b\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u8fd12\u7c73\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e78\u8fd0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u88ab\u63a7\u5236\u57282\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u4ee5\u5185\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u8d85\u8fc72\u7c73\u5c31\u9700\u8981\u51e0\u767e\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u2014\u2014\u5982\u6b64\u60c5\u51b5\u5c31\u53ef\u63a7\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u5bf9\u8bdd\uff1a\u6d77\u6d0b\u6216\u51b0\u5c42\u662f\u5426\u6b63\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1\u6c14\u5019\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\uff08tipping points\uff09\uff1f<\/h3>\n<p><strong>\u79d1<\/strong><strong>\uff1a<\/strong>\u201c\u6c14\u5019\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u201d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u7cca\u7684\u672f\u8bed\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4eba\u7528\u6cd5\u90fd\u4e0d\u4e00\u6837\u3002IPCC\u5c06\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e3a\u201c\u4e34\u754c\u9608\u503c\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9608\u503c\u88ab\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c06\u4ee5\u6781\u5feb\u6216\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u91cd\u65b0\u8fdb\u884c\u8c03\u6574\u201d\u2014\u2014\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u5347\u6e29\u8d85\u8fc7\u67d0\u4e2a\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u52a8\u6001\u53d8\u5316\u5c31\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u51b0\u76d6\u5927\u91cf\u4e27\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u8be5\u672f\u8bed\u975e\u5e38\u6a21\u7cca\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5IPCC \u901a\u5e38\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u7279\u5f81\u2014\u2014\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u662f\u5426\u662f\u7a81\u7136\u7684\u6216\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u7684\u2014\u2014\u800c\u975e\u662f\u5426\u7b26\u5408\u201c\u6c14\u5019\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u201d\u7684\u4e25\u683c\u5b9a\u4e49\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7cfb\u7edf\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7a81\u7136\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u662f\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/guest-post-could-the-atlantic-overturning-circulation-shut-down\">\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7ecf\u5411\u7ffb\u8f6c\u73af\u6d41<\/a>\uff08the\u00a0Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation\uff0cAMOC\uff09\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6d77\u6d0b\u73af\u6d41\uff0c\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u6e7e\u6d41\u5c31\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u5730\u8d28\u6c14\u5019\u8bc1\u636e\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7ecf\u5411\u7ffb\u8f6c\u73af\u6d41\u8fc7\u53bb\u53d8\u5316\u5f88\u5feb\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u53d8\u5316\u901f\u5ea6\u4f1a\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5b83\u5f7b\u5e95\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7684\u53d8\u6696\u5c31\u4f1a\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u6cbf\u5cb8\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u5c31\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u98ce\u66b4\u8def\u5f84\u548c\u5b63\u98ce\u5468\u671f\u4e5f\u90fd\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u4f46\u5927\u591a\u6570\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u660e\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5d29\u6e83\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u5185\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5173\u4e8e\u6781\u5730\u51b0\u76d6\u7a81\u7136\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u6bd4\u8f83\u6df7\u6742\uff0c\u4f46\u6709\u660e\u786e\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u660e\u51b0\u76d6\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u5728\u6570\u767e\u5e74\u5230\u6570\u5343\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u628a\u6c14\u6e29\u4e0a\u5347\u5e45\u5ea6\u63a7\u5236\u57281.5\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u4ee5\u5185\uff0c\u90a3\u672a\u6765\u4e24\u5343\u5e74\u95f4\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4e0a\u53472\u52303\u7c73\uff1b\u5982\u679c\u5730\u7403\u6301\u7eed\u53d8\u6696\u4e14\u5347\u6e29\u5e45\u5ea6\u8fbe\u52305\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e24\u5343\u5e74\u95f4\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u5c06\u4e0a\u534720\u7c73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5317\u6781\u590f\u5b63\u6d77\u51b0\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb40\u5e74\u95f4<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=XZHmS1EPfXY\">\u5927\u5e45\u51cf\u5c11<\/a>\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f\u4e00\u5343\u5e74\u6765\u89c4\u6a21\u6700\u5c0f\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u3002\u6709\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5177\u6709\u201c\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u201d\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u4e34\u754c\u9608\u503c\uff0c\u8fd9\u5728\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0a\u662f\u5f88\u6e05\u695a\u7684\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5317\u6781\u590f\u5b63\u6d77\u51b0\u9762\u79ef\u51cf\u5c11\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u6e29\u5ea6\u5347\u9ad8\u5927\u81f4\u6210\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6e29\u5ea6\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u6d77\u51b0\u4e5f\u4f1a\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e0b\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u5bf9\u8bdd\uff1a\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e0a\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u73b0\u5728\u5bf9\u98d3\u98ce\u6709\u6ca1\u6709\u65b0\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\uff1f<\/h3>\n<p><strong>\u79d1<\/strong><strong>\uff1a<\/strong>\u81ea\u4ece2013\u5e74IPCC\u53d1\u5e03\u4e0a\u4e00\u4efd\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u660e\u76f8\u6bd440\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u98d3\u98ce\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6\u66f4\u5927\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u589e\u5f3a\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u4e5f\u66f4\u5feb\u3002\u8fd8\u6709\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u98d3\u98ce\u79fb\u52a8\u901f\u5ea6\u53d8\u6162\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u73b0\u5728\u8fd8\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u8fd9\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u53d7\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u2014\u2014\u9897\u7c92\u7269\u6c61\u67d3\u51cf\u5c11\u4e5f\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u6700\u660e\u663e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u662f\u5927\u6c14\u53d8\u6696\u540e\u5bb9\u6c34\u91cf\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/the-water-cycle-is-intensifying-as-the-climate-warms-ipcc-report-warns-that-means-more-intense-storms-and-flooding-165590\">\u9020\u6210\u66f4\u591a\u6781\u7aef\u964d\u96e8<\/a>\uff0c2017\u5e74<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/data\/tcr\/AL092017_Harvey.pdf\">\u54c8\u7ef4\u98d3\u98ce<\/a>\u5c31\u662f\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u98d3\u98ce\u548c\u98d3\u98ce\u964d\u96e8\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u8fd8\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u98d3\u98ce\u603b\u91cf\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u5bf9\u8bdd\uff1a234\u4f4d\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u53c2\u4e0e\u64b0\u5199\u4e86\u6b64\u6b21\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u9700\u8981195\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u5c31\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u6458\u8981\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u89c2\u70b9\u5982\u6b64\u4e4b\u591a\uff0c\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u7ed3\u679c\u5417\uff1f<\/h3>\n<p><strong>\u79d1<\/strong><strong>\uff1a<\/strong>\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u64b0\u5199<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-i\/\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u62a5\u544a<\/a>\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u76ee\u6807\u5c31\u662f\u51c6\u786e\u6355\u6349\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u4e00\u81f4\u548c\u5206\u6b67\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982\u5c31\u51b0\u76d6\u53d8\u5316\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u9488\u5bf9\u6709\u4e9b[\u51b0\u76d6\u53d8\u5316]\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fbe\u6210\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5171\u8bc6\uff0c\u6709\u4e9b\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u8fd8\u521a\u521a\u8d77\u6b65\uff0c\u5b58\u5728\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u4f46\u4e86\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8bd5\u56fe\u7ba1\u7406\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u800c\u8a00\u53ef\u80fd\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8bf4\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8981\u8ba8\u8bba\u6700\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4e5f\u8981\u5173\u6ce8\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5f88\u4f4e\u6216\u8005\u672a\u77e5\u4f46\u6f5c\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>IPCC\u7f16\u5199\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u6d41\u7a0b\u5b8c\u5168\u900f\u660e\u2014\u2014\u6211\u4eec\u82b1\u4e86\u4e09\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\u6765\u5199\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u671f\u95f4\u4f5c\u8005\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u56de\u5e94\u8d85\u8fc75\u4e07\u6761\u8bc4\u5ba1\u610f\u89c1\u3002\u5404\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e5f\u6709\u53c2\u4e0e\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u5bf9\u51c6\u786e\u53cd\u6620\u57fa\u672c\u8bc4\u4f30\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u6458\u8981\u9010\u884c\u8fdb\u884c\u6838\u51c6\u2014\u2014\u901a\u5e38\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u80fd\u591f\u8ba9\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u6458\u8981\u66f4\u52a0\u6e05\u6670\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u5f88\u9ad8\u5174\u8fd9\u6b21\u548c\u4ee5\u5f80\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u4e0e\u4f1a\u5404\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u90fd\u7b7e\u7f72\u901a\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e00\u4efd\u51c6\u786e\u62a5\u544a\u6c14\u5019\u79d1\u5b66\u73b0\u72b6\u7684\u6458\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u8f6c\u8f7d\u81ea<a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/ipcc-climate-report-profound-changes-are-underway-in-earths-oceans-and-ice-a-lead-author-explains-what-the-warnings-mean-165588\">\u300a\u5bf9\u8bdd\u300b<\/a>\uff08The Conversation\uff09<\/p>\n<p>\u7ffb\u8bd1\uff1aYAN<\/p>\n<p><!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. 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