{"id":42795,"date":"2015-07-14T16:39:00","date_gmt":"2015-07-14T16:39:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-06-22T23:11:30","modified_gmt":"2020-06-22T23:11:30","slug":"42795","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/3\/42795\/","title":{"rendered":"\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u75be\u547c\u52a0\u5927\u51cf\u6392\u529b\u5ea6"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u867d\u7136\u5c06\u5168\u7403\u5e73\u5747\u6e29\u5347\u63a7\u5236\u57282\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u4ee5\u5185\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u907f\u514d\u6c14\u5019\u53d1\u751f\u707e\u96be\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5b9e\u73b0\uff0c\u4f46<a 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href=\"https:\/\/poolo.kermeet.com\/Data\/kmewexV7\/block\/F_bedaa0dbe3d01a517f0fa7eb11d4b1a4559fae1ae868b.pdf\">\u96f6\u6392\u653e\u751a\u81f3<\/a><span>\u8d1f\u6392\u653e<\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6cd5\u56fd\u76ae\u57c3\u5c14-\u897f\u8499-\u62c9\u666e\u62c9\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08Institute Pierre-Simon Laplace\uff09\u4e3b\u4efb\u57c3\u5c14\u97e6&middot;\u83b1&middot;\u7279\u9c81\uff08<span>Herv&eacute; Le 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Stocker\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff1a&ldquo;\u8981\u5b9e\u73b0\u5c06\u5168\u7403\u5e73\u5747\u6e29\u5347\u63a7\u5236\u57282\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u4ee5\u5185\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5c31\u9700\u8981\u5c06\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u50a8\u5907\uff0c\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u50a8\u5907\u548c80%\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u50a8\u5907\u7559\u5728\u5730\u4e0b\u3002&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>\u5df4\u9ece\u5cf0\u4f1a\u7b79\u5907\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4e2d\u3001\u7f8e\u3001\u6b27\u7b49\u78b3\u6392\u5927\u6237\u90fd\u5411\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u63d0\u4ea4\u4e86\u5404\u81ea\u7684\u51cf\u6392\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5373<a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/focus\/indc_portal\/items\/8766.php\">\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u4e3b\u8d21\u732e\u6587\u4ef6<\/a>\uff08INDC\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5374\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5404\u56fd\u63d0\u4ea4\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u4e3b\u8d21\u732e\u6587\u4ef6&ldquo;\u8fdc\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5&rdquo;\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e00\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u7167\u6b64\u8d8b\u52bf\u6050\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u5e73\u5747\u6e29\u5347\u8d85\u8fc73\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8377\u5170\u73af\u5883\u7f72\uff08NEA\uff09\u8d44\u6df1\u5206\u6790\u5458\u7c73\u6b47\u5c14&middot;\u5fb7&middot;\u827e\u5c14\uff08Michel Den 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href=\"https:\/\/www.unep.org\/publications\/ebooks\/emissionsgapreport\/\">\u300a\u6392\u653e\u5dee\u8ddd\u62a5\u544a\u300b<\/a>\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u5404\u56fd\u627f\u8bfa\u7684\u51cf\u6392\u76ee\u6807\u548c\u5b9e\u9645\u6240\u9700\u7684\u51cf\u6392\u76ee\u6807\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u5de8\u5927\u5dee\u8ddd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u73b0\u5df2\u63d0\u51fa\u52302025\u5e74\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u8f832005\u5e74\u6574\u4f53\u4e0b\u964d26%\u523028%\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.chinadialogue.net\/article\/show\/single\/ch\/7985-China-aims-to-cut-carbon-intensity-6-65-in-national-climate-plan\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e5f\u627f\u8bfa<\/a>\u52302030\u5e74\u8fbe\u5230\u78b3\u6392\u5cf0\u503c\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\u5219\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u57281990\u5e74\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0a\u81f3\u5c11\u51cf\u639240%\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4ecd\u672a\u80fd\u7f29\u51cf\u4e0e\u4e0a\u8ff0\u76ee\u6807\u6392\u653e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6765\u81ea100\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u76842000\u591a\u4f4d\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6<a href=\"https:\/\/www.commonfuture-paris2015.org\/Press.htm\">\u4e0a\u5468\u9f50\u805a\u5df4\u9ece<\/a>\uff0c\u6566\u4fc3\u5404\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u8ba4\u771f\u5bf9\u5f85\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5361\u5185\u57fa\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u5168\u7403\u751f\u6001\u90e8\uff08<span>Carnegie Institution&rsquo;s Department of Global Ecology<\/span>\uff09\u4e3b\u4efb\u514b\u91cc\u65af&middot;\u83f2\u5c14\u5fb7\uff08Chris Field\uff09\u8bf4\u9053\uff1a&ldquo;\u6211\u4eec\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u8bf4\u8981\u7acb\u5373\u5b8c\u6210\u6bcf\u4e00\u4ef6\u4e8b\uff0c\u4f46\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u6700\u5927\u6392\u653e\u9650\u989d\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u3001\u98ce\u80fd\u53ca\u5927\u5bb9\u91cf\u7535\u6c60\u7b49\u6280\u672f\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u6211\u4eec\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e2a\u76ee\u6807\u3002&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>\u51fa\u5e2d\u6b64\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u6cd5\u56fd\u5b98\u5458\u5411\u6240\u6709\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u4fdd\u8bc1\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u5728\u671d\u7740\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u524d\u8fdb\u3002\u6cd5\u56fd\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6c14\u5019\u8c08\u5224\u5927\u4f7f\u52b3\u4f26\u65af&middot;\u56fe\u6bd4\u5a05\u5a1c\uff08<span>Laurence Tubiana<\/span>\uff09\u8bf4\u9053\uff1a&ldquo;\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5341\u4e00\u5c4a\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5927\u4f1a\uff08COP21\uff09\u5c06\u5bf9\u4f60\u4eec\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\u4f5c\u51fa\u653f\u6cbb\u56de\u5e94\uff0c\u5e76\u8868\u660e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53bb\u78b3\u5316\u8f6c\u578b\u53ca\u9002\u5e94\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u53ef\u884c\u7684\u3002&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5e7412\u6708\uff0c\u65b0\u4e00\u5c4a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wri.org\/blog\/2015\/05\/qa-jennifer-morgan-everything-you-need-know-about-new-climate-agreement\"><span>\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6c14\u5019\u5927\u4f1a\uff08COP21\uff09<\/span><\/a>\u5c06\u5728\u6cd5\u56fd\u4e3e\u884c\u3002190\u591a\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c06\u6709\u671b\u5728\u6b64\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u7b7e\u7f72\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u904f\u5236\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6cd5\u56fd\u751f\u6001\u90e8\u957f\u585e\u683c\u7433&middot;\u7f57\u96c5\u5c14\uff08S&eacute;gol&egrave;ne Royal\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c&ldquo;\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053\u8fd9\u5e76\u975e\u6613\u4e8b\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u4ecd\u7136\u4f1a\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u7684\u5df4\u9ece\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u5145\u6ee1\u7740\u5e0c\u671b\u3002&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><!--[if gte mso 9]><![endif]-->  <!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>\n \n  Normal\n  0\n  \n  \n  \n  \n  false\n  false\n  false\n  \n  EN-US\n  ZH-CN\n  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