{"id":43798,"date":"2017-11-10T10:58:00","date_gmt":"2017-11-10T10:58:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2020-06-22T23:17:31","modified_gmt":"2020-06-22T23:17:31","slug":"43798","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/4\/43798\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u201c\u7ba1\u9053\u5916\u4ea4\u201d\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u89c6\u89d2"},"content":{"rendered":"<p dir=\"ltr\"><span 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href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s\/a4Iv1sWNjdFH0cqIMZcD8A\">1400\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143<\/a>\uff0c\u5360\u7f8e\u5546\u8d38\u4ee3\u8868\u56e2\u6b64\u6b21\u7b7e\u7f72\u534f\u8bae\u603b\u91d1\u989d\u7684\u4e00\u534a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u4e2d\u65b9\u8d2d\u4e70\u7f8e\u65b9\u7684\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\uff08LNG\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-ec6c178f-b53e-704f-cbb6-1b3ffaf1d983\">\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u6b63\u5f53\u4e2d\u56fd\u53c2\u52a0\u6ce2\u6069\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6c14\u5019\u8c08\u5224\u4e4b\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4ea4\u6613\u4e0d\u7981\u8ba9\u4eba\u4ea7\u751f\u7591\u95ee\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5982\u6b64\u5927\u529b\u6269\u5c55\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u6d88\u8d39\uff0c\u8fd8\u80fd\u591f\u5151\u73b0\u5176\u6c14\u5019\u627f\u8bfa\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u9700\u6c42<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/judeclemente\/2016\/04\/24\/chinas-rising-natural-gas-demand-pipelines-and-lng\/#6bb21dcf5d00\">\u7ffb\u4e86\u4e24\u756a<\/a>\u8fd8\u591a\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u56fd\u5185\u6613\u4e8e\u5f00\u91c7\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8d44\u6e90\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e00\u76f4\u90fd\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\u50a8\u91cf\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u9875\u5ca9\u6c14\u30022016\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd<a href=\"https:\/\/www.paulsoninstitute.org\/economics-environment\/paulson-primers\/natural-gas-in-china\/\">\u7ea635%<\/a>\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u9700\u6c42\u9760\u8fdb\u53e3\u6765\u6ee1\u8db3\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u6e90\u56fd\u662f\u5361\u5854\u5c14\u548c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e5f\u9010\u6e10\u5360\u6709\u4e00\u5e2d\u4e4b\u5730\u3002<br \/>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/chinadialogue-production.s3.amazonaws.com\/uploads\/content_image\/content_image\/3473\/Screen_Shot_2017-11-10_at_11.43.31_meitu_1.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/chinadialogue-production.s3.amazonaws.com\/uploads\/content_image\/content_image\/3473\/Screen_Shot_2017-11-10_at_11.43.31_meitu_1.jpg\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%;\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><span class=\"caption\"><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-ec6c178f-b53e-704f-cbb6-1b3ffaf1d983\">\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\uff1a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ceicdata.com\/en\/indicator\/china\/natural-gas-consumption\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5e93\uff08CEIC\uff09<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5317\u4eac\u4e4b\u884c\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u81f3\u5c11\u7b7e\u7f72\u4e86\u4e94\u4e2a\u80fd\u6e90<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-trump-asia-china-deals-factbox\/factbox-china-u-s-commercial-deals-signed-during-trumps-china-visit-idUSKBN1D90P5?il=0\">\u534f\u8bae<\/a>\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.de\/search?q=Cheniere+Energy&amp;oq=Cheniere+Energy&amp;aqs=chrome..69i57j69i60.811j0j7&amp;sourceid=chrome&amp;ie=UTF-8\">\u94b1\u5c3c\u5c14\u80fd\u6e90\u516c\u53f8<\/a>\u7684\u9996\u4efd\u5bf9\u534e\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u51fa\u53e3<a href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s\/a4Iv1sWNjdFH0cqIMZcD8A\">\u957f\u671f<\/a>\u534f\u8bae\uff1b\u4e00\u9879\u4fc3\u8fdb\u963f\u62c9\u65af\u52a0\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\uff1bDelfin Midstream\u516c\u53f8\u5bf9\u534e\u51fa\u53e3\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u7684\u534f\u8bae\uff1b\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f00\u53d1<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-trump-asia-energy-west-virginia\/china-energy-investment-signs-mou-for-83-7-billion-in-west-virginia-projects-idUSKBN1D90S9?il=0\">\u897f\u5f17\u5409\u5c3c\u4e9a<\/a>\u9875\u5ca9\u6c14\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\uff1b\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u5728\u534e\u5efa\u8bbe\u7164\u5236\u5408\u6210\u6c14\u751f\u4ea7\u8bbe\u65bd\u7684\u534f\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-ec6c178f-b53e-704f-cbb6-1b3ffaf1d983\"><strong>\u6bd4\u7164\u70ad\u66f4\u6e05\u6d01<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u56fd\u9645\u80fd\u6e90\u7f72\u7684\u300a<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/Textbase\/npsum\/WEO2016SUM.pdf\">\u4e16\u754c\u80fd\u6e90\u5c55\u671b2016<\/a>\u300b\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u52302040\u5e74\uff0c\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8d38\u6613\u91cf\u5c06\u7ffb\u756a\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u53d7\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u534e\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-ec6c178f-b53e-704f-cbb6-1b3ffaf1d983\">\u4fdd\u5c14\u68ee\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u987e\u95ee\u5b89\u5fb7\u65af&middot;\u970d\u592b\u8bf4\uff0c\u5929\u7136\u6c14&ldquo;\u4ef7\u683c\u592a\u4f4e\uff0c\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u5e02\u573a\u4f9b\u8fc7\u4e8e\u6c42\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e00\u60c5\u51b5\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u4f1a\u6539\u89c2\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u529b\u63a8\u8fdb\u534e\u5317\u5730\u533a\u7684\u4f9b\u6696\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\u71c3\u6599\u7164\u6539\u6c14\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8fdb\u53e3\u5c06\u4f1a\u518d\u521b\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002&rdquo;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-ec6c178f-b53e-704f-cbb6-1b3ffaf1d983\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u300a<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndrc.gov.cn\/zcfb\/zcfbghwb\/201701\/W020170117350627940556.pdf\">\u80fd\u6e90\u53d1\u5c55<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndrc.gov.cn\/zcfb\/zcfbghwb\/201701\/W020170117350627940556.pdf\">&ldquo;\u5341\u4e09\u4e94&rdquo;\u89c4\u5212<\/a>\u300b\u53f7\u53ec\u7528\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u548c\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u66ff\u4ee3\u7164\u70ad\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8be5\u89c4\u5212\uff0c2020\u5e74\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e00\u6b21\u80fd\u6e90\u4e2d\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5c06\u4ece2015\u5e74\u76845.9%\u589e\u957f\u523010%\u3002\u5982\u679c\u628a\u773c\u5149\u653e\u5f97\u66f4\u8fdc\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndrc.gov.cn\/fzgggz\/fzgh\/ghwb\/gjjgh\/201705\/W020170517397451808076.pdf\">\u80fd\u6e90\u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u9769\u547d\u6218\u7565\uff082016-2030\uff09<\/a> \u300b\u4e2d\u5219\u63d0\u51fa\u52302030\u5e74\u8981\u5c06\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u7ed3\u6784\u4e2d\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u63d0\u5347\u523015%\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-ec6c178f-b53e-704f-cbb6-1b3ffaf1d983\">2015\u5e74\uff0c\u7164\u70ad\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u603b\u91cf\u4e2d\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.caixinglobal.com\/2017-07-07\/101112219.html\">\u4e0b\u964d\u4e862\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9<\/a> \uff0c\u964d\u523062%\uff0c\u4e22\u5931\u7684\u4efd\u989d\u88ab\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u6240\u4ee3\u66ff\u3002\u80fd\u6e90\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\uff09\u5317\u4eac\u529e\u4e8b\u5904\u7684\u536b\u68b5\u65af\u548c\u90b9\u9aa5<a href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/article\/show\/single\/en\/10198-What-s-next-for-US-China-climate-cooperation-\">\u8bc4\u8bba<\/a>\u8bf4\uff1a&ldquo;\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u534e\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u51fa\u53e3\u901a\u8fc7\u5e2e\u52a9\u4e2d\u56fd\u52a0\u901f\u7164\u6539\u6c14\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\uff0c\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u6539\u5584\u7a7a\u6c14\u8d28\u91cf\u548c\u5411\u4f4e\u78b3\u672a\u6765\u8f6c\u578b\u3002&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-ec6c178f-b53e-704f-cbb6-1b3ffaf1d983\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u6539\u59d4\u80fd\u6e90\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u673a\u67842016\u5e74\u7684\u5efa\u6a21\u7814\u7a76<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rmi.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/OCS_Report_ReinventingFireChina_2016.pdf\">\u8868\u660e<\/a>\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u52302050\u5e74\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u90fd\u5c06\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u4e00\u5927\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u53ea\u8981\u6309\u7167\u5f53\u524d\u653f\u7b56\u8d70\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5229\u7528\u9ad8\u6210\u672c\u6548\u76ca\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6392\u653e\u5c06\u57282025\u5e74\u8fbe\u5230\u5cf0\u503c\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u4fbf\u4f1a\u9010\u6e10\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4f1a\u57282045\u5e74\u8fbe\u5230\u5cf0\u503c\uff0c\u4f46\u52302050\u5e74\u4ecd\u5c06\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e2d\u53d1\u6325\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rmi.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/OCS_Report_ReinventingFireChina_2016.pdf\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/chinadialogue-production.s3.amazonaws.com\/uploads\/content_image\/content_image\/3462\/Screen_Shot_2017-11-10_at_11.43.31.png\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%;\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong><span class=\"caption\"><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-ec6c178f-b53e-704f-cbb6-1b3ffaf1d983\">\u8272\u5757\uff1a\u6d45\u84dd&mdash;\u4e00\u6b21\u7535\u529b \u6df1\u84dd&mdash;&mdash;\u77f3\u6cb9 \u7070\u8272&mdash;&mdash;\u5929\u7136\u6c14 &nbsp;\u6d45\u7ea2&mdash;\u7164\u70ad\u8f6c\u5316\u80fd\u6e90 &nbsp;\u6df1\u7ea2\uff1a\u7164\u70ad\u76f4\u63a5\u5229\u7528\uff0c<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span class=\"caption\">\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rmi.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/OCS_Report_ReinventingFireChina_2016.pdf\">\u300a\u91cd\u5851\u80fd\u6e90\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\uff082016\uff09\u300b<\/a><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-ec6c178f-b53e-704f-cbb6-1b3ffaf1d983\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-ec6c178f-b53e-704f-cbb6-1b3ffaf1d983\"><strong>\u957f\u671f\u610f\u4e49<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u4e9b\u4e13\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e94\u8be5\u907f\u514d\u8e0f\u5165\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a&ldquo;<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/energy-and-environment\/2017\/4\/4\/14942764\/100-renewable-energy-debate\">\u6b7b\u80e1\u540c<\/a>&rdquo;\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u76f8\u6bd4\u7164\u70ad\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5bb3\u5904\u8981\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u71c3\u70e7\u8d77\u6765\u4ecd\u4f1a\u6392\u653e\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u63a8\u5e7f\u4f7f\u7528\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u4e5f\u5fc5\u987b\u6295\u5165\u5927\u91cf\u8d44\u91d1\u5efa\u8bbe\u5bff\u547d\u671f\u957f\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u3002\u5404\u56fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u627f\u8bfa\u5230\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u672b\u5b9e\u73b0\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u7ee7\u7eed\u4f7f\u7528\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u9700\u8981\u5bf9\u6392\u653e\u51fa\u7684\u78b3\u8fdb\u884c<a 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