{"id":60018979,"date":"2024-05-20T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-05-20T09:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/?p=60018979"},"modified":"2025-04-22T16:06:54","modified_gmt":"2025-04-22T15:06:54","slug":"60018979","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/3\/60018979\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5206\u6790\uff1a\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e2d\u56fd\u78b3\u6392\u653e\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5982\u4f55\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u5360\u5168\u7403\u603b\u91cf\u768430%\uff0c2015\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5176\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u589e\u957f\u91cf\u5360\u5230\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u7684<a 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href=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/4\/120594\/\">\u653e\u5bbd<\/a>\u4e86\u5bf9\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u589e\u957f\u7684\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u300a\u7b2c\u4e00\u8d22\u7ecf\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u91c7\u8bbf\u7684\u4e13\u5bb6\u4eec<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpnn.com.cn\/news\/dfny\/202401\/t20240126_1672678.html\">\u5f3a\u8c03<\/a>\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u636e<a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1G4hREka4Yjc-bzh3fxs7UQ_d98zoelxVL8KEir2fL2k\/edit#gid=0\">\u7edf\u8ba1<\/a>\uff0c\u5236\u9020<a 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href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/chinas-rising-hydro-solar-set-cap-coal-use-2024-kemp-2024-04-24\/\">\u589e\u52a0<\/a>\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6c34\u7535\u4ea7\u91cf\u6062\u590d\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u7535\u529b\u4f9b\u5e94\u5c06\u53d6\u4ee3\u71c3\u7164\u4f9b\u7535\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" 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href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S2589004223002559\">\u5f71\u54cd<\/a>\uff0c\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u5b89\u88c5\u4e86\u7a7a\u8c03\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86\u5728\u5e76\u4e0d\u6781\u7aef\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u4e0b\u7535\u529b\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u653f\u5e9c\u6b63\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u51cf\u5c11\u5bb6\u5ead\u71c3\u7164\u6d88\u8d39\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u4f7f\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u53d6\u6696\u65b9\u5f0f\u4ece\u7164\u70ad\u8f6c\u5411\u4e86\u7535\u529b\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u3002\u63d0\u9ad8\u5efa\u7b51\u80fd\u6548\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u5728\u4fdd\u6301\u5c45\u6c11\u8212\u9002\u5ea6\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u51cf\u5c11\u7535\u529b\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u5374\u4e00\u76f4\u4e0d\u5c3d\u5982\u4eba\u610f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" 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href=\"https:\/\/www.france24.com\/en\/live-news\/20240416-china-posts-forecast-beating-growth-in-first-quarter\">\u6570\u636e<\/a>\u8ba9\u4eba\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u5e0c\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u6210\u529f\u590d\u82cf\u4ee5\u53ca\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8f6c\u578b\uff0c\u5c06\u4f7f\u80fd\u6e90\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u957f\u663e\u8457\u4f4e\u4e8eGDP\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"60014772\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u4e3b\u5e2d\u53bb\u5e74\u5e74\u672b\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u53d1\u5c55\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ciip.group.cam.ac.uk\/reports-and-articles\/chinas-emerging-industrial-vision\/\">\u65b0\u8d28\u751f\u4ea7\u529b<\/a>\u201d\u7684\u53e3\u53f7\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u628a\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5173\u952e\u5f15\u64ce\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u201c\u65b0\u8d28\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u201d\u653f\u7b56\u5f3a\u8c03\u53d1\u5c55\u66f4\u667a\u80fd\u3001\u66f4\u7eff\u8272\u7684\u65b0\u578b\u5de5\u4e1a\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u91cd\u70b9<a href=\"http:\/\/www.news.cn\/20240208\/15bd7e6c483a494f9b69ea66430386bc\/c.html\">\u5f3a\u8c03<\/a>\u4e86\u5305\u62ec\u80fd\u6e90\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5728\u5185\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5347\u7ea7\u3002\u8fd9\u6216\u8bb8\u610f\u5473\u7740\u80fd\u6e90\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5728\u5b58\u5728\u4f9b\u8fc7\u4e8e\u6c42\u548c\u4ea7\u80fd\u8fc7\u5269\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5bf9\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u80fd\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u4ee5\u53ca\u5de5\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u7684\u589e\u957f\u90fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u4fdd\u6301\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u53d1\u5c55\u65b0\u8d28\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\uff0c\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u4ece\u80fd\u6e90\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u5546\u54c1\u8f6c\u5411\u9ad8\u9644\u52a0\u503c\u4ea7\u54c1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7a7a\u8c03\u4fdd\u6709\u91cf\u548c\u4f7f\u7528\u7387\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9971\u548c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7a7a\u8c03\u80fd\u6548\u63d0\u5347\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u6765<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S2589004223002559\">\u770b<\/a>\uff0c\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5c06\u5927\u5927\u653e\u7f13\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90-2023\u5e74\u662f\u5f02\u6570\u8fd8\u662f\u65b0\u5e38\u6001\">\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\uff1a2023\u5e74\u662f\u5f02\u6570\u8fd8\u662f\u65b0\u5e38\u6001\uff1f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u81ea2020\u5e74\u5ba3\u5e03\u8981\u57282060\u5e74\u4ee5\u524d\u5b9e\u73b0\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u672c\u5c31\u9886\u5148\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u88c5\u673a\u91cf\u53c8\u6709\u4e86\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u957f\u3002\u6700\u5f15\u4eba\u6ce8\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u65b0\u589e\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u5149\u4f0f\u53d1\u7535\u88c5\u673a\uff0c2023\u5e74\u8fbe\u5230\u8fd1<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nea.gov.cn\/2024-01\/26\/c_1310762246.htm\">217\u5409\u74e6<\/a>\u3002\u8fd9\u662f2020\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b0\u589e\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u88c5\u673a\u7684\u56db\u500d\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u88c5\u673a\u5bb9\u91cf\u7684\u4e24\u500d\u3002\u98ce\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u540c\u6837\u589e\u957f\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nea.gov.cn\/2024-01\/26\/c_1310762246.htm\">76\u5409\u74e6<\/a>\uff0c\u540c\u6bd4\u7ffb\u4e00\u756a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4ec5\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u65b0\u589e\u88c5\u673a\u5c31\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u5fb7\u56fd\u98ce\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u5bb9\u91cf\u603b\u548c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2022\u5e74\u548c2023\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u8fde\u7eed\u4e24\u5e74\u6279\u51c6\u65b0\u5efa<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.cn\/yaowen\/liebiao\/202403\/content_6940265.htm\">10<\/a>\u5ea7\u6838\u53cd\u5e94\u5806\uff0c\u5efa\u8bbe\u6b65\u4f10\u5927\u5927\u52a0\u5feb\u3002\u6bcf\u4e2a\u53cd\u5e94\u5806\u5927\u7ea6<a href=\"https:\/\/thebreakthrough.org\/issues\/energy\/chinas-impressive-rate-of-nuclear-construction\">5\u81f37\u5e74<\/a>\u5efa\u6210\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u65b0\u589e1.2\u5409\u74e6\u53d1\u7535\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4ec52023\u5e74\u4e00\u5e74\u65b0\u589e\u7684\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u3001\u98ce\u80fd\u3001\u6c34\u7535\u548c\u6838\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u9884\u8ba1\u5c31\u5c06\u6bcf\u5e74\u4ea7\u51fa<a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/analysis-chinas-emissions-set-to-fall-in-2024-after-record-growth-in-clean-energy\/\">420\u592a\u74e6\u65f6<\/a>\u7684\u7535\u529b\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u6cd5\u56fd\u7684\u7535\u529b\u6d88\u8d39\u603b\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5b83\u8db3\u4ee5\u6ee1\u8db3\u75ab\u60c5\u524d\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u957f\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5404\u65b9\u5bf9\u4e8e\u672a\u6765\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u89c1\u89e3\u5404\u5f02\u3002\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u548c\u98ce\u80fd\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u5c06\u5e74\u65b0\u589e\u88c5\u673a\u5bb9\u91cf\u7ef4\u6301\u57282023\u5e74\u524d\u540e\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u4f3c\u4e4e\u66f4\u52a0\u52a1\u5b9e\u3002\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u6e90\u5c40\u5c40\u957f\u7ae0\u5efa\u534e\u8fd1\u671f<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nea.gov.cn\/2024-02\/23\/c_1310765179.htm\">\u64b0\u6587<\/a>\u6307\u51fa\uff0c2026\u5e74\u52302030\u65b0\u589e\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u768470%\u7531\u975e\u5316\u77f3\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9b\u5e94\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\u4ecd\u5c06\u5360\u523030%\uff0c\u800c\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u589e\u957f\uff1b\u8fd9\u4e5f\u6697\u793a\u7740\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u663e\u8457\u653e\u7f13\u3002\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u589e\u957f\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b9e\u73b0\u5176\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u4e3b\u8d21\u732e\u76ee\u6807\u4e2d\u201c2030\u5e74\u78b3\u5f3a\u5ea6\u6bd42005\u5e74\u4e0b\u964d\u8d85\u8fc765%\u201d\u7684\u627f\u8bfa\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u5982\u679c\u6309\u7167GDP\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u957f\u4e0d\u8d85\u8fc75%\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u8981\u5b88\u4f4f\u8fd9\u4e00\u627f\u8bfa\uff0c2023\u5e74\u52302030\u5e74\u80fd\u6e90\u90e8\u95e8\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u4fbf\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u589e\u957f\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image block--article-image--article\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"hide-expand block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Xinjiang-wind-turbine-mountains_Alamy_2RRR117.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Xinjiang-wind-turbine-mountains_Alamy_2RRR117-768x504.jpg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Xinjiang-wind-turbine-mountains_Alamy_2RRR117-1024x672.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Xinjiang-wind-turbine-mountains_Alamy_2RRR117.jpg 2560w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 2560px\" alt=\"Wind turbine being built in a mountainous area\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">2023 \u5e74\uff0c\u65b0\u7586\u4e00\u5904\u6b63\u5728\u5b89\u88c5\u7684\u98ce\u529b\u6da1\u8f6e\u673a\u30022023 \u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6295\u4ea7\u7684\u98ce\u529b\u53d1\u7535\u7ad9\u3001\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u53d1\u7535\u7ad9\u3001\u6c34\u7535\u7ad9\u548c\u6838\u7535\u7ad9\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u8db3\u4ee5\u4e3a\u6574\u4e2a\u6cd5\u56fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u7535\u529b\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aZhao Chenjie \/ Alamy<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Xinjiang-wind-turbine-mountains_Alamy_2RRR117.jpg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"2 MB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1681\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"2560\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" content=\"true\"\/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\u7535\u7f51\u662f\u5173\u952e\">\u7535\u7f51\u662f\u5173\u952e<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7535\u7f51\u8fd0\u8425\u5546\u662f\u5426\u6709\u610f\u613f\u3001\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u5b9e\u73b0\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5e76\u7f51\uff0c\u5c06\u662f\u5236\u7ea6\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u53bb\u5e74\uff0c\u591a\u4e2a\u7701\u7ea7\u7535\u7f51\u8fd0\u8425\u5546\u56e0\u62c5\u5fc3\u6ca1\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u5b8c\u5168\u63a5\u5165\u65b0\u589e\u7535\u529b\uff0c<a href=\"http:\/\/m.21spv.com\/index.php?moduleid=21&amp;itemid=208347\">\u5f00\u59cb<\/a>\u9650\u5236\u65b0\u589e\u98ce\u7535\u548c\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u53d1\u7535\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u5371\u9669\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5f53\u524d\u4e2d\u56fd\u98ce\u80fd\u548c\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u53d1\u7535\u6240\u5360\u7684\u4efd\u989d\u4ecd\u4ec5\u670915%\uff0c\u800c\u7535\u7f51\u8fd0\u8425\u5546\u5c31\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u3001\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u548c\u5e0c\u814a\u7684\u98ce\u7535\u548c\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u53d1\u7535\u5360\u6bd4\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fbe\u5230\u7ea640%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6311\u6218\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7535\u7f51\u7ba1\u7406<a href=\"https:\/\/energyandcleanair.org\/publication\/power-system-adequacy-and-new-power-system-development-in-china\/\">\u9648\u65e7\u843d\u540e<\/a>\u3002\u7535\u7f51\u8fd0\u8425\u6539\u9769\u9700\u8981\u514b\u670d\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u65e2\u5f97\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u963b\u6320\uff0c\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u71c3\u7164\u7535\u5382\u6240\u6709\u8005\u7684\u963b\u6320\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u613f\u610f\u63a5\u53d7\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u589e\u957f\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u71c3\u7164\u53d1\u7535\u7a7a\u95f4\u7684\u51cf\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u8feb\u5207\u60f3\u8981\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u65b0\u7684\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u9879\u76ee\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u548c\u6536\u5165\u7684<a 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