{"id":71950,"date":"2021-06-02T15:51:33","date_gmt":"2021-06-02T15:51:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/chinadialogue.net\/?p=71950"},"modified":"2021-06-02T15:51:48","modified_gmt":"2021-06-02T15:51:48","slug":"71950","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/4\/71950\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e00\u8fb9\u6279\u8bc4\u4e00\u8fb9\u6295\u8d44\uff1a\u897f\u65b9\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u8eab\u5f71"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap\">\u57284\u6708\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u62dc\u767b\u4e3b\u6301\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u6c14\u5019\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u5404\u65b9\u4e00\u81f4\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u5fc5\u987b\u9f50\u5fc3\u534f\u529b\u7f13\u89e3\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u5728\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c42\u9762\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u6325\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u4e3b\u5e2d\u57282020\u5e74\u5ba3\u5e03\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u529b\u4e89\u57282060\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u5b9e\u73b0\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u6b64\u6b21\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u627f\u8bfa\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u6d88\u8d39\u5c06\u57282025\u5e74\u540e\u9010\u6b65\u51cf\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u84ec\u52c3\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u884c\u4e1a\u5c06\u4f7f\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e9b\u76ee\u6807\u6311\u6218\u91cd\u91cd\u3002\u7164\u70ad\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u71c3\u70e7\u5371\u5bb3\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u52a0\u5267\u6c61\u67d3\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5371\u53ca\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6837\u6027\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7164\u70ad\u4ecd\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u6e90\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u76ee\u524d<a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/global-energy-co2-status-report-2019\">\u7ea6\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u5347\u6e29<\/a>\u3002\u7164\u7535\u7ea6\u5360\u4e2d\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u7535\u529b\u6d88\u8d39\u768460%\uff0c\u5176\u7164\u7535\u603b\u88c5\u673a\u5df2\u8fbe\u7ea610\u4ebf\u5343\u74e6\uff0c\u7164\u7535\u7ad9\u6570\u91cf\u5360\u5168\u7403\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u30022020\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ecd\u67093840\u4e07\u5343\u74e6\u7684\u7164\u7535\u88c5\u673a<a href=\"https:\/\/endcoal.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/BoomAndBust_2020_English.pdf\">\u6295\u5165\u4f7f\u7528<\/a>\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u89c4\u5212\u6216\u5efa\u8bbe\u4e2d\u7684\u7164\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u8fbe2.49\u4ebf\u5343\u74e6\uff0c\u5360\u5168\u7403\u6b63\u5728\u5f00\u53d1\u7684\u7164\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u768449%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-pull-quote block--pull-quote block--pull-quote--no-citation\"><div class=\"block--pull-quote__wrapper\"><blockquote class=\"block--pull-quote__quote\">\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e24\u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u884c\u4e1a\u5341\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8d44\u91d1\u6765\u81ea\u6d77\u5916<\/blockquote><cite class=\"block--pull-quote__cite\"><\/cite><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4eba\u4eec\u666e\u904d\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u65e0\u6cd5\u5de6\u53f3\u4e2d\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u60f3\u6cd5\u662f\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u3002\u4f17\u6240\u5468\u77e5\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u6b27\u76df\u6700\u5927\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u9500\u552e\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u5546\u54c1\u90fd\u662f\u5229\u7528\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7164\u7535\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u4eba\u4eec\u5374\u4e0d\u592a\u4e86\u89e3\u5168\u7403\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u52a8\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u7535\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff1a\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u81ea\u56fd\u5185\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u4e2d\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4e4f\u5916\u56fd\u878d\u8d44\u65b9\u7684\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u6709\u8d85\u8fc7460\u5bb6\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u4e3a<a href=\"https:\/\/coalexit.org\/finance-data\">\u5168\u7403\u7164\u70ad\u64a4\u8d44\u6e05\u5355<\/a>\uff08Global Coal Exit List\uff0c GCEL\uff09\u4e0a\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u63d0\u4f9b\u878d\u8d44\u3002\u8fd9\u4efd\u6e05\u5355\u7531\u5fb7\u56fd\u73af\u4fdd\u7ec4\u7ec7Urgewald\u7f16\u5236\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5217\u51fa\u4e86935\u5bb6\u6d3b\u8dc3\u5728\u7164\u70ad\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u4e1c\u897f\u65b9\u786e\u5b9e\u5728\u9f50\u5fc3\u534f\u529b\uff0c\u53ea\u53ef\u60dc\u65b9\u5411\u4e0d\u5bf9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e24\u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u884c\u4e1a\u5341\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8d44\u91d1\u6765\u81ea\u6d77\u5916\uff0c48\u5bb6\u56fd\u9645\u94f6\u884c\u4ee5\u80a1\u7968\u548c\u503a\u5238\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5f62\u5f0f\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u603b\u8ba1217\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u878d\u8d44\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u82f1\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u4ea7\u4e1a\u76ee\u524d\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5916\u56fd\u878d\u8d44\u65b9\u3002\u6c47\u4e30\u3001\u6e23\u6253\u7b49\u82f1\u56fd\u94f6\u884c\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e8650\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u3001\u82b1\u65d7\u7b49\u7f8e\u56fd\u94f6\u884c\u7d27\u968f\u5176\u540e\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e8649\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<iframe src='https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/6320881\/embed' title='Interactive or visual content' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' style='width:100%;height:600px;' sandbox='allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation'><\/iframe><div style='width:100%!;margin-top:4px!important;text-align:right!important;'><a class='flourish-credit' href='https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/6320881\/?utm_source=embed&#038;utm_campaign=visualisation\/6320881' target='_top' style='text-decoration:none!important' rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<iframe src='https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/6321432\/embed' title='Interactive or visual content' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' style='width:100%;height:600px;' sandbox='allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation'><\/iframe><div style='width:100%!;margin-top:4px!important;text-align:right!important;'><a class='flourish-credit' href='https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/6321432\/?utm_source=embed&#038;utm_campaign=visualisation\/6321432' target='_top' style='text-decoration:none!important' rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-accordion block--accordion\"><span class=\"block--accordion__title\">\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u5168\u7403\u7164\u70ad\u64a4\u8d44\u6e05\u5355\uff08GCEL\uff09\uff1f<\/span><div class=\"block--accordion__content\"><div class=\"block--accordion__content__inner\"><p>GCEL\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u5e93\uff0c\u5217\u4e3e\u4e86\u5728\u52a8\u529b\u7164\u4ef7\u503c\u94fe\u4e2d\u4ea7\u751f\u91cd\u8981\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u3002<\/p><p>\u6e05\u5355\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5305\u62ec\u7164\u70ad\u5f00\u91c7\u5546\u548c\u7164\u7535\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\uff0c\u8fd8\u5305\u62ec\u53c2\u4e0e\u7164\u70ad\u52d8\u63a2\u3001\u52a0\u5de5\u3001\u8d38\u6613\u3001\u7269\u6d41\u3001\u8bbe\u5907\u5236\u9020\u3001\u76f8\u5173\u4e1a\u52a1\u3001\u7ba1\u7406\u548cEPC\u670d\u52a1\u3001\u7164\u5236\u6cb9\u548c\u7164\u5236\u6c14\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u3002<\/p><p>\u6e05\u5355\u5217\u4e3e\u4e86935\u5bb6\u603b\u516c\u53f8\u548c1800\u591a\u5bb6\u5b50\u516c\u53f8\u548c\u5408\u8d44\u4f01\u4e1a\u3002<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u745e\u58eb\u548c\u6cd5\u56fd\u7684\u94f6\u884c\u4e5f\u5206\u522b\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u884c\u4e1a\u6295\u5165\u8d85\u8fc720\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u3002Urgewald\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u9645\u878d\u8d44\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u5de8\u5934\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u6e90\u96c6\u56e2\u5171\u83b7\u6295\u8d4418\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u662f\u6d77\u5916\u7164\u70ad\u878d\u8d44\u6700\u5927\u7684\u63a5\u6536\u8005\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u8be5\u96c6\u56e2\u65d7\u4e0b\u7164\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u8fbe1.6\u4ebf\u5343\u74e6\uff0c\u7164\u70ad\u4ea7\u91cf\u8fbe5.1\u4ebf\u5428\u3002\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u6e90\u96c6\u56e2\u6b63\u5728\u89c4\u5212\u5efa\u8bbe\u65b0\u7684\u7164\u77ff\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6b63\u5728\u5f00\u53d15100\u4e07\u5343\u74e6\u7684\u65b0\u71c3\u7164\u7535\u7ad9\u3002\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u6e90\u96c6\u56e2\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u5c3c\u897f\u4e9a\u8fd8\u6709\u4e24\u5ea7\u65b0\u7535\u7ad9\u521a\u521a\u5e76\u7f51\u53d1\u7535\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u8fd8\u6709\u6b63\u5728\u5efa\u8bbe\u4e2d\u768460\u4e07\u5343\u74e6\u82cf\u59c6\u585e\u5c14\uff08Sumsel 1\uff09\u71c3\u7164\u7535\u7ad9\u9879\u76ee\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u6d77\u5916\u878d\u8d44\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u63a5\u6536\u8005\u662f\u534e\u80fd\u96c6\u56e2\uff0c\u878d\u8d44\u989d\u8fbe\u523012\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u76ee\u524d\u71c3\u7164\u88c5\u673a\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d85\u8fc71\u4ebf\u5343\u74e6\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba1\u5212\u518d\u589e\u52a03200\u4e07\u5343\u74e6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u622a\u81f32021\u5e741\u6708\uff0c439\u5bb6\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u6784\u4ee5\u80a1\u7968\u548c\u503a\u5238\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u4e3a<a href=\"https:\/\/coalexit.org\/finance-data\">\u5168\u7403\u7164\u70ad\u64a4\u8d44\u6e05<\/a>\u5355\u4e0a\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u6295\u8d44\u4e86196\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u878d\u8d44\u9ad8\u51fa\u4e8620\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u4f01\u4e1a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u6295\u8d44\u65b9\u5206\u522b\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\u516c\u53f8\u8d1d\u83b1\u5fb7\uff08BlackRock\uff09\u548c\u5148\u950b\uff08Vanguard \uff09\uff0c\u4e8c\u8005\u5206\u522b\u6295\u8d44\u4e8627\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u548c22\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5361\u5854\u5c14\u6295\u8d44\u5c40\uff08Qatar Investment Authority \uff09\u4ee517\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u6392\u540d\u7b2c\u4e09\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e<a href=\"https:\/\/coalexit.org\/finance-data\">\u5168\u7403\u7164\u70ad\u64a4\u8d44\u6e05\u5355<\/a>\u4e2d\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5171\u6295\u8d44\u4e86115\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u503a\u5238\u548c\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u5c45\u5168\u7403\u9996\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6c47\u4e30\u94f6\u884c\u3001\u65bd\u7f57\u5fb7\u96c6\u56e2\u7b49\u82f1\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u76f8\u5dee\u751a\u8fdc\uff0c\u5171\u6295\u8d44\u4e8613\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5176\u4ed6\u5927\u578b\u6b27\u6d32\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5305\u62ec\u632a\u5a01\u517b\u8001\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Norwegian Pension Fund\uff09\u6295\u8d44\u4e865.62\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u745e\u58eb\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u767e\u8fbe\u96c6\u56e2\uff08Pictet\uff09\u6295\u8d44\u4e862.19\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u745e\u94f6\u96c6\u56e2\uff08UBS\uff09\u6295\u8d44\u4e861.92\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/6321546\/embed' title='Interactive or visual content' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' style='width:100%;height:600px;' sandbox='allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation'><\/iframe><div style='width:100%!;margin-top:4px!important;text-align:right!important;'><a class='flourish-credit' href='https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/6321546\/?utm_source=embed&#038;utm_campaign=visualisation\/6321546' target='_top' style='text-decoration:none!important' rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u5e76\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u517b\u8001\u57fa\u91d1\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u73af\u5883\u7834\u574f\u7684\u5e2e\u51f6\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u9000\u4f11\u50a8\u84c4\u8d44\u91d1\u6c60\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u517b\u8001\u91d1\u6295\u8d44\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Japanese Government Pension Investment Fund\uff09\u662f<a href=\"https:\/\/coalexit.org\/finance-data\">\u5168\u7403\u7164\u70ad\u64a4\u8d44\u6e05<\/a>\u5355\u4e0a\u4e2d\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u7b2c\u4e94\u5927\u6295\u8d44\u65b9\uff0c\u5171\u8ba1\u6295\u8d44\u4e866.35\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7d27\u968f\u5176\u540e\u7684\u662f\u6b27\u6d32\u6700\u5927\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u517b\u8001\u57fa\u91d1\u632a\u5a01\u653f\u5e9c\u517b\u8001\u57fa\u91d1\uff08the Norwegian Government Pension Fund, 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