{"id":83992,"date":"2022-07-21T02:10:59","date_gmt":"2022-07-21T02:10:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/chinadialogue.net\/?p=83992"},"modified":"2022-09-05T03:05:31","modified_gmt":"2022-09-05T03:05:31","slug":"83992","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/zh\/4\/83992\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5168\u7403\u201c\u62a2\u7164\u6f6e\u201d\u4e0b\uff0c\u7164\u70ad\u4fdd\u4f9b\u662f\u5426\u5c06\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f4e\u78b3\u8fdb\u7a0b\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u56fd\u9645\u7164\u70ad\u5e02\u573a\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c2022\u5e74\u6ce8\u5b9a\u662f\u4e0d\u5e73\u9759\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u65b0\u5e74\u4f0a\u59cb\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u4fdd\u969c\u56fd\u5185\u7535\u5382\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u4f9b\u5e94\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd<a href=\"https:\/\/www.esdm.go.id\/en\/media-center\/news-archives\/preventing-power-outages-govt-temporarily-bans-coal-export\">\u5370\u5ea6\u5c3c\u897f\u4e9a\u5ba3\u5e03\u6682\u65f6\u7981\u6b62\u7164\u70ad\u51fa\u53e3<\/a>\uff0c\u65f6\u95f4\u6301\u7eed\u52301\u6708\u5e95\u3002\u56fd\u9645\u7164\u70ad\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u65b0\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5929\u5c31\u8499\u4e0a\u4e86\u4e00\u5c42\u9634\u5f71\u30022\u670824\u65e5\u5f00\u59cb\u7684\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u5219\u771f\u6b63\u70b9\u71c3\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u7164\u4ef7\u98d9\u6da8\u7684\u5f15\u7ebf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/markets.businessinsider.com\/commodities\/coal-price\">Markets 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class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u201c\u62a2\u7164\u6f6e\u201d<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/statistics\/1066718\/russian-coal-export-volume-by-destination\/#:~:text=In%20total%2C%20Russia%20accounted%20for,capacities%20over%20the%20coming%20decade.\">\u6839\u636e\u7edf\u8ba1\u7f51\u7ad9Statista\u7684\u6570\u636e<\/a>\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u662f\u5168\u7403\u7b2c\u4e09\u5927\u7164\u70ad\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u7164\u70ad\u91cf\u7ea6\u5360\u5168\u7403\u51fa\u53e3\u91cf\u768418%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/info\/news\/focus-reducing-eus-dependence-imported-fossil-fuels-2022-kwi-20_en\">\u6b27\u76df\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5b98\u7f51\u663e\u793a<\/a>\uff0c2021\u5e74\u6b27\u76df\u4ece\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u5360\u5176\u603b\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u768446%\uff0c 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href=\"https:\/\/www.consilium.europa.eu\/en\/press\/press-releases\/2022\/04\/08\/eu-adopts-fifth-round-of-sanctions-against-russia-over-its-military-aggression-against-ukraine\/\">\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7b2c\u4e94\u8f6e\u5236\u88c1\u63aa\u65bd<\/a>\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u7981\u6b62\u4ece\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8fdb\u53e3\u7164\u70ad\uff0c\u7981\u4ee4\u4ece8\u6708\u5f00\u59cb\u751f\u6548\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b27\u76df\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u57284\u67086\u65e5\u5ba3\u5e03\u8ba1\u5212\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u7ed3\u675f\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u7164\u70ad\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4f1a\u5c3d\u5feb\u7ed3\u675f\u4ece\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8fdb\u53e3\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u9996\u76f8\u5cb8\u7530\u6587\u96c4\u57284\u67088\u65e5\u8868\u793a\u65e5\u672c\u5c06\u9010\u6b65\u51cf\u5c11\u4ece\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8fdb\u53e3\u7164\u70ad\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6b63\u5728\u5bfb\u627e\u5feb\u901f\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u65b9\u6848\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/statistics\/1066718\/russian-coal-export-volume-by-destination\/#:~:text=In%20total%2C%20Russia%20accounted%20for,capacities%20over%20the%20coming%20decade.\">\u65e5\u672c\u662f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7164\u70ad\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e3a\u4e86\u5bfb\u6c42\u66ff\u4ee3\u88ab\u7981\u7684\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7164\u70ad\uff0c\u4e0d\u5c11\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c06\u91c7\u8d2d\u7684\u76ee\u5149\u8f6c\u5411\u4e86\u522b\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982<a href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/chart\/20587\/biggest-coal-exporters\/\">\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e94\u5927\u7164\u70ad\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd\u2014\u2014\u5357\u975e<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"82462\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/commodities\/europe-imports-more-south-african-coal-russian-ban-looms-2022-06-15\/\">\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053<\/a>\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u524d\u4e94\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u4ece\u5357\u975e\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u51fa\u53e3\u6e2f\u7406\u67e5\u5179\u6e7e\u7164\u70ad\u7801\u5934\uff08Richards Bay Coal Terminal\uff0cRBCT\uff09\u8fd0\u5f80\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u5df2\u7ecf\u6bd42021\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u591a\u51fa\u4e8640%\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u56fd\u5bb6\u662f\u5728\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u540e\u624d\u5f00\u59cb\u4ece\u8be5\u7801\u5934\u8fdb\u53e3\u7164\u70ad\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u3001\u6ce2\u5170\u548c\u5fb7\u56fd\u53bb\u5e74\u6ca1\u6709\u4eceRBCT\u8fdb\u53e3\u7164\u70ad\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u524d5\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e09\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5df2\u7ecf\u5206\u522b\u8fdb\u53e3\u4e8635.5\u4e07\u5428\u300118.2\u4e07\u5428\u548c15.7\u4e07\u5428\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u6b27\u6d32\u5927\u56fd\u6cd5\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u4eceRBCT\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u91cf\u5219\u76f4\u63a5\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\u7ffb\u4e86\u8fd17\u500d\u3002\u90bb\u8fd1\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u65e5\u672c\u4e5f\u52a0\u5927\u4e86\u4eceRBCT\u8fdb\u53e3\u7164\u70ad\u7684\u529b\u5ea6\uff1a\u5f00\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u4eceRBCT\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fbe\u523038.8\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u51e0\u4e4e\u662f\u53bb\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u8d2d\u4e70\u91cf\u76842\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6b27\u76df\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u7164\u70ad\u8fdb\u53e3\u5730\uff0c\u4e5f\u5728\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5927\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u51fa\u53e3\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s\/7Z8BvxCaKuYLXps-pgz3-Q\">\u5546\u4e1a\u60c5\u62a5\u516c\u53f8CRU\u96c6\u56e2\u9884\u8ba1<\/a>\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u51fa\u53e3\u91cf\u5c06\u589e\u52a0900\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u8fbe\u52302018\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u4e5f\u5c06\u6548\u4eff\uff0c\u589e\u52a01400\u4e07\u5428\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\">\u8fdb\u53e3\u4e0e\u56fd\u4ea7\uff0c\u201c\u51b0\u706b\u4e24\u91cd\u5929\u201d<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p 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href=\"https:\/\/news.cctv.com\/2021\/09\/29\/ARTIUF1TOyuNwWF60opfIqbM210929.shtml\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u518510\u4f59\u4e2a\u7701\u4efd\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u201c\u62c9\u95f8\u9650\u7535\u201d\u73b0\u8c61<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7535\u529b\u5371\u673a\u53d1\u751f\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4e3a\u7f13\u89e3\u7164\u70ad\u7d27\u7f3a\u548c\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u6539\u59d4\u7b49\u90e8\u95e8\u63a8\u51fa\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7164\u70ad\u4fdd\u4f9b\u589e\u4ea7\u7a33\u4ef7\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u63a8\u52a8\u53d1\u7535\u4f9b\u70ed\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e0e\u7164\u70ad\u4f01\u4e1a\u7b7e\u8ba2\u4ef7\u683c\u76f8\u5bf9\u56fa\u5b9a\u7684\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u4f9b\u8d27\u5408\u540c\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u664b\u9655\u8499\u5730\u533a\u7b26\u5408\u5b89\u5168\u751f\u4ea7\u7b49\u8981\u6c42\u7684\u7164\u77ff\u52a0\u5feb\u6295\u4ea7\u7b49\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5bf9\u7164\u70ad\u4ef7\u683c\u5b9e\u65bd\u5e72\u9884\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7164\u70ad\u4ef7\u683c\u968f\u540e\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u56fd\u9645\u7164\u70ad\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u6da8\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u56fd\u5185\u52a8\u529b\u7164\u4ef7\u683c\u4f9d\u7136\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u8f83\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u73af\u6e24\u6d77\u52a8\u529b\u7164\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u53bb\u5e7410\u670813\u65e5\u8fbe\u5230848\u5143\/\u5428\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u9ad8\u70b9\u540e\uff0c\u7164\u70ad\u4ef7\u683c\u4fbf\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u4eca\u5e742\u6708\u4e4b\u540e\u4e00\u76f4\u7ef4\u6301\u5728730-740\u5143\/\u5428\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u663e\u8457\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5f53\u524d\u56fd\u9645\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u4ef7\u683c\u3002<a href=\"http:\/\/news.cqcoal.com\/blank\/nc.jsp?mid=112976\">\u79e6\u7687\u5c9b\u7164\u70ad\u7f51\u5728\u4e00\u7bc7\u5206\u6790\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa<\/a>\uff0c\u4ece\u4e2d\u56fd\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u56fd\u5185\u7164\u4ef7\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u7164\u4ef7\u57fa\u672c\u8131\u94a9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"wp-block-cd-related-news alignright block--related-news loading\" data-post-id=\"75306\"><div class=\"block--related-news__image\"><\/div><div class=\"block--related-news__content\"><span class=\"block--related-news__heading\">\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><span class=\"block--related-news__title\"><\/span><\/div><\/a>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c\u4eca\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u53d7\u56fd\u9645\u5f62\u52bf\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5916\u90e8\u8f93\u5165\u6027\u538b\u529b\u52a0\u5927\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u56fd\u5185\u4fdd\u4f9b\u7a33\u4ef7\u7684\u529b\u5ea6\u4e5f\u5728\u6301\u7eed\u52a0\u5927\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9b\u7ed9\u57fa\u672c\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u201d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u3001\u56fd\u6c11\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7efc\u5408\u7edf\u8ba1\u53f8\u53f8\u957f<a href=\"http:\/\/www.news.cn\/fortune\/2022-06\/16\/c_1128745136.htm\">\u4ed8\u51cc\u6656\u57286\u670815\u65e5\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8868\u793a<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u79cd\u79cd\u8ff9\u8c61\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u4ee5\u56fd\u5185\u7164\u70ad\u7684\u201c\u589e\u4ea7\u4fdd\u4f9b\u201d\u6765\u4fdd\u8bc1\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u53e0\u52a0\u63a8\u8fdb\u201c\u53cc\u78b3\u201d\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u5927\u80cc\u666f\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u8fdb\u53e3\u7164\u70ad\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u96be\u518d\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>4\u6708\u53d1\u8868\u5728\u5b66\u672f\u520a\u7269\u300a\u7126\u8033\u300b\uff08Joule\uff09\u4e0a\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cell.com\/joule\/pdfExtended\/S2542-4351(22)00135-0\">\u4e00\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u6307\u51fa<\/a>\uff0c\u4e0e2019\u5e74\u901a\u8fc7\u6d77\u8def\u8fdb\u53e32.09\u4ebf\u5428\u52a8\u529b\u7164\u548c\u7126\u70ad\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u52302025\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u8fd0\u8fdb\u53e3\u7164\u70ad\u6570\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u51cf\u5c115200-9600\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u52302030\u5e74\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c115600\u4e07\u5428-1.24\u4ebf\u5428\uff0c\u5177\u4f53\u51cf\u5c11\u7684\u5e45\u5ea6\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u8131\u78b3\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u4ee5\u53ca\u8131\u78b3\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u2014\u2014\u5728\u201c\u53cc\u78b3\u201d\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e1c\u90e8\u5bcc\u88d5\u7701\u4efd\u51cf\u5c11\u7164\u7535\u5382\u53d1\u7535\u91cf\u5bf9\u7164\u70ad\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u66f4\u5927\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5730\u65b9\u7684\u7164\u7535\u5382\u5f80\u5f80\u66f4\u4f9d\u8d56\u4ece\u5370\u5c3c\u548c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u6d77\u8fd0\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cell.com\/joule\/fulltext\/S2542-4351(22)00135-0\">\u4e0d\u5305\u542b\u8fd0\u8f93\u8d39\u7528\u7684\u91c7\u7164\u6210\u672c\u4e00\u822c\u662f60\u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\u53ca\u4ee5\u4e0b<\/a>\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u51fa\u53e3\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u901a\u5e38\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e1c\u90e8\u6cbf\u6d77\u7701\u4efd\u7684\u7164\u7535\u5382\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u7b97\u4e0a\u8fd0\u8d39\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4ece\u5370\u5c3c\u548c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u5f80\u5f80\u6bd4\u672c\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u4ef7\u683c\u66f4\u4e3a\u4fbf\u5b9c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cd-article-image aligncenter block--article-image block--article-image--article\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><div class=\"block--article-image__column\"><div class=\"hide-expand block--article-image__image\"><img class=\"lazy\" data-src=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/20220720_Distribution-of-coal-mines-in-China_CH-01.svg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/20220720_Distribution-of-coal-mines-in-China_CH-01.svg 768w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/20220720_Distribution-of-coal-mines-in-China_CH-01.svg 1024w, https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/20220720_Distribution-of-coal-mines-in-China_CH-01.svg 1394.85w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 768px, (max-width: 1024px) 1024px, 1394.85px\" alt=\"\"\/><\/div><div class=\"block--article-image__content\"><div itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"block--article-image__caption\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u77ff\u4e3b\u8981\u5206\u5e03\u5728\u5317\u65b9\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u9700\u7ecf\u8fc7\u957f\u9014\u94c1\u8def\u548c\u6e2f\u53e3\u8fd0\u8f93\u624d\u80fd\u62b5\u8fbe\u4e1c\u5357\u6cbf\u6d77\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u8fbe\u5730\u533a\u3002\u56fe\u4e2d\u5706\u5708\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u4ea7\u91cf\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002\u6765\u6e90: \u6839\u636eGosens, Jorrit, Alex BH Turnbull, and Frank Jotzo. &#8220;China\u2019s decarbonization and energy security plans will reduce seaborne coal imports: Results from an installation-level model.&#8221; Joule 6.4 (2022): 782-815.\u5236\u4f5c<\/div><\/div><\/div><meta itemprop=\"contentUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/dialogue.earth\/content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/20220720_Distribution-of-coal-mines-in-China_CH-01.svg\"\/><meta itemprop=\"contentSize\" content=\"262 KB\"\/><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"1154.87\"\/><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"1394.85\"\/><meta itemprop=\"author\"\/><meta itemprop=\"representativeOfPage\" 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