The Asian Infrastructure Development Bank (AIIB) unveiled its initial batch of projects at its first annual meeting in Beijing in June, giving the go-ahead to investments totaling US$509 million (3.4 billion yuan) and providing an important yardstick to assess the bank’s first six months.
The AIIB has swiftly been taking shape since China’s President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Keqiang announced its formation less than three years ago. Its mission, they said, was “to promote interconnectivity and economic integration in the region”.
By the end of 2014, 22 Asian countries signed up to the project. And in June this year 50 countries endorsed membership terms at a ceremony in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing. China is the biggest shareholder in the bank with a stake of almost 21%.
Fears for influence
AIIB was greeted with alarm by the US and Japan, who have not joined. China’s decision to start a new multi-lateral development bank raised fears it might seek to displace the World Bank, or (conversely) narrowly serve China’s interests in Asia, especially its New Silk Road infrastructure web, woven around its own trade needs.
Environmental activists are also worried about the environmental and social impacts of AIIB projects, and whether hard-won international best practices as eventually applied the World Bank, would be used for AIIB projects.
So what can be gleaned from its first months of operation, and what does the first round of approved projects tell us?
Learning from others
The bank’s initial projects are all in Asia (see figure) and has agreed to disperse US$165 million (1.1 billion yuan) for power grid upgrades in Bangladesh and to support two highway projects in Central Asia; US$100 million for Pakistani motorways; and US$27.5 million to upgrade the road linking Tajikstan’s capital, Dushanbe, with neighbouring Uzbekistan. The largest loan was US$216 million for the renovation of slum housing in Indonesia.
The AIIB is the sole investor in the Bangladesh project. But the three other loans all reflect AIIB’s pledge to “cooperate with existing multilateral development banks”, and are jointly-funded, either with the Asian Development Bank, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and the World Bank.
China-based environmental activists have given the AIIB’s approach a guarded welcome, although international NGOs are more critical.
Bai Yunwen, a researcher with Beijing-based NGO Greenovation:Hub, said the partnership approach shows the AIIB is being careful in terms of the minimising the environmental impact of its investments, and will gain experience quicker by working with and learning from, other multilateral banks.
Vigilance
“One thing is certain: the AIIB is determined to avoid reputational damage by making mistakes in its first projects,” Shouqing Zhu, sustainable finance senior associate at the World Resources Institute China, told chinadialogue.
In its own words, the AIIB has promised to be “lean, clean and green.”
AIIB’s joint projects apply the standards on environmental impacts and social issues, such as labour practices, that have been formulated by partner banks rather than the AIIB’s own fledgling policies.
However, the environmental credentials of the Bangladesh power project will be monitored closely.
“If the environmental and social impacts of this [Bangladesh] project are not properly handled, we may see further revisions to the AIIB’s environmental and social framework,” said Bai.
Global ambition
AIIB president Jin Liqun told the annual meeting that he hopes the bank will accept another 24 applicant members in 2017, including from Latin America. He said it would make the AIIB more representative, as Brazil is currently the only member from the region. According to the Financial Times, Chile, Colombia and Venezuela will all aim to apply before the 30 September cut-off date.
Margaret Myers, who tracks Chinese investment in Latin America at the Inter-American Dialogue, said it would be important for the AIIB to support projects in Latin America and other developing regions if it is to be considered a global lender.
Moreover, Myers said, Latin American countries would strengthen their diplomatic relations with China by joining the AIIB and this could help to attract further funding to the region.
Jin predicted that AIIB would soon have more members than the US-Japan led Asian Development Bank. He told the World Economic Forum’s Annual Meeting of the New Champions, held in the north China city of Tianjin from June 26 to 28, that AIIB could have as many as 90 members by early 2017, outstripping the ADB’s 67 members.
The bank’s president said that as an international institution the AIIB could not confine its investments to Asia but that a proper balance will be maintained when selecting projects, he said.
The AIIB’s president also confirmed that the bank will support countries outside the “belt and road” region. This is another name for the New Silk Road based on its two arms, through central Asia by land, and along south east Asia’s sea lanes.
Tsinghua University economics professor Li Daokui told the WEF meeting that in the near-term there were very real economic reasons for focusing on the belt and road region, and in the longer term the ultimate aim would be for this region to become an economic bloc.
Optimistic
A striking feature of the AIIB’s first annual meeting was the welcome given to NGO participation, particularly in view of NGOs criticism and demands for transparency. It is rare for major Chinese institutions to invite NGOs to their annual meetings.
Yu Xiaogang, director of Green Watershed, said it was a positive development that almost any NGO that requested to attend had been able to.
However NGOs were allowed to speak only briefly, were given a limited time to ask questions, which compared unfavourably with World Bank and Asian Development Bank annual meetings
Jin told the ‘Summer Davos’ forum in Dalian, northern China, that projects must meet three criteria: financial sustainability, environmental protection and broad public acceptance.
But some international NGOs say the bank is not yet open enough on its lending criteria.
They point to lax standards when it comes to disclosure and transparency with the bank’s Environmental and Social Safeguarding Framework. However the issue of how to avoid environmental and social risks was not addressed at the meeting.
In order to better evaluate how effective the AIIB’s framework is, Greenpeace applied these criteria to four projects, funded by the China Development Bank, the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the World Bank, and the International Financial Corporation, all of which caused environmental damage. These were an Indonesian coal mine, a South African thermal power plant, and both hydropower and coal fired power plants in India.
The evaluation focused on three criteria; whether AIIB would have avoided investing in these projects (in a theoretical scenario where the AIIB was the main investor), whether it would be able to prevent environmental damage if investment went ahead, and whether the environmental and social impacts of these projects would be reduced.
Greenpeace found the bank would not have been able to avoid making these investments, or undertaking other potentially environmentally damaging projects.
Much depends on whether AIIB’s alliances with other development banks are used to build stronger standards, said Calvin Quek, head of Greenpeace East Asia’s Sustainable Finance Program.
With China hosting the G20 next month in Hangzhou, and the country’s role as the biggest destination for finance raised through green bonds, that momentum may become irresistible in the next six months. But critics say want to see more transparency too.
This article was originally published by chinadialogue
