Energy

Can a UK-China power-trading venture assist China’s energy transition?

The joint venture has been launched to trade and optimise renewable electricity in China’s spot power markets
English
<p>Half of the profits will return to the UK as will all the learnings from exposure to China&#8217;s energy system (Image: Octopus Energy)</p>

Half of the profits will return to the UK as will all the learnings from exposure to China’s energy system (Image: Octopus Energy)

Bitong Energy brings together the UK’s Octopus Energy and China’s PCG Power to support the “green transformation” of China’s power market.

Dialogue Earth talked to experts in both countries to find out how this cooperation could advance China’s low-carbon development and what benefits it may bring to the UK. 

What are the motivations behind the UK-China deal?

In late January, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s trip to China brought good news for the energy industry: the establishment of Bitong Energy to sell clean energy primarily in south China’s Guangdong province. 

Foreign firms have long operated in China’s power sector, from equipment suppliers such as Sweden’s ABB to utilities like France’s EDF, but participation in market trading and optimisation is a different proposition.

The significance of the Octopus move, according to Zhu Linxiao, a policy advisor at UK-based think-tank E3G, lies in its “reverse direction”. Rather than energy expertise being exported from a country that dominates the field globally, China will import it.

China accounted for 92% of the world’s solar module manufacturing and 82% of wind turbines as of 2024. In 2025, its clean-tech exports surged by 20% to USD 222 billion.

But the deal behind Bitong is “more about software than hardware”, said Chris Aylett, environment research fellow from UK think-tank Chatham House.

“Octopus is now the biggest player in UK energy. They’re pioneering new technologies to manage energy systems,” said Aylett. “Despite China’s now well-recognised status as a world leader in clean tech, there is still demand in China for foreign, and specifically British, expertise and innovation in energy systems and decarbonisation.” 

There is still demand in China for foreign, and specifically British, expertise and innovation in energy systems
Chris Aylett, Chatham House

Zhu also acknowledged that “on the software side”, China still has “some gaps compared with the west”. He pointed to Bitong’s rare business model – “western software plus Chinese hardware operating together” – as a first of its kind.

The equal partnership creates the real “excitement”, said Gao Hongchao, principal investigator for China’s National Science and Technology Major Project, who provided consultancy for the cooperation. 

“Overseas capital markets usually value software assets higher than those in the Chinese market, but at least three Chinese companies have similar or even more advanced technical capabilities,” Gao said.

“China’s software markets are still in the cultivation stage,” he added. “Octopus offers fresh direction and hope for greater Sino-foreign investment and cooperation.”

On the UK side, the economic benefits are straightforward. According to a statement by Octopus, half of the profits from China will return home.

Aylett said that more important than this will be “technological learning gained from exposure to the intricacies of the massive, rapidly changing Chinese energy system. This should hopefully translate into more powerful tools to efficiently manage the UK’s energy system.”

How can it assist China’s energy transition?

Bitong plans to trade up to 140 terawatt-hours of renewable power per year by 2030 in the Guangdong spot electricity market, “where energy is bought and sold in real time for a smarter, more efficient grid”.

China had only seven spot markets in 2022. The number has recently increased to 29 in trials, with plans to introduce more.

Most electricity trading is still based on fixed medium- to long-term agreements (MLTs). As detailed in an earlier Dialogue Earth article, while MLTs “theoretically have the advantage of stabilising electricity prices and averting risk”, they lack “flexibility for adjustments”.

Zhu said rigid MLTs in China have held back the growth of technologies, such as virtual power plants (VPPs), which can efficiently distribute and dispatch energy resources for grids and markets.

VPPs offer a “very cost‑efficient and very innovative solution to fix many shortcomings in the power market”, but they need “a highly liberalised power trading market, which China does not have right now”, said Zhu. Octopus has an advanced VPP platform, Kraken, which has been exported globally.

However, in email exchanges, Octopus confirmed that while Kraken “could in principle be used in China”, they “do not have any plans to do so at the moment”. Declining to share details, the company described the technology provided for Bitong as “proprietary trading technology”, “solely focused on improving their trading capabilities”. 

“In any case, bringing in foreign capital and foreign technology” is “definitely a good thing”, said Zhu. “This is the first step toward competition” in China’s rigid market.

Gao, who oversees major VPP projects in China, said the country has about 15 gigawatts of such flexible capacity. “If we just talk about technology, we have more advantages and cheaper costs,” he said. China’s goal, announced last year, is to increase the “VPP-regulated capacity” to more than 50 gigawatts by 2030.

However, Gao explained that the data regulatory and market environment is China’s main obstacle. Data is the “fuel” for running VPPs, he said, because more data yields more precise electricity price predictions and higher VPP revenues. 

He added that limited data disclosure in China’s electricity markets and obstacles to dispatching VPPs are “curbing profitability and dampening Chinese firms’ motivation to reinvest in platform upgrades.” Since Bitong is no exception in this data environment, Gao questioned whether Kraken’s advantages could be fully demonstrated if used in China.

Gao said the “real impact” is that Octopus “draws open the curtain” for foreign companies entering China’s electricity market. “Foreign companies like Octopus Energy have developed strong business models and proven practices from relatively more flexible markets. These can be adapted domestically, providing real momentum to building China’s retail electricity market.”

Aylett said that, from a broader perspective, “increasing the efficiency of China’s energy system, and maximising the potential of its renewable deployment, has the potential to massively bring down emissions, which will slow climate change – benefitting not only China and the UK, but the whole world”.

What is next for UK-China climate cooperation?

Over recent decades, UK-China cooperation has evolved from state megaprojects to smaller private-sector deals, said Zhu.

In 2015, state-owned China General Nuclear committed to funding the Hinkley Point C nuclear power station in south-west England, and partnering on the Bradwell B station in east England, during President Xi Jinping’s UK visit.

Bradwell B has stalled over national security concerns and Hinkley has been heavily delayed. A recent proposal from China’s Mingyang Smart Energy to set up an offshore wind factory in Ardersier port, north-east Scotland, still awaits UK clearance on safety and security concerns.

“Britain has national investment screening” and China is also “cautious about letting Western companies participate in critical infrastructure, or power market trade tied to national livelihoods,” Zhu said.

With so much clean energy now available in China, a freer market to match supply and demand is certainly welcome
Gao Hongchao, National Science and Technology Major Project

Octopus’s joint venture puts itself in a “stronger position”, said Aylett, but “it will be interesting to see if other UK energy-technology companies follow Octopus into the Chinese market”.

To scale impact, Octopus and other foreign firms may still need to partner with state-owned enterprises, said Gao, noting only about a third of China’s electricity investments are “purely private”.

Overall, Gao said the cooperation is “pleasing to see”. “We have been conducting electricity market reforms since 2015. With so much clean energy now available in China, a freer market to match supply and demand is certainly welcome, and Octopus’s arrival boosted investment confidence.”

Aylett said Bitong and Mingyang “bode well for UK-China energy cooperation, especially following the resumption last year of the bilateral energy dialogue.”

“I would hope the new commercial ventures can support the ongoing technical and policy work under the government dialogues. Of course, we’ll need to wait and see how successful, and resilient to political tensions, these ventures ultimately prove to be,” he added.

Cookies Settings

Dialogue Earth uses cookies to provide you with the best user experience possible. Cookie information is stored in your browser. It allows us to recognise you when you return to Dialogue Earth and helps us to understand which sections of the website you find useful.

Required Cookies

Required Cookies should be enabled at all times so that we can save your preferences for cookie settings.

Dialogue Earth - Dialogue Earth is an independent organisation dedicated to promoting a common understanding of the world's urgent environmental challenges. Read our privacy policy.

Cloudflare - Cloudflare is a service used for the purposes of increasing the security and performance of web sites and services. Read Cloudflare's privacy policy and terms of service.

Functional Cookies

Dialogue Earth uses several functional cookies to collect anonymous information such as the number of site visitors and the most popular pages. Keeping these cookies enabled helps us to improve our website.

Google Analytics - The Google Analytics cookies are used to gather anonymous information about how you use our websites. We use this information to improve our sites and report on the reach of our content. Read Google's privacy policy and terms of service.

Advertising Cookies

This website uses the following additional cookies:

Google Inc. - Google operates Google Ads, Display & Video 360, and Google Ad Manager. These services allow advertisers to plan, execute and analyze marketing programs with greater ease and efficiency, while enabling publishers to maximize their returns from online advertising. Note that you may see cookies placed by Google for advertising, including the opt out cookie, under the Google.com or DoubleClick.net domains.

Twitter - Twitter is a real-time information network that connects you to the latest stories, ideas, opinions and news about what you find interesting. Simply find the accounts you find compelling and follow the conversations.

Facebook Inc. - Facebook is an online social networking service. China Dialogue aims to help guide our readers to content that they are interested in, so they can continue to read more of what they enjoy. If you are a social media user, then we are able to do this through a pixel provided by Facebook, which allows Facebook to place cookies on your web browser. For example, when a Facebook user returns to Facebook from our site, Facebook can identify them as part of a group of China Dialogue readers, and deliver them marketing messages from us, i.e. more of our content on biodiversity. Data that can be obtained through this is limited to the URL of the pages that have been visited and the limited information a browser might pass on, such as its IP address. In addition to the cookie controls that we mentioned above, if you are a Facebook user you can opt out by following this link.

Linkedin - LinkedIn is a business- and employment-oriented social networking service that operates via websites and mobile apps.